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Opinion & Analysis

2022 CJ Cup Betting Tips: Rory McIlroy to dominate at Congaree Golf Club

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Unlike with the Mallorca Open, at least we have seen this week’s PGA Tour host Congaree Golf Club, although that was back in June 2021.

A year is a long time in golf and at the start of the Palmetto Championship – the CJ Cup was then held at The Summit Club – Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka led the market at around 8/1. Both have now departed to the LIV organisation but, even then, they still succumbed to the likes of eventual winner Garrick Higgo and joint-runner-up Bo Van Pelt, who, for some unknown reason, had his best finish for around nine years and hasn’t repeated it since.

It’s tough to gauge anything from the mish-mash of the front page of the leaderboard, as even Higgo’s previous victories in the Canary Islands lead us nowhere. Instead, play it simple – this is a 7600-yard bombers course with sand belt instead of rough, and Bermuda grass greens.

15 of the top-20 in the world turn up in South Carolina this week, headed by the top two on the OWGR, but in my mind there is one clear best of the lot.

Rory McIlroy – Win 

Corey Conners – Win/Top-10

Aaron Wise –  Win/Top-5/Top-10

Sahith Theegala – Win/Top-5/Top-10

Cam Davis – Top-10/Top-20

With Scottie Scheffler coming off a disappointing Tour Championship and Presidents Cup, the question is only what price Rory McIlroy should be this week?

 

The bare facts are impressive. In 20 outings this season, Rory has a pair of victories, two runner- up finishes and a duo of bronze medals. Top that with seven further top-10s, and for me, we are looking at the most consistent player on the grass.

Even that doesn’t tell the full story. Rory was impressive in defending his Canadian Open title, as well as giving Scheffler half-a-dozen shots and a beating at the finale, but he really should be sleeping with trophies from Abu Dhabi, Dubai, Open Championship and Italian Open.

In his last five outings, the Irishman has not been out of the top five off-the-tee (a tremendous asset here) giving a huge advantage to his overall tee-to-green figures, for which he ranked 2nd for the 2021/22 wraparound season.

With this the final time we will see such a field in 2022, there is a sense it will be important for the players to prove themselves against the best of their peers. With four of the last five winners of the CJ Cup being from the top echelons, Rory makes more than perfect sense.

Whatever happens, make him a saver at least.

Rory didn’t play in last week’s Zozo Championship, and it’s possible the travelling will take its toll on many. Given this track  – it’s not Valderrama or Riviera, those that can ‘get’ inside your mind – I’m happy to put that to one side. Just.

First up, travelling from Japan is Corey Conners, a player put up last week who got every bit out of his final three rounds after a horror start.

A first round 73 was as bad as it could get for the Canadian, usually as straight as it gets from tee to green, but he recovered nicely, recording 67 for the next three days. There were no strokes-gained stats available, and I remain unconvinced by anything that is given outside of the official PGA sources, but Conners will be back to the level of form he showed when finishing 6th at The Masters, filling the same position behind McIlroy in Canada and 5th at the BMW Championship.

For whatever reason, the 30-year-old has lost form since the start of the season, but go back to his final four starts of the previous ‘year’ and he averages around 10th for anything involving getting the ball to the short stuff. It will come, hopefully this week.

Next up is 26-year-old Aaron Wise, who seems to have been around for longer than his years.

When winning the Byron Nelson in 2018 and achieving a joint runner-up at the (course comp alert) Wells Fargo in 2019, Wise looked as if he would kick on and gain a few more trophies, and while that hasn’t happened yet, he has recorded seven top-10 finishes and recording two runner-up places at Muirfield and Mayakoba.

Those top-10s include top finishes at Quail Hollow and The Memorial again, at Shriners and at this event last year, when finishing four shots behind McIlroy, all results showing just how good he is when trying to keep bogeys off his card.

Now ranked inside the top-40 in the world after missing just one cut in his last 14 outings, Wise can thrive after a week off since the Shriners in Las Vegas when a poor final round cost him 41 places on the board. Expect something similar to the last time we saw such a quality field, a fifth place at East Lake. He goes off in the first group on Thursday. Get wise.

I put up Sahith Theegala for the Sanderson Farms, and he predictably missed only his third cut of an impressive first full season-and-a-bit on tour.

 

Just the fifth person to win the Haskins, Hogan and Nicklaus awards in college, the Pepperdine athlete was always going to do something in the professional game, but few thought it would come in his second event as a full PGA Tour player.

12 months ago, the 24-year-old shot a bogey-free third round 67 to take a lead into the final round at the Country Club of Jackson, but faded to finish in eighth place behind Sam Burns after a bizarre attempt to hit the hero shot from a bunker.

Theegala learned from the experience to lie in sixth at Torrey Pines, before a sponsor’s exemption allowed him into the raucous Phoenix Open, where again he took a lead into the final round. This time, he lasted to the short par-four 17th, when fate would conspire against him, a bad bounce leaving his ball in a water hazard, and costing him that vital shot that left him out of the final play-off, one that served up the first win for eventual world number one, Scottie Scheffler.

What has followed has been a steady flow of improvement, coming from behind to finish seventh in the Valspar, fifth at Muirfield, second at the Travelers and 16th at Deere Run before a run at the FedEx finals, eventually qualifying for the Tour Championship. The knowledge he is among the best of the maidens on tour should have given him confidence for the 2022/23 season, and supporters cannot ask for more than an opening sixth place at the Fortinet, when he was never outside of the top 10.

Then came that missed weekend before an impressive debut in Japan, where Theegala started slowly in 41st place, but rushed through the field at the weekend, shooting 63 and 67, the former including a double-bogey.

Long enough to compete well here and with several top-10 rankings for tee-to-green this season, this may be too early for him to gain the maiden victory. However, he is now just two spots outside of the world’s top-50 so has every incentive to acheive, and I’d rather be on at the price this week than have to take sub-20 at a lesser quality event.

Expect a victory this season, it’s where, not if.

Finally, we have to have a sand belt operator on board, and Cam Davis fits the bill perfectly.

Another selection in his 20’s, the high-quality amateur, has come on to become one of the best operators on coastal, windy tracks. Congaree looks right up his alley.

Winner of his home Australian Open and play-off winner of the Rocket Mortgage Classic, the 27-year-old has been quietly progressive through the past season and is now ranked in 66th place from 229 a couple of years ago.

The rise hasn’t been as quick as Theegala’s but his mid-season top-10 finishes at the Charles Schwab, John Deere and Barracuda all read well enough, whilst his best effort in this part of the world is at Harbour Town, when third at the Heritage.

Davis has been progressive in the three starts of this season, missing the cut by two at the opening Fortinet, finishing 37th at Summerlin (6th at halfway) and inside the top-30 last week in Japan.

Often in trouble on tight tracks, Davis’ length can only help him here this week, and with the rest of his game in decent shape, can land a top-20 without too much grief.

 

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Opinion & Analysis

The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

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As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!

Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.

Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.

One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?

Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.

Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.

Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”

For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…

Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.

Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…

That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.

Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.

@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic

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Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

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Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!

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Opinion & Analysis

On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

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Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.

 

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“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”

Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.

That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.

As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.

I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.

One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.

The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.

If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.

Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.

As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.

It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.

David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.

In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:

“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”

Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”

Eventually, though, something shifts.

We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.

Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.

Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.

Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.

So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.

I see someone evolving.

He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.

It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.

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