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Opinion & Analysis

2022 ISPS HANDA Australian Open: Betting Tips & Selections

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A mere glance down the list of winners tells you everything you need to know about the Australian Open.

It may revolve around a few different courses but no wonder the roll-call of Australian Open champions includes Rory McIlroy, Jordan Spieth and Adam Scott amongst others – sure, all class but also renowned links players. Top the list with Mark Calcavecchia, winner at Royal Sydney in 1988 and at the Open Championship at Troon a year later, and it’s clear what to expect.

This week’s tracks are as linksy as we will get in this part of the world. Victoria and Kingston Heath are sand-belt courses, with fast-running fairways and greens, and carefully placed bunkers. Think all the Melbourne form plus, of course, the Dunhill Links and The Open.

If you were on Cam Smith last week at 7/2, there is little harm in going in again.

The 29-year-old is clearly one of the top three players in the world right now, and has already showed his ability for this week’s test with the win at St. Andrews and at Brisbane last week, when he had all his main market rivals well behind.

Runner-up to Spieth at The Australian in 2016, he backed that up with a fourth and 10th place over the next two years before fading from a first-round top-10 back at the Sydney course in 2019.

If there are negatives, it’s that he now plays away from his home town, something that seemed worth a shot or two seven days ago, and the price.

At around 5/2, Smith has to win, and with much going on around him, it maybe he once falls short of expectations.

This is a unique test this year. For the first time, both the men’s and women’s championships are being held at the same time, played simultaneously on the two tracks. Whilst some players – Scott Hend, in particular – feel this lessens the uniqueness of each event, so much so he did not enter, the likes of Min Woo Lee and sister Minjee Lee couldn’t be happier.

The Lee siblings simply relish the challenge of playing against, or with, each other, and this format should bring back healthy memories of the recent runnings of the Victoria Open, held at 13th Beach Golf Links.

With under two years between their ages, Minjee just holds the upper hand. Her two majors and eight LPGA tour wins outstrip her younger brother’s pair of European wins, even if beating Matty Fitz at the Scottish Open is not far short of the top grade.

Whilst that is enough to think a dream each-way double is achievable, it is their form at those Sydney links that points to their chance this week.

Minjee has won twice, once as an amateur, while it took Min Woo a couple of years longer to gain a two-shot victory over Ryan Fox in 2020.

Current form of the 24-year-old works – three top-fives, a top-10 and a 12th place finish in five starts – and whilst his form in this event isn’t particularly eye-catching, his overall Aussie form shouts loudly.

Min Woo led the New South Wales Open in 2019 before fading on Sunday to finish third, before finishing in the same position behind Adam Scott at the Australian PGA a couple of weeks later.

The 2020 Vic Open was his only event in his home country in 2020, but he returned this year to finish fourth at both runnings of his home PGA, the Covid-delayed January event, and, of course, seven days ago.

It may seem that Min Woo has recently found form, but he was top-20 going into the final round at Brookline in June, 12th at the halfway mark at St. Andrews, seventh at the cut-mark on the Boise on the KFT, and came from out of the clouds (136th) after round one at Wentworth to finish just outside the top-40.

Currently in 61st on the world rankings, Min Woo will be looking to cement his place inside the top-50 and invites to all the top tournaments in 2023, and he’ll have no more incentive than to beat his sister.

“To have each other present will give us some motivation,” he told Golf Australia.

Cam Davis is another youngster that has to go well after an excellent top-10 at last week’s PGA. Clearly trending towards another victory, it was a coin toss between him and the selection. Whilst tempted to go ‘win only’ on each, the 27-year-old is just left out.

There were a couple of big-priced places at last week’s PGA, so away from the ‘names’, take a chance with Denzel Ieremia, a New Zealander who may be able to continue a fine run of form.

The 26-year-old has been mixing his trade on the Latinoamerica Tour as well as the Australasian, and all is with promise.

Making his way onto the PGA South American tour via his second place at q-school, he played nine times through the 2021/2 season, recording four cuts, with a best of fifth place in Peru. That is a decent start for the ex-Iowa Cyclone, who ended his college career with the third-best stroke average in school history.

It’s his form at home that catches the eye, though, with a sixth place (three behind Min Woo) at the 2019 New South Wales Open, followed by a top-five at this event at The Australian and a top-10 at the year-ending Australian PGA.

2020 saw the Wellington man finish top-10 at the Queensland PGA, a feat he almost repeated when 12th in that event a couple of weeks ago, plenty enough to gauge interest here, and yet just one of four consecutive results that give him claims of a big effort here this week.

Following the BUPA Tour Championship, Ieremia finished a closing fifth at the Western Australian Open, seventh at the Victorian PGA (held at Moonah Links, many times a host of the Australian Open) 12th at Queensland (top five at halfway) and last week 18th in Brisbane (again, top five at the cut mark).

Recommended Bets:

  • Min Woo Lee – Each-Way
  • Denzel Ieremia – Each Way
  • Denzel Ieremia – Top-20 (if available)

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Opinion & Analysis

The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

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As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!

Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.

Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.

One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?

Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.

Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.

Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”

For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…

Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.

Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…

That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.

Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.

@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic

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Podcasts

Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

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Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!

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Opinion & Analysis

On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

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Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.

 

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“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”

Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.

That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.

As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.

I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.

One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.

The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.

If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.

Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.

As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.

It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.

David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.

In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:

“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”

Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”

Eventually, though, something shifts.

We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.

Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.

Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.

Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.

So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.

I see someone evolving.

He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.

It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.

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