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Opinion & Analysis

The 7 essentials I’ve learned playing fantasy golf

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Back in September 2015, I was given the opportunity to analyze and write the weekly DraftKings’ article found on GolfWRX related to the PGA Tour. I’ve covered fantasy golf since the 2015 Deutsche Bank Championship through last week’s The RSM Classic at Sea Island, Georgia. In that time, I’ve analyzed underrated players, value bets, overvalued players, and bad bets. The experience has given me some insight into playing fantasy golf, both daily and season-long competitions.

To each his (or her) own as “they” say, but as the PGA Tour season moves from the wrap-around season to the so-called 2015-2016 regular season, it seemed relevant to share that insight with GolfWRX readers. Keep in mind that the tips below are equally applicable regardless of the type of competition as there are, in my opinion, some universal truths to fantasy golf.

Evaluate numbers

If you’ve read any of my prior articles, then you are familiar with the statistical categories that I currently give priority and emphasize. For those drawing a blank, those categories are: all-around ranking; ball-striking; par-5 birdie or better leaders; strokes gained: putting; and strokes gained: tee-to-green.

You may agree or disagree with those benchmarks and they will certainly evolve, but the larger point is don’t skip the small stuff. Instinct is important especially if you follow professional golf closely, yet it isn’t a replacement for crunching the readily available numbers through the PGA Tour. And to that point, it is particularly important when trying to fill out a competitive lineup in a daily fantasy game.

Aggregate value

While this is a bit more oriented toward a daily fantasy game, don’t inevitably go for the big fish, just because it seems to be a smallish pond or convenient. For example, given the field earlier this month at the OHL Classic at Mayakoba, other fantasy sources almost uniformly suggested Matt Kuchar was a best bet at that event. He was incidentally the most expensive player in the DraftKings’ daily game. For several reasons, I recommended GolfWRX readers to avoid Kuchar.

Why? Because Kuchar’s value did not match his likelihood of winning; notably, Kuchar finished T-68. In conjunction with crunching numbers, you can create value by sometimes avoiding the big name that hasn’t truly justified his cost in favor of other guys with less fanfare and more actual value.

Utilize resources

This overlaps with crunching numbers, but also covers (importantly) being open to all available sources. Two of the very best, in my opinion, are Rob Bolton, PGA Tour and Rotoworld Golf, and Sean Martin, PGA Tour and Golfweek. Known by some as the Big Dog and the Oracle, respectively, both Bolton and Martin have changed my mind in recent weeks about certain players under consideration for lineups.

For you, it may not be Bolton or Martin, but the larger message is don’t stick your head in the sand. Again, trusting your instincts in connection with crunching numbers is invaluable. That said, there are experts out there giving insight and information, all of which is both relevant and free. Tunnel vision in fantasy golf can be a killer because almost any player can win any given week on the PGA Tour in 2015-2016. When you (or I) forget that, sometimes the obvious is overlooked.

Don’t fear getting it wrong

At the CIMB Classic, I recommended that GolfWRX readers avoid Adam Scott for a variety of reasons, including, his ongoing putting woes and somewhat unexpected introduction of the regulation length putter before Jan. 1, 2016. I was wrong. Scott posted a final-round 63 and finished second behind young gun Justin Thomas. Conversely, I suggested that Smylie Kaufman be given serious consideration back at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open in Las Vegas. He won after closing with 61. I was right. It can go either way and often does.

So what? So this… you’re going to get it wrong at times, even if you play by the book, whether it’s yours or mine. While I’ve been right more often than not since the Deutsche Bank Championship, it can change any time. Don’t fear getting it wrong or you may regularly risk not getting it right.

Consider both pictures

You’re probably thinking, “what are both pictures?” Honestly, it can be whatever you want them to be, but I am referring to both the big and small, i.e., perspective. Last week’s finish and who seemingly has a hot hand is equally important, in my view, as overall play in the prior 12 months and readily statistics for almost any given PGA Tour player. Graeme McDowell is a great example. After struggling for most of 2015 and producing arguably his worst season ever, he beat Russell Knox and Jason Bohn in a playoff to win the 2015 OHL at Mayakoba Classic.

