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Opinion & Analysis

Redkacheek’s DFS Rundown: 2018 Safeway Open

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The beginning of the 2018-2019 season is already upon us…basically a two-week break! The good news is most casual fans have completely shifted their focus to the NFL which means we should see “softer” competition during the Fall Swing. Another note during the Fall Swing, you will see a lot of names you are not familiar with due to rookies from the Web.com Tour getting their careers started early, but don’t let them fool you! There are some extremely talented players that have far more upside than guys like Charles Howell III or Chez Reavie and they should be mostly under-the-radar.

Before we get into my core plays, let’s take a look at the course and what the players will be facing. The 2018 Safeway Open, formerly the Frys.com Open, will be held at Silverado Resort and Spa North in Napa, Calif. Historically one of the easier courses on the PGA Tour every year, the winning score has exceeded 15-under par each of the past three seasons. The Silverado Resort North course tips out just shy of 7,200 yards (7,166) and plays to a par of 72. Although it may be difficult to statistically dig into the entire field with so many rookies on Tour playing in their first event, birdies-or-better (BoB) will certainly be a key stat this week.

Let’s take what we now know about scoring and step back to take a bigger picture of the course. Looking at accuracy numbers from last year, these were some of the easiest greens to hit on Tour with last year’s GIR number coming in at 66.82 percent — yet diving accuracy was one of the worst at only 50.25 percent. That is a red flag to me and immediately removes any notion to include driving accuracy in my model. Why is that? Essentially this data tells us there is no real premium on hitting the fairway because these numbers are not correlated.

To expand upon this further, the average driving distance here last year was pretty significant, averaging 299.4 yards. Strictly from a stat-based appearance, without looking at the course photos, this is a bomber’s paradise as far as hitting lots of drivers and not paying the price if fairways are missed. Perhaps adding driving distance to your model or your player research is not a bad idea this week. The numbers certainly show that bombers will have an advantage.

The last thing I will touch on is the green complexes, and more importantly, putting. These greens are somewhat complex (no pun intended), which is where much of the bite comes in and why we do not see sub-20 under winning every year. I would not suggest weighing putting however, as 3-putt avoidance, one-putt percentage and overall putting average are all middle of the pack for PGA Tour difficulty. Guys should be hitting a lot of greens and whoever can get the putter going will fair very well. If you are still on the “putting is the key to golf” bandwagon (which is technically true just not for DFS), taking a look at longer term putting splits inside of 10 feet may prove beneficial, as that range ranked second most difficult on Tour last year.

With all that out of the way, let’s get into my core plays for this week.

Patrick Cantlay (DK $11,600)

Patrick Cantlay at $11.6k is really borderline for me, but if I had to pick out anyone in this field to rely on, it would be him. He can certainly pay off the price tag but rostering him is for one of two things: 1. You are playing cash and need a solid building block, or 2. You think he is a class above the rest of this field and should certainly finish in the top five. Statistically this course grades out as his type of course, as he ranks third SG:T2G, seventh SG:OTT and fifth in DK points. He is surprisingly long, so I think that adds to his appeal. I certainly do not see Patrick Cantlay “breaking the slate” this weekend in one way or another but as far as a core play, I think he is worth the spend.

Emiliano Grillo (DK $10,000)

I am severely torn between Grillo and Niemann, but Grillo grades out better for me mainly due to his course history (Niemann has none). Grillo has played here three times and has a win and two top-28 finishes under his belt. Again, 10K requires a top finish to pay off, but I like Grillo’s chances of adding a second victory here this week. He had a really rough stretch during the middle of this past season but started to come into form really well leading into the Fedex Cup Playoffs. He rates out in the top 15 of all the major stat categories I am looking at this week, including fourth in SG:Putting which could actually be a big difference maker on these greens.

