Opinion & Analysis
2023 Sony Open: Betting Tips & Selections

After the limited field of elite players at the Tournament of Champions, The PGA Tour makes the brief journey to Waialae, where a full field awaits the starter.
As opposed to the wide fairways and huge greens of the long Kapalua, the Sony Open asks for a more measured approach, with accurate driving and pin-point irons the required assets for this 7000-odd yard test.
Whilst we have over 100 more players here this week, the list of winners suggests that a run-out at last week’s event is an advantage, with only two of the last 11 champions devoid of form at the previous week’s jamboree.
That should narrow the field down somewhat but, in Cam Smith and Russell Henley, we have one that was to be a future major winner, the other a victor at Mayakoba, a weird but significant form link with fellow winners of both events Matt Kuchar, Patton Kizzire, and Johnson Wagner.
The top of the market sees the superstar that is Tom Kim rank clear favourite at 11/1. The brilliant 20-year-old is having the time of his life on tour, flying at the Presidents Cup, having Christmas dinner with the Spieths, and now heads the market of a full-field PGA Tour after just 10 or so outings.
Everything about him is simply top grade. His iron play is as good as anyone seen in the last couple of years, he arrives off a 5th place at ‘unsuitable’ Kapalua and it’s hard to see him knocked out of the frame at worst. It makes obvious sense to have him as a saver if that’s your way of playing.
Instead, I’m taking a chance with Corey Conners to reward loyal backers with his first win since the Texas Open in 2019.
The Canadian 31-year-old finds greens for fun, ranking 12th and 13th for tee-to-green through the past two seasons. Of course, it’s his short game that lets him down, but has some of his best putting figures on these greens, as well as finishing 4th and 12th at the coastal Bermuda surfaces of Harbour Town, and recording high finishes at Bay Hill and Sawgrass.
Top-20 finishes in Mexico and at Muirfield provide the correlations, whilst three improving top-10s at Augusta confirm he has the class.
The last few winners had experience of this tight circuit before their wins, and with a course average of 67 and finishes of of 11/12/3/39, Conners follows a similar pattern to Matt Kuchar, Cam Smith and last year’s champion Hideki Matsuyama.
With the first selection taking away any temptation to be with recent Mayakoba winner Russell Henley, back him up with K.H Lee, a player that has very few weaknesses, something required around a track with heightened rough that will force a smart short game at times this week.
The Korean had a stellar 2021 on tour, proving far hardier than Jordan Spieth and Xander Schauffele when running up to Brooks Koepka at the Phoenix Open before winning the first of his back-to-back Byron Nelson championships. Of note is that close behind, even if beaten, were Patton Kizzire, Ryan Palmer and Matsuyama, all past winners of this week’s event.
Recent performances suggest the 31-year-old is still at the top of his game, and worthy of his ranking inside the top-40 of the world.
20th and fifth at the first two FedEx play-off events, he ended his year with a third place finish at the high-class CJ Cup before finishing seventh last week at the ToC, again displaying his excellent skills on and around the TiffEagle Bermuda greens.
There are plenty of flakey players ahead of him in the market, and KJ probably deserves to be ranked closer to them, given his win record. If it got a tad windy over the weekend, expect to see him launch up the board as he did in Scottsdale. He ranks the best of the three bets this week.
All four of this year’s players to follow turn up this week, but with all making their debuts on the course and for their first outings of the year, a ‘watch’ is very much the order of the day.
Instead, I am in again with one of last year’s ‘follows’ in Greyson Sigg, winner of ‘Rookie of the Year’ on the Korn Ferry Tour in 2020/21.
Another from the production line of quality Georgia Bulldogs graduates, the 27-year-old highlighted his early career with a closing 59 on the Mackenzie Tour, before a memorable couple of years on the KFT resulted in running-up at the Tour Championship, recording eight top 10 finishes and two victories. At the Knoxville Open, Sigg shot 61 in the opening round, whilst his second victory, in Idaho, came courtesy of three rounds of 65, consistency at its best, beating J.J Spaun, Aaron Rai and Mattias Schwab, all with similar games that match a test such as this.
He’s taken his time to find his feet at the top level but since October has finished 9th at Jackson, 11th at the Bermuda (sixth after three rounds), and 16th at the RSM, fighting back after a third round had dropped him from inside the leading 20 to outside the top 40. In between, the 42nd at Mayakoba looks poor on face value, but he was well inside the top ten after 54 holes.
All three late 2022 efforts rank amongst his best 15 results of his career, so it’s safe to assume Sigg is getting there and displaying the promise of his early days.
Although not long off the tee, Sigg is one of the straighter hitters on tour, surely an advantage at Waialae. With a four-round sighter here in 2021, and with three of his most recent results coming on Bermuda greens, he can give us a run at a decent price.
Recommended Bets:
- Corey Conners Win/Top-5
- K.H Lee Win/Top-5
- Greyson Sigg Win/Top-10
Opinion & Analysis
The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!
Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.
Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.
One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?
Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.
Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.
Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”
For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…
Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.
Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…
That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.
Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.
@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic
Podcasts
Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!
Opinion & Analysis
On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.
View this post on Instagram
“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”
Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.
That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.
As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.
I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.
One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.
The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.
If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.
Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.
As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.
It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.
David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.
In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:
“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”
Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”
Eventually, though, something shifts.
We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.
Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.
Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.
Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.
So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.
I see someone evolving.
He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.
It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.