Given his play in the past 12 months outside of that event, it made little sense to take McDowell this past week at The RSM Classic. Yet, McDowell is a player with tremendous pedigree, had a seemingly hot hand after winning in Mexico, and was in my view worthy of consideration. He finished 3rd. Conversely, Kevin Kisner played well in Shanghai at the HSBC Champions back in October, but was suffering from a bad back. A question mark so to speak headed to The RSM Classic, except that he posted four second-place finishes in the 2014-2015 season and played well on a regular basis. He won. Both players made my roster last week in a season-long fantasy competition. The point is take it all in and again, avoid tunnel vision.

Set reasonable expectations

PGA Tour players are human and practically working hard 24-7, 365 days to be the best golfers they can be. There are no guarantees, despite everyone’s best intentions and efforts all around. With respect to daily fantasy games, in particular, you are playing against some individuals who live, die, and make a living by participating in these competitions. The point being, keep things in perspective, enjoy the competition, and revel in success when you are lucky enough to earn it. Be reasonable in your expectations and that of your picks, as much as possible.

It’s never personal 

Regardless of the angle or content of my prior articles on GolfWRX pertaining to fantasy golf on the PGA Tour, reader feedback occasionally calls into question the intent of naming or not naming players. It’s never personal. As the guys at No Laying Up say, I consider myself an all-time “fanalyst.”

I understand and the reality is that not every player can win any given week. Further, not everyone teeing it up on Thursday in round one of a PGA Tour event will be playing that Saturday and Sunday to post a top-10. Whether talking about overvalued players or bad bets, facts are simply facts and my choices are guided by the essentials found in this article. In doing so, my weekly picks for GolfWRX are the by-product of a process and never something personal.

DraftKings fantasy golf contests resume at the Hero World Challenge on Dec. 3, but the company is offering GolfWRX readers who are new DraftKings users free entry into the $750,000 Thanksgiving Day NFL Football contest.

We share your golf passion. You can follow GolfWRX on Twitter @GolfWRX, Facebook and Instagram.

3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. Ben Auten

    Nov 24, 2015 at 5:07 pm

    HacknGolf: I live in Nevada and as you may know on approximately October 15, 2015, the Nevada Gaming Control Board effectively banned playing any DraftKings contests in Nevada. Up to that point, I was playing in the $3 golf contest, but would sometimes play as many as 3 different lineups. I am no longer able to access DK information because of the aforementioned restrictions in Nevada, so I am unable to provide you much in terms of specifics. My ROI (as I recall, but with access to DK, you may be able to correct me) was in the neighborhood of breaking even, but to that point, the investment was relatively minimal overall. I am not a full-time writer and have an occupation outside of golf and fantasy sports. This season I am participating in three (3) public leagues (current league and rankings – Golf Digest: 39th/2,946; Avis League: 64th/3,280; and PGA TOUR Experts: 117th/7,555) as well as 419th in the overall standings (5,038 points) on pgatour.com. All fantasy games in which I play I use my Twitter handle, AutenBenLVNV. Hope that suffices.

    • sam

      Nov 28, 2015 at 3:23 am

      Ben, Outstanding numbers in all of your leagues. Thanks for the tips.
      One thing, you can always use a private VPN to go around the restrictions for accessing Draftings—-

  2. HacknGolf

    Nov 24, 2015 at 11:09 am

    Hey Ben,

    I am curious. Did you player lineups for DraftKings over that period of time? If so, do you mind me asking what your ROI was? What was your best finish? Are you up overall?

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Opinion & Analysis

The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

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As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!

Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.

Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.

One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?

Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.

Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.

Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”

For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…

Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.

Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…

That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.

Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.

@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic

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Podcasts

Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

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Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!

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Opinion & Analysis

On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

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Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.

 

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“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”

Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.

That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.

As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.

I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.

One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.

The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.

If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.

Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.

As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.

It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.

David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.

In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:

“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”

Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”

Eventually, though, something shifts.

We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.

Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.

Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.

Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.

So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.

I see someone evolving.

He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.

It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.

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