Sang-Moon Bae (DK $8,400)

After those 10k and up guys, I am not in love with many. I think Brendan Steele is in the conversation for a core play but hard to know which Brendan Steele shows up. The one I am most interested in going into the $8k range is Sang-Moon Bae, and from what I am seeing he should be somewhat under-owned. Sang-Moon won this event back in 2015 but then had to leave the United States to fulfill his military obligation in Korea. Well since his return last season, he has really underperformed…until about five weeks ago! To finish off his season, he had to go to the Web.com Tour to try to regain status. Well, he is back on Tour this year due to this incredible stretch of golf. Beginning at the Nationwide Children’s Hospital Championship, Sang-Moon finished T35, T6, and then 1st. Keep in mind this last event was only three weeks ago so still very relevant form. I am taking that Web.com form mixed with his course history here and putting him in a lot of my lineups this week.

Chez Reavie (DK $7,600)

Chez does not fit the bomber profile but he does like this course. As I mentioned on the FGB Podcast, Chez has finished T17, T22, T13 the past 3 years and overall just seems to play the Fall Swing really well year in and year out. That part is hard to explain, but I do know that the form he takes into this event never seems to matter. He is one of the highest ranked putters on Tour so this is probably what offsets his driving distance. At 7,600 Chez is one of the few mispriced Tour veterans in this field that we can count on.

Sungjae Im (DK $7,000)

This one here is really exciting, but sadly he probably won’t be under-the-radar. Sungjae just came of a historic season on the Web.com Tour where he won twice and finished 2nd three times! His last few events to finish the season were 1st, T51, T16, and T43 finishes, so I would certainly say his form has not diminished. He played in two majors this year, the U.S. Open where he MCdd (so did Tiger, Rory, Jason Day, Speith, etc.) and the PGA Championship, where he finished 42nd. He ranked 23rd in driving accuracy, 21st in GIR% and 17th in putting average. This kid is good, and I want to be sure to have plenty of exposure early in the season when he is essentially playing against Web.com guys anyways.

Tyler Duncan (DK $6,800)

Tyler is another player, like Chez, that doesn’t fit the bomber narrative but has just been so solid for the last year. He had a stretch earlier this year where he made 11 cuts in a row. ELEVEN! That is really strong. He did play here last year and finished fifth, so his price just doesn’t make sense. I will gladly add Tyler to my Cash and GPP pool, take the savings and count on a made cut and another potential Top 10. To put the cherry on top, Tyler ranks seventh in SG:T2G and fourth in SG:APP. His numbers and course history look really good so I just don’t understand why he is priced down under 7K.

Also consider…

Ryan Moore
Joaquin Niemann
Denny McCarthy
Brendan Steele
Harold Varner III
Sam Ryder
Curtis Luck
Joel Dahmen

Good luck this week everyone!

I am ranked in the Top 35 of all DFS Golf players and best known for winning the DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest during the week of The Masters earlier this year. I am very active around the community, always willing to help whether with strategy or research and you can find me on Twitter @Redkacheek and also each week on the Fantasy Golf Bag Podcast. One last note, my history is in professional golf, which definitely adds a unique perspective to DFS that most people do not have and you will find really gives you an edge when evaluating players each week.

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Opinion & Analysis

Brandel Chamblee PGA Championship Q&A: Rose’s huge McLaren risk, distracted LIV pros and why Aronimink suits the bombers

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PGA Championship week is here, and Brandel Chamblee did not hold back in our latest discussion ahead of the season’s second major.

In our 2026 PGA Championship Q&A, golf’s leading analyst made the case that PIF pulling LIV’s funding has left its players competing in a state of confusion, called Justin Rose’s mid-season equipment switch a huge risk at 45, and explained why Aronimink will be a bombers’ delight this week.

Check out the full Q&A below.

Gianni: With the PIF confirming that they’re pulling funding from LIV at the end of the season, what impact do you expect that to have on the LIV players competing at the PGA Championship?

Brandel: I would imagine that they have all been thrown into a state of confusion, and will be distracted, not knowing where they are going to play next year and not knowing exactly their road back to either the DP World Tour or the PGA Tour. Or in Rahm’s case, being tied to a sinking ship for the next few years, likely playing for pennies on the dollar in events that no one cares about or watches.

