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Opinion & Analysis

Fantasy Preview: 2018 Genesis Open

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The final stop of the West Coast Swing takes us to the Genesis Open at Riviera Country Club, a historic and challenging golf course that measures more than 7,300 yards with thick rough. It should come as no surprise that long hitters such as Bubba Watson and Dustin Johnson have excelled here recently; Riviera is a ball strikers paradise that demands length off the tee and excellent long iron play for success.

Seven of the 11 Par 4’s measure more than 450 yards, while the two Par 5’s on the back 9 can only be reached by the longer hitters. The driveable Par-4 10th hole should offer up lots of entertainment, with both eagles and double bogeys (or worse) very much in play. Last year, Dustin Johnson finally broke his duck at Riviera, running away with victory. He posted 17-under par to win by 5 strokes over Scott Brown and Thomas Pieters.

Selected Tournament Odds (via Bet365)

  • Dustin Johnson 5/1
  • Rory Mcilroy 12/1
  • Jordan Spieth 12/1
  • Justin Thomas 18/1
  • Phil Mickelson 22/1
  • Paul Casey 25/1
  • Tommy Fleetwood 28/1

Boasting an impressive field, it may come as a bit of a surprise to see Dustin Johnson (5/1, DK Price $11,900) this much shorter in price than the likes of Rory Mcilroy, Jordan Spieth and Justin Thomas this week. Ordinarily I would agree, but this week has a different feel to it. As far as courses go, Riviera is tailor made for Dustin. The only surprise when it comes to the World No. 1 is that he has only managed to claim victory here once so far in his career. In the last four editions of this event, he has finished 2nd, T2, 4th and 1st.

“It’s such a good golf course and there’s really not much trouble,” Johnson said. “It’s just a golf course where you have to hit good shots. You’ve got to control your golf ball, you’ve got to hit it in the right spots. The first time I ever came here as a rookie on tour, I just loved this and I felt like it was a place that really suited my game.”

While the other big names have struggled in recent weeks, particularly on the greens, Johnson’s only issue is that he’ll feel he should have won all three of his official PGA Tour events so far this season instead of only one. Johnson leads the field in Strokes Gained Off the Tee and Ball Striking over his past 12 rounds, and he also leads the field in proximity to the hole from the important 175-200 yard range over his past 24 rounds. He’s 2nd in this field for Strokes Gained on Par 5’s over his last 24 rounds, and he has the lowest scoring average on the PGA Tour this season (68.716).

Simply put, the best player in the world is going to a course that suits his game better than any other. Over the last five editions of this event, Johnson has a positive Strokes Gained Total of over 52 strokes. That’s 17 strokes more than K.J. Choi, who is in second place on the list. The potential is there for Dustin to dominate this event for the foreseeable future.

Last week’s missed opportunity at Pebble Beach may only serve as more motivation for Johnson, too. He bounced back after throwing away the WGC-HSBC Championship at the back end of last year by lapping the field at his opening event of 2018, the Sentry Tournament of Champions. That could be a good omen for the South Carolina native. Having now established himself as the best player in the world, the defending champion deserves to be the prohibitive favorite this week.

Should you be brave enough to oppose Dustin and the other market leaders, you’ll be rewarded with bigger prices than usual for players down the board. Charley Hoffman (100/1, DK Price $ 7,400) stands out at a three-figure price, although after withdrawing last week with a back injury he comes with a buyer-beware warning. But we’ve already seen the unpredictability of back injuries this year — Jason Day pulled out of the Wednesday Pro-Am at Torrey Pines before going on to win the event in Monday playoff. You should take the risk this week with the value in Hoffman’s price.

Hoffman is 28th in Strokes Gained Off the Tee and 24th in Strokes Gained Approaching the Green over his past 12 rounds. While these aren’t spectacular statistics, they are solid numbers considering that good execution in both areas will be much needed in order to achieve this week. Charley is also 6th in Proximity to the hole over his last 12 rounds and 17th in Strokes Gained on Par 5’s over the same period. All parts of his game are seemingly very solid before an event that demands consistency.

The Californian didn’t have a great record at Riviera before last year, with only one previous Top-20 finish. But last year he finished T4, and he did so despite being the only player in the Top-20 to lose strokes on the tricky poa annua greens. With the confidence of returning to a place where he exhibited excellent ball striking last year, the quotes of 100/1 look a little too big for Hoffman — should you be willing to take the risk on his back holding up.

And speaking of bad backs, Tiger Woods (45/1) is in the field this week. It’s just his second official start on the PGA Tour in 2018. In his first start, Tiger carded rounds of 72-71-70-72 to finish T23 at The Farmers Insurance Open. Woods, a 79-time PGA Tour winner, has never won at Riviera.

Recommended Plays

  • Dustin Johnson 5/1, DK Price $11,900
  • Charley Hoffman 100/1 DK Price $7,400

Gianni is the Managing Editor at GolfWRX. He can be contacted at gianni@golfwrx.com.

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Opinion & Analysis

The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

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As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!

Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.

Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.

One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?

Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.

Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.

Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”

For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…

Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.

Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…

That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.

Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.

@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic

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Podcasts

Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

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Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!

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Opinion & Analysis

On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

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Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.

 

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“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”

Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.

That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.

As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.

I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.

One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.

The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.

If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.

Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.

As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.

It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.

David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.

In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:

“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”

Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”

Eventually, though, something shifts.

We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.

Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.

Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.

Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.

So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.

I see someone evolving.

He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.

It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.

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