Opinion & Analysis
2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions: Betting Tips & Selections

Happy New Year, GolfWRXers!
Of course it would make perfect sense to start a golf season in the first week of January, and with an invitational tournament comprising the PGA winners from 2022, but this is golf.
Instead, we have the 13th event on the wraparound 2022/23 schedule and an elite event that, once again, cannot tempt Rory McIlroy, the present world number one.
That seems more of a loss to viewers than to Rory himself, but add that to the loss of Cameron Smith and the tournament loses some of its edge, no matter the quality that remains on show.
The defending champ won’t be present this week, however, the defending Masters champ will be!
In terms of winner-finding, judging which players are ‘ready’ to win after the Christmas break is always a tad of guesswork, although there are a few clues from recent years.
Ignoring the ‘silly season’ events, the break after the Hero World Challenge and QBE Shootout seems to make no difference to winners here, and students of ‘current form’ could be in clover.
From Justin Thomas in 2020 to Steve Stricker in 2012, every winner of the ToC has played in the previous season’s World Challenge, with Dustin Johnson’s 14th the worst finish of all the contenders in this formline, and whilst neither of the last two winners took part in Albany before their respective victories, both had good recent form – Cam Smith with a run of 9th, 15th and then tied fourth at the RSM Classic, Harris English with a pair of top six finishes, at Mayakoba and the almost matching the Aussie star’s finish at Sea Island.
Hints of quality play in windy conditions will help, but it’s the accuracy of the approaches that counts here. Every player should hit a large percentage of the greens, but the downhill fairways will often aid the longer drivers, leading to more than the average number of wedges. From there, putting counts aplenty on the newish Bermuda greens – every one of the last five winners has finished in the top two for putting average.
There was a time when Scottie Scheffler was an automatic each-way bet every week.
Sadly, that was well before he became a win machine, picking up four trophies in six events, including his first major, The Masters, in early 2022.
Augusta creates a nice link via Sergio Garcia, Dustin Johnson, Patrick Reed and Jordan Spieth amongst others but that run stopped much of the general 28-1 we could get week-to-week. and now firmly lodged in the top three of the world, the only thing missing from the 26-year-old’s current resume is, bizarrely, a win.
Since Augusta, Scottie has had chances to win at the Charles Schwab (play-off loss to Sam Burns), U.S Open, BMW, Mayakoba (final round 62) and last time at the Hero World Challenge, the last two events significant in their own way.
There is absolutely no issue with the tee-to-green play of the world number two, ranking in the top 10 for ten of his 23 ‘official’ outings last year, and any lack of a victory is all down to the putter.
The flat stick started to misbehave at around ‘Open’ time, but I have this (unproven) thought that his deflating loss to Rory McIlroy at the Tour Championship was the start of his putting woes. As Rory et al closed on his significant lead, Scheffler’s game fell away, leading to an extremely unreliable short game, something that continued at the CJ Cup.
However, once the main season was out of the way, he ditched his Masters-winning putter and took out an old blade, resulting in a 68/62 weekend in Mexico and just 25 putts on payday.
Granted, he didn’t improve by a great deal in Houston but it was still a better figure, and he then played a top-class game throughout the bag at the Hero Challenge, impressing with a 10-under over the weekend.
Proven in the wind, and in top-grade competition, he will be well aware of what he needs in order to hold off the likes of this week’s favourite Jon Rahm, from taking his slot. With enough time to get over 2022, Scheffler can improve on his debut here in ’21, and score at the second time of asking, putting him alongside five recent winners that proved victorious on their second outing.
Picking between Xander Schauffele, Patrick Cantlay and Tony Finau was a tough choice, but Cantlay seems very hard to win with and my original pick, Finau, regrettably misses out as the last time he returned from a break, he ruined a great run (and my bet) by missing the cut in Mexico.
Xander simply looks like a rock-solid wager in every aspect, and 11/1 does provide some each way value in a limited field.
After a modest 22nd on debut in 2018, the current world number six came from fourth place overnight to win the following year and backed up his solid course form with a play-off defeat to Justin Thomas 12 months later, fifth in 2021 (a poor third round costing him) and last season’s 12th place.
The 29-year-old has a very similar game to many of the elite, with a runner-up and third place finish at Augusta perhaps giving him the edge in course comp form, whilst recent form sees him land 6th at the Tour Championship, 9th at the Zozo and crucially, fourth place at the Hero. Confidence isn’t an issue when you can add those finishes to three victories throughout the year, as well as holing the winning putt at the Presidents Cup.
CUP SECURED ?? pic.twitter.com/fRTfDr4pKb
— Xander Schauffele (@XSchauffele) September 25, 2022
Unlike many, there should also be few doubts that Xander is ready to perform for the first time out each season and, for me, he rates equal to his similar-sounding namesake.
It was very tempting to stick with the top of the market and that’s probably where the winner comes from.
However, in a field of just 39 players, the each-way and top-10 value lies with the under-rated Irishman, Seamus Power, who not only brings solid recent form into the event but plenty of form in coastal conditions. It is also his second outing here, to boot.
The 35-year-old has taken his time getting into the top echelons of golf but having been ranked #429 at the end of 2020, has made his way to 113th after his six-hole play-off win at the Barbasol, and to 32nd when winning in Bermuda last October.
Now inside the top-30, Power comes into the event after a bronze medal at Mayakoba (in front of Scheffler, Hovland and Morikawa) and, although not qualified for the Hero, he placed in the top five at the RSM, giving him those links to the previous two winners.
In slight negative for his putting stats when 15th here on debut in 2021, he was 15th for tee-to-green, something he could well improve on after the experience of that first outing, especially as he ranked a lowly 25th after the first round.
In terms of class, 2022 saw his first full year at the majors with results reading top-10 at the PGA, ties-12th at Bethpage and top-30 on his first look at Augusta, so with no worries on that score he looks a bit of value for a sneak inside the places, or a top-10 if odds become available.
Recommended Bets:
- Scottie Scheffler WIN
- Xander Schauffele WIN
- Seamus Power WIN/TOP-10
Opinion & Analysis
The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!
Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.
Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.
One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?
Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.
Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.
Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”
For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…
Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.
Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…
That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.
Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.
@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic
Podcasts
Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!
Opinion & Analysis
On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.
View this post on Instagram
“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”
Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.
That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.
As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.
I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.
One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.
The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.
If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.
Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.
As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.
It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.
David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.
In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:
“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”
Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”
Eventually, though, something shifts.
We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.
Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.
Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.
Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.
So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.
I see someone evolving.
He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.
It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.
Travis
Jan 3, 2023 at 4:57 pm
Adam Scott WIN/TOP-10