Opinion & Analysis
Sentry Tournament of Champions prop bets: Marc Leishman the man to back in Maui

It’s ToC week at the Plantation Course this week at Maui, and wide fairways, huge greens, good putting and low scoring will be the result unless some unforecast severe wind arrives.
Players have had a month off from competitive action, so there is a chance we will see a repeat ‘shock’ winner as we did last year when Harris English putted his way to a playoff victory, but eventual winners tend to be in the top-10 of the betting market, and Matt Vincenzi has covered the outright bets here.
With a limited field of recent winners, there are rarely big priced specials to take advantage of, especially as history dictates that players thrive after their initial course/event outing.
Indeed, Tiger Woods took a 5th on debut before winning in 2000, whilst every champion from Steve Stricker in 2012 onwards improved on their first, second, or even sixth piece of Kapalua form.
Using that, here’s the best of this week’s props.
Jason Kokrak – Top 5/Top 10 – +500/+200
36-year-old Kokrak has been a late bloomer, known in the past for top-10 finishes but never as a winner, but after three official victories in 13 months (four including a pairs event), has now risen from outside of the top-100 to be a top-20 player.
Whilst his end-of-year double (Houston Open/QBE Shootout) is perhaps of lesser value than that of Viktor Hovland’s, both his wins were on Bermuda greens where he beat tournament favorite and Bermuda specialist Sam Burns, a player who trades at half Kokrak’s price despite the selection having had a course outing.
That 35th on debut was nothing to shout about, but, as discussed above, many future winners come on bundles from their initial outing. Long off the tee, he sits comfortably inside the top-50 on tour for approaches over the last season-and-a-bit (top-10 in this week’s field) and top-10 overall for strokes-gained-putting (in first place over the last 12 weeks). Go old-fashioned, and Kokrak sits inside the top-30 on tour for putting average, sixth for par-3’s (the toughest holes on this week’s track) and around 15th for the par-fives.
Translate that to a no-cut, shortened field, and a repeat of his first win at Shadow Creek is certainly no pipe-dream.
Marc Leishman – Top 5/Top 10 – +400/+170 (DraftKings)
The well-travelled Aussie may not have the all-round game to win the gold medal unless the wind blows enough to affect those at the top, but with four course outings under his belt and a game in pretty suitable form when we last saw him, he can land a place on the front page.
Winning the Travelers at River Highlands puts him alongside English, Dustin Johnson and Jordan Spieth, all winners at Maui, whilst three top-10s at The Masters gives credence to Spieth’s comment that the slopes on the greens at both Augusta and the Plantation course have similar problems to conquer.
As for the 2021 season, the tied-fifth at The Masters preceded an off-the-card win at the pairs event, the Zurich Classic, where he and compatriot Cameron Smith beat South African veterans Louis Oosthuizen and Charl Schwartzel, whist another top-five at River Highlands again showed how Leishman repeats form at the same tracks year-in-year-out.
In four outings since the 2021 playoffs, the 38-year-old has finished a fast-finishing fourth at Silverado, whilst another flying finish saw him record a place better at the Shriners Children’s Open behind Sungjae Im, a strong fancy for many this week. The CJ Cup was one of ‘those’ but for an eye-catching closing 64 whilst he led the field after a day one 65 in Houston before finishing inside the top 20.
Two recent top-four finishes at the Sony Open further illustrate how well he plays on the island, and he can put up a solid show this week in preparation for another tilt at Waialae.
Marc Leishman to beat Talor Gooch, Harris English and Brooks Koepka – +275 (DraftKings)
With group bets, the key is finding weak links and players that can be red-lined immediately.
With Leishman in the plan already, look for weaknesses amongst his opposition and in both the last quoted, there are genuine reasons to think they might struggle this week.
The case against Koepka is pretty clear. Sure, he has that third place on debut here in 2016, but a final round 71 meant he actually got beaten by nine shots, whilst he has only broken 70 once in eight rounds since. Indeed, through 2017 and 2018, when winning five events including three Majors, he recorded rounds at Plantation of 78 twice, 76, 75, 74 and 73.
Koepka turns up at events that matter most, whether it be ‘those’ four or at grudge television matches, and although a ninth-place finish at the recent Hero World Challenge was a boost after a period of poor results, he had every chance of winning until blowing up with a final round 74. With fitness always a doubt, this doesn’t look like the week to be with Brooks.
Defending champ, English, putted his way to the title last year after an approach game that would have seen him rank top five, at best, in previous years. However, since losing his trusty old putter grip after the Ryder Cup, the five-time winner has had a rough time, with a pair of missed-cuts sandwiching a withdrawal from the CJ Cup with a back injury.
The last time we saw English was a tied 14th at the 20-runner Hero, a result that was helped by a third-round 63, a rare beast in the Bulldog’s recent record.
Whilst he’s had time to recover from the ailments, the flat stick will prove a major part of this week’s winning armoury and, until that prowess returns, I easily passed him over.
The case against Gooch is harder to make given an improving profile that has seen him rise to 33rd in the world rankings after a win at the RSM Classic.
However, despite some excellent recent results, including a pair of top-five finishes at Sawgrass and Silverado, neither of those was on debut, and he will need to buck trends to improve that this week.
Plenty of recent winners at Maui have finished mid-division on their first run – Patrick Reed was 16th, Justin Thomas 21st, Xander Schauffele 22nd – and supporters of the Oklahoma Sooners should be happy with anything approaching that, in readiness for the season proper.
Opinion & Analysis
The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!
Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.
Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.
One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?
Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.
Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.
Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”
For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…
Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.
Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…
That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.
Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.
@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic
Podcasts
Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!
Opinion & Analysis
On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.
View this post on Instagram
“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”
Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.
That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.
As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.
I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.
One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.
The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.
If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.
Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.
As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.
It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.
David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.
In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:
“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”
Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”
Eventually, though, something shifts.
We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.
Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.
Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.
Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.
So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.
I see someone evolving.
He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.
It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.
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