I doubt this would put him in the best frame of mind to compete at his highest level. Keeping in mind, however, that majors are the only time that LIV disciples get to play in events that matter, so never disregard the motivation they have to prove to the world they are still relevant.

Gianni: Justin Rose switched to McLaren Golf equipment mid-season while playing some of the best golf of his career. What do you make of the change?

Brandel: I don’t really know what to make of Rose switching equipment. It seems a huge risk on his part, even though it is likely, in my opinion, that the clubs he’s playing are similar, if not the exact grinds, to what he was playing previously, with a McLaren stamp on them.

Having said that, at best, it is a distraction when he seemed to be as dialed in with his game as any 45-year-old could be and trending in the majors to perhaps do something that would definitely put him in the Hall of Fame. At worst, given the possibility that these clubs aren’t just duplicates of his old set stamped with McLaren on them, he’s made an equipment change that would take time, and 45-year-old athletes don’t have the time to do such things.

Gianni: Aronimink has only hosted a handful of professional events since it hosted the 1962 PGA Championship. What kind of test does it present, and does a course with less recent major championship history tend to level the playing field?

Brandel: Even though Aronimink has only hosted a handful of meaningful professional events, it has been fairly discerning in who can win there. When Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship on the Donald Ross masterpiece in 2018, he was the 2nd best iron player on tour coming into that week. When Nick Watney won the AT&T at Aronimink in 2011, he was 2nd in strokes gained total coming into the week.

In 2020, Aronimink hosted the KPMG Championship, and Sei Young Kim won. On the LPGA that year, she was first in greens in regulation, putts per green in regulation, and scoring average on the way to being the LPGA player of the year. And then there is the 1962 PGA Championship won by Gary Player, who eventually became just one of a few players to win the career grand slam on the way to winning 9 majors. It is a formidable test, and if it’s not softened by rain, it will bring out the best in the upper echelons of the game.

Gianni: Is there a specific hole at Aronimink that you think will do the most to decide the winner?

Brandel: The hardest hole at Aronimink in each of the three tour events that have been played there since 2010 has been the long par-3 8th hole, with the par-4 10th being the second hardest, so most of the carnage will happen around the turn, but with the par-5 16th offering opportunities for bold plays and the tough closing holes at 17 and 18, the finish is likely to be frenetic.

Gianni: The PGA Championship has always sat in the shadow of the other majors. What does the ideal PGA Championship look like in your eyes, and what would it take for it to carve out its own identity?

Brandel: The PGA Championship, to whatever degree it suffers from the comparison to the other three majors, is still counted just as much when adding them up at the end of one’s career. Almost 1/3 of Nicklaus’ major wins were the five PGA Championships he won. Walter Hagen won 11 majors, five of which were PGA Championships.

Tiger Woods twice in his career won back-to-back PGA Championships, and those four majors count just as much as the other 11 he won. The PGA may not have the prestige of the other three, but it carries the same weight. Having said that, I preferred the identity that it had as the last major of the year.

Gianni: You nailed your Masters picks. Rory won, Scottie finished solo second, and Morikawa surged to a tie for seventh. Who are your top 3 picks for the PGA Championship and why?

Brandel: I am not a huge fan of majors played on golf courses that have been shorn of most of the trees, although I understand some of the agronomic reasons for doing so and of course the ease with which it allows members to play after errant drives. However, at the highest level, it all but eliminates any strategy off the tee and turns professional golf into an even bigger slugfest. That means that it will likely be a bomber’s delight this week, but fortunately, Scottie Scheffler is long enough to play that game and straight enough to play it better than anyone else.

The major championships give us very few surprises anymore, going back to the beginning of 2012, so the last 57 majors played, the average world rank of the winners has been better than 15th in the world. So look at the highest ranked and longest drivers who are on form coming into the PGA Championship who also have great short games as the surrounds at Aronimink are very challenging. That’s Scottie Scheffler by a mile and then McIlroy and Cameron Young with a far bigger nod towards DeChambeau than I gave him at the Masters.

