After a week in Bermuda, the PGA Tour heads to Playa Del Carmen, Mexico, for the 2021 World Wide Technology Championship at Mayakoba at El Camaleón Golf Club.

Previously named The Mayakoba Golf Classic and the OHL at Mayakoba, the event has been a Tour stop since 2007 but was an alternate event until 2014 when it was moved to November and became a primary event. Since then, the tournament has offered full FedEx Cup points and a sizable purse.

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The recent fields at Mayakoba have been pretty solid, but this year is one of the strongest fields in the tournament’s history. Some of the notable golfers among the 132 in the field include Justin Thomas, Tony Finau, Rickie Fowler, Viktor Hovland, Brooks Koepka, Sergio Garcia, Joaquin Niemann, Patrick Reed, Scottie Scheffler and Will Zalatoris.

El Camaleon Golf Club is a 6,987 yard Par 71 featuring paspalum greens. This short coastal track has played relatively easy since the tournament’s switch to November but can get tricky if the wind doesn’t cooperate.

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Let’s take a look at each DraftKings price range and identify the best plays for each in GPP’s.

10,000+

Justin Thomas $11,200

When evaluating Thomas’ previous Tour victories, a few things stand out. The first is that he often tends to win during “swing season”. Eight of his sixteen wins have come between the months of September and January. The other glaring finding of note is his success on shorter courses. TPC Kuala Lumpur (2), Waialae Country Club, PGA National Resort and Spa, and TPC Southwind are all courses where Thomas has won that are relatively short by Tour standards.

Another aspect of El Camaleón that should suit JT is the paspalum greens. Thomas ranks first in the field by a large margin in Strokes Gained: Total on courses that have paspalum greens. He is gaining an average of 2.4 strokes per round on the surface and the next best is 1.8 per round (Billy Horschel). Thomas’ high ranking on the surface is no surprise considering his amazing success on the courses that feature paspalum, including two victories at TPC Kuala Lumpur. One of the 28-year-old’s biggest detriments during his relative cold stretch has been his putter; returning to a surface he has dominated on should help turn that around.

9,000+

Scottie Scheffler $9,900:

Although his recent form has been fairly inconsistent, El Camaleón should fit Scheffler’s skill set nicely. Despite his struggles, Scottie still ranks in the top 25 in his past 24 rounds in both birdie or better and opportunities gained. He has the ability to go really low and make birdies in bunches. The 25-year-old has been struggling with the putter, and the slow greens this week should help him out a bit. 

8,000+

Sergio Garcia $8,700:

Sergio has been playing really consistent golf of late and has finished in the top 26 in eight of his past ten starts. In his past 24 rounds, Garcia ranks 6th in the field in Strokes Gained: Tee to Green, 8th in Strokes Gained: Ball Striking, and 3rd in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee. The Spaniard heads to a course that should theoretically neutralize his typical poor putting. The three-putt percentage at El Camaleón is much lower than the Tour average, as they roll extremely slowly. 

7,000+

Emiliano Grillo $7,500:

Another golfer who will benefit greatly from the paspalum greens is Emiliano Grillo. Nine of the top twenty-four Strokes Gained performances of his career have come on courses that feature paspalum. This is an absolutely amazing statistic considering there are only a handful of courses that meet that description. Similarly, seven of his past thirteen starts on paspalum have resulted in a finish of 11th place or better. Simply put, Emiliano Grillo is a completely different player when playing on his preferred green surface. 

Grillo has also been very successful at shorter courses in his career, with the reason being that he excels with shorter approach shots. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 1st in the field in proximity from 125-150 yards which is a distance he will be seeing quite often at El Camaleón. I also like the Argentines’ ability to put the ball in the fairway. Historically, golfers who keep the ball in play and rack up greens in regulation have had great success at El Camaleón.

6,000+

Hudson Swafford $7,000:

El Camaleón is a dream, and Hudson Swafford is a dream fit. The 34-year-old has played some of his best golf at similar setups, including a victory and a 6th place finish in his last two starts at Corales Puntacana, which has a similar layout with paspalum greens. He also has a 3rd place finish at Waialae Country Club, which has a lot of similarities to El Camaleón as well. 

In addition to the course fit, Swafford has been playing very well of late. In his past 24 rounds, he ranks 5th in Strokes Gained: Approach and 12th in Greens in Regulation: Gained, which has been a statistic highly indicative of the winner in recent iterations of the event.