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Opinion & Analysis

2022 Steyn City Championship: Outright Betting Tips

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A week after the relatively unknown Pecanwood held the MyGolfLife Open, the DP World Tour throws us a further curveball with the Steyn City Championship being held at a course with even less ‘previous’.

Events such as The Players and this week’s Valspar have their ‘type’ pretty much set in stone, and therefore the list of potential bets will be similar in many notebooks. However, the last two weeks in South Africa have asked a question of golf punters and, here, at The Club, finding a legitimate hook on which to hang your coat takes a bit of work.

The Club has more in common with last week’s test than just being in the same country.

Another Jack Nicklaus design, another at around 7700 yards, and another that has seen previous winners at better than 20-under, look for similar types, although previous back-to-back events on the tour have seen surprising reversals from one week to the next.

Much of this week’s form-lines revolve around JC Ritchie, winner of the Steyn City Team Championship in 2018, alongside Jaco Pinsloo.

Whilst that is nothing more than a hint, Ritchie is one of the most in-form home players of the past couple of months and worthy of looking into a touch more deeply.

The 28-year-old has ten victories at this level, including wins or high placings at the Dimension Data, Opens at Joburg and Cape Town, and two victories at the Limpopo Championship, an event that points to a couple of players here.

The only time that Ritchie did not win the Modimole event, there was a play-off between four players – eventual winner Brandon Stone and joint-runners-up, Bekker, Danie Van Tonder and Hennie Du Plessis, whilst Prinsloo was tied-11th.

Taking a dive further, one of Ritchie’s best pieces of form outside of his home country is in Spain, at the Challenge Tour finale, where he finished 7th, one shot ahead of Bekker in a country that dominated last week’s final round.

Whilst he won twice in February, the feeling is that Juan Carlo may well be feeling the effects of playing for six weeks in a row, and with the invites now coming in, and Limpopo a possible in a couple of weeks, this may not be the week he is at his best.

So, back his form up first with a couple in that form line.

Oliver Bekker +3500

Oliver Bekker Top-10 finish +320

Whilst the Sunshine Tour is large in numbers, potential winners number much less, and the 37-year-old looks one of the more obvious ones just outside the very top of the market.

There is little hidden in his form figures, but, as suggested above, that runner-up to Daniel Van Tonder last year at the SA Open could be far more significant than at face value. Whilst two ninth-place finishes in consecutive tournaments at Ras al Khaimah show the consistency that was lacking even with the likes of Nicolai Hojgaard, winner of the first and home for the weekend at the next.

The latter of those top-10 finishes came after finding himself 104th after the first round (and amazingly second after day two), and he showed he was still very much up for the challenge when overcoming another slow start in Kenya to storm through from 65th to 8th place by Sunday night.

Once again, he was nearest at the finish last week when 11th, making that seven top-11 finishes since September and his 18th top-15 in 32 starts since the restart in May 2021.

Sunshine Tour events tend to be won by players in form and who are comfortable with the television coverage when it counts. Bekker is one of those, and the price is very fair.

Matthieu Pavon + 3500 

We are with the Frenchman again this week after he made his seventh cut in a row at Pecanwood last week, where only a third-round 73 stopped his fourth top-10 in six starts, his first-round over 72 in seven completed tournaments.

As said last week, ‘there is nothing complicated about the selection, and it’s simply that the Frenchman continues to impress at all types of track, with a game that maybe sometimes falls through lack of experience.’

That inexperience will soon be a thing of the past, and he certainly seems to be telegraphing a victory just four months after a runner-up finish in Portugal and six weeks after a closing 3rd at Ras al Khaimah.

Last week’s play-off also-rans Adri Arnaus and Jordan Smith are half the price of the 29-year-old, yet have had a few more chances in the mix; he’s just proven himself at this type of course and won’t mind any wind or rain.

I’ll stick with Pavon in this grade for a while yet.

Hennie Du Plessis +7500

Hennie Du Plessis Top-10 finish +650

Hennie Du Plessis Top-20 finish +280

Away from the form links mentioned above, the locally born 25-year-old bounced back to form at Pecanwood, leading the event for three days before a lack of final day birdies saw him drop three shots off the eventual winner.

However, that return to a level similar to the third at the SA Open tees him up nicely for a tilt at an individual title around a course he knows well.

Just before that bronze medal, Du Plessis was in contention at the Joburg Open when the event was curtailed after bad weather, but even so, the form looks relevant.

Thriston Lawrence, 9th and 2nd last two starts was called the winner from Zander Lombard, the course record-holder at The Club, whilst Ritchie was just a shot behind in 8th.

Being long off the tee is of no disadvantage on a forgiving home course, and with the Spaniards doing well last week, his 5th in Costa Brava may well have some pull, whilst a T4 at the Big Green German Challenge came behind three Spaniards, split only by Lukas Nemcez – it all feels like a familiar theme.

Santiago Tarrio +8000

Santiago Tarrio Top-10 finish +650

Santiago Tarrio Top-20 finish +280

Both Francesco Laporta and Julien Brun, who have the potential to be a grade higher than this lot, tempted me, but ultimately I wanted to see a bit more. As befits all the above, Van Tonder holds great claims at his best, something he looks a tad short of, so I’ll take the chance that a Spanish win inspires another.

Tarrio isn’t particularly young at 31 years of age but has plenty of improvement left, having been a professional for only six years.

A couple of wins at Alps Tour level saw him graduate onto the Challenge Tour, where highlights include a 4th at the Dimension Data, just behind Christiaan Bezuidenhout and George Coetzee, and a runner-up at the Grand Finale in Mallorca.

2021 was the real breakthrough year with wins at the Czech Challenge and Challenge de Espana, sandwiched by a third in Cadiz. Further notable results include third place at the Hero Open, running-up at the afore-mentioned German Challenge, and 12th at the finale.

Latest form doesn’t leap out of the page being steady rather than spectacular, but he’s ranked 6th for greens-in-regulation the last twice, and the suspicion is that it’s the putter that is letting him down more than the rest of his game.

I wanted to be with a Spaniard, and this may well be the wrong one, but it was only a few months ago that Tarrio was competing healthily in this grade, and it won’t be eight months before he does so again.

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Opinion & Analysis

The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

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As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!

Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.

Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.

One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?

Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.

Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.

Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”

For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…

Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.

Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…

That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.

Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.

@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic

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Podcasts

Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

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Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!

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Opinion & Analysis

On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

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Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.

 

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“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”

Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.

That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.

As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.

I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.

One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.

The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.

If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.

Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.

As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.

It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.

David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.

In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:

“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”

Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”

Eventually, though, something shifts.

We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.

Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.

Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.

Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.

So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.

I see someone evolving.

He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.

It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.

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