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Club Junkie

A putter that I love and hate – Club Junkie Podcast

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In this episode of the Club Junkie Podcast, we dive into one of the most interesting flatstick releases of the year with a full review of the new TaylorMade SYSTM 2 putters. After spending time on the greens, I break down what makes this design stand out, where it performs, and why it has me completely torn between loving it and fighting it. If you are into feel, alignment, and consistency, this is one you will want to hear about.

We also take a look at some of the putters in play on the PGA Tour last week. From familiar favorites to a few surprising setups, there is always something to learn from what the best players in the world are rolling with under pressure.

To wrap things up, I walk through the process of building a set of JP Golf Prime irons paired with Baddazz Gold Series shafts. From component selection to performance goals, this is a deep dive into what goes into creating a unique custom set and why this combo has been so intriguing.

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Opinion & Analysis

From 14 handicap to pro: 4 things I’d tell golfers at 50

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This year my 50th birthday. Gosh, where has the time gone?

As a teenager in rural Missouri, some of my junior high and high school years felt interminable. Graduation seemed light years away. But the older I get, the faster life seems to fly by.

I’m also increasingly aware of my mortality. My dad died recently. Earlier this year, a friend and fellow PGA of America professional and I were texting about our next catch-up. The next message I received was news of his unexpected passing at 48. Shortly after, a woman I dated in college succumbed to cancer at 51.

Certainly, one can share perspective at any age. Seniors help freshmen, veterans guide rookies. But reaching this milestone feels like as good a time as any to do one of those “what would I tell my younger self?” articles.

I’ve had a uniquely varied career in golf. I started as a 27-year-old, average-length-hitting, 14-handicap computer engineer and somehow managed to turn pro before running out of money, constantly bootstrapping my way forward. I’ve won qualifiers and set venue records in the World Long Drive Championships, finished fifth at the Speedgolf World Championships, coached all skill levels as a PGA of America professional, built industry-leading swing speed training programs for Swing Man Golf, helped advance the single-length iron market with Sterling Irons®, caddied on the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, and played about 300 courses across 32 countries.

It’s been a ride, and I’ve gone both deep and wide.

So while I can consult and advise from a lot of angles, let me keep it to a few things I’d tell the average golfer who wants to improve.

1. Think About What You Want

Everyone has their own reason for picking up a golf club.

Oddly, as a professional athlete, I’m not internally driven by competition. That can be challenging, as the industry currently prioritizes and incentivizes competition over the love of the game.

For me, I love walking and being outdoors. Nature helps balance my energy. I prefer courses that are integrated into the natural beauty of their surroundings. I’m comfortable practicing alone. I’m a deep thinker, and I genuinely enjoy investigating the game, using data and intuition to unearth unique, often innovative insights. I’m fortunate to be strong and athletic, so I appreciate the chance to engage with my abilities. Traveling feels adventurous. I could go on.

You don’t have to overthink it like I do. For you, it might be as simple as hitting balls to escape work, hanging out with friends, and playing loosely with the rules and the score.

The point is to give yourself permission to play for your own reasons, and let that be enough.

But if improvement is your goal, thinking about your destination—and when you want to get there—is important, because it dictates the steps you need to take. When I set out to go from a 14-handicap to the PGA TOUR as quickly as possible, the steps I needed were very different from those of a working golfer trying to break 90 in six months. That’s also different from someone who just wants a few peaceful hours outside each week, away from work or family.

None of these goals are better than the others, but each requires a different plan that you can work backward from.

2. There Are Lots of Things That Can Work

One of the challenges of golf is that, although there are rules for playing, there aren’t clear, industry-wide standards for how to best play the game. There’s a lot of gray area.

You might hear a top coach or trainer insist that a certain move is the best way to swing or train. Then you dig a bit deeper and, much to your confusion and frustration, another respected coach or trainer says something completely different. I don’t think anyone is trying to confuse you—at least I hope not. It’s just where the industry is right now.

You have to be careful with advice from tournament pros, too. They might be great at scoring, but they’re also human and sometimes just as susceptible as amateurs to believing things that don’t really move the needle. Tour players might describe what they feel, but that’s not always what they’re actually doing when assessed with technology.

I recently ran a test on my YouTube channel (which connects to my GolfWRX article “How to use your hands in the golf swing for power and accuracy”), and, interestingly, two of the most commonly taught hand actions produced the worst results in the test.

Coaches can certainly help. If you find someone you connect with to help navigate, that’s great. But there are many ways to get the ball in the hole. In the current landscape, you may need to seek multiple opinions, think critically, and use your own intuition to discern what seems true and whose advice resonates with you.

I’d recommend seeking someone who is open-minded and always learning, because things constantly change. Absolutes like “correct” or “proper” should raise a red flag. AI can be useful, but it tends to confidently repeat popular advice, so proceed with caution.

3. Get Custom Fit

If you’re serious about becoming a better player, getting custom fit is hugely important. There’s no sense fighting your equipment if you don’t have to. Most better players get fit these days and, if they don’t, they’re usually skilled enough to work around clubs that aren’t ideal.

If you plan to play for a long time, it’s worth spending a little more upfront to get something that truly fits you and your game, rather than continually buying and discarding equipment.

Equipment rules haven’t really changed significantly since the early 2000s. To stay in business, manufacturers keep pushing those limits. If you pull a bunch of clubs and balls off the rack and test them, you’ll find differences. I’ve tested two new drivers and seen a 30-yard total distance gap. Usually, the issue isn’t bad equipment; it’s that the combination of components simply isn’t the best fit.

It’s like wearing a new pair of floppy clown shoes. Sure, they’re shoes—but you won’t sprint your best in them compared to track shoes that fit perfectly.

Be wary of what’s called custom fitting, too. Sometimes the term is used as a marketing strategy rather than an actual fitting. In some retail settings, fitters may be incentivized to steer you toward higher-priced components. That doesn’t automatically mean it’s not the best fit, but you should be aware of potential biases.

I learned a version of this lesson outside of golf. Years ago, I bought a tennis racquet at a big box store from a seemingly knowledgeable employee who thought it would suit me best. The racquet gave me tennis elbow, and I spent months recovering with rest and acupuncture. The next season, I invested more time and money to find what actually fit me, and I walked away with something amazing that I still play with years later.

So if you’re going to get fit, be smart about it.

Find someone you believe has deep knowledge—possibly with certifications, but not necessarily. Make sure there’s a wide inventory across many brands. Check recent reviews for the individual fitter if possible. Make sure you trust that the fitter has your best interests at heart. If they’re wearing a hat or shirt with a specific brand’s logo, proceed with caution. Unless you specifically want a certain brand or look, be wary of upsells, especially if two options perform nearly the same.

Also, while golf is called a sport of integrity, there’s a thread of manipulation in the industry. I once drafted an equipment article for an industry magazine, structured just like one of their previous popular stories, with matching word count and great photos. The assistant editor loved it; it was useful to readers and required little work on his part. But the editor-in-chief nixed the story. When I asked why, I was told it was because I wasn’t an advertiser. It turned out the article I’d modeled mine after was a paid ad cleverly disguised as editorial content.

I really dislike games, clickbait, and fear-based manipulation. I hope this changes, but golfers deserve to know it exists.

4. Distance and Strategy Matter

There’s a real relationship between how far you hit the ball and your scoring average, even at the PGA TOUR level.

I experienced this early in my pro career. I started as a power hitter, swinging in the high 120s and breaking 200 mph ball speed with a stock driver.

Back then, some instructors advised swinging at 80%, so I tried slowing down for more accuracy. That worked fine on shorter, tighter courses. But on longer setups, I was coming into greens with too much club, and par 5s stopped being

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