Opinion & Analysis
Prediction: Phil will win at Pinehurst in 2014
Some might be tempted to call it quits after six runner-up finishes in the U.S. Open.
Sam Snead finished runner-up in four, never once winning the championship. Jack Nicklaus matched Snead with four second-place results; however, he won the event as many times.
Like Snead, Nancy Lopez also came in second-best in her national championship on four occasions, never once winning. While it’s true that these exercises in hollowness pale in comparison to the 19-year streak for futility of soap opera actress Susan Lucci, they are certainly gut-wrenching rewards that do not match the effort an energy dedicated by these golfing superstars to the annual showcase events of the United States Golf Association.
As many bitterly watched on Sunday, the gods of golf found a way to deny Phil Mickelson an inaugural Open championship of his own. Sunday, June 16, Bloomsday to the literary world, Father’s Day to many and 43rd birthday to Mickelson, brought another excruciating runner-up finish in a tournament he was desperate to win, that seemed destined to be his. In his own incomplete words, his finish at Merion was “very heart breaking.”
“This could have been the big [something] a really big turnaround for me on how I look at the U.S. Open and the tournament that I’d like to win, after having so many good opportunities,” Mickelson said after the round.
When a golfer searches for words “could have been the big…” the result could not have been more torturous.
Does it surprise you, then, that I predict that Phil Mickelson will win the 2014 U.S. Open? I write it with extreme confidence, for a number of reasons. If it’s facts you want, I have them. If it’s spiritual connections, I have those as well. My intent is to convince you that Phil’s town is not on Long Island (where he had three runner-up finishes), in Westchester county (one) or even the eponymous eastern Pennsylvania city of Phil-adelphia (one.) Phil’s star will finally shine bright in a small town known as the home of American golf in south-central North Carolina.
In 1999, a soon-to-be-30 and soon-to-be-a-daddy Phil Mickelson, outdueled a young Tiger Woods, only to have Payne Stewart enact the role of Harry Houdini and drain a monster 15-foot par putt on the 72nd hole to avoid a playoff and win the Open outright. In a moment frozen in time (and made all the more poignant and symbolic by Stewart’s untimely death less than six months later), Stewart grabbed Mickelson’s face in his hands and nearly shouted “You’re going to be a father, you’re going to be a father.” That Stewart chose to focus on Phil’s impending role as parent, rather than consolation for a job nearly well done, set in motion a spiritual trajectory that saw Mickelson through the birth of two other children and the personal health battles of his wife, son and mother.
Given that connection to Pinehurst (and ignoring the interim Open there in 2005, when Mickelson finished T33), is there any greater place for Mickelson to close fate’s circle than Pinehurst in 2014? I think not.
Fine, you don’t believe in spiritual connections. Let me suggest, then, that the “new” Pinehurst No. 2 sets up better than any other U.S. Open venue for Phil’s particular golfing phraseology. Since its restoration a year ago by Bill Coore and Ben Crenshaw, Pinehurst No. 2 has returned to its Donald Ross origin of fairway width and manageable, sand-and-pine-straw rough. It is often written of Mickelson that he’d rather be in trouble, with an opportunity to manufacture a shot, than in the middle of the fairway, faced with a straightforward approach. At Pinehurst, he’ll be able to manufacture recovery shots in most situations, which might allow him to use driver with greater confidence.
Once you’re on the greens at Pinehurst No. 2, their contours and movements are for the most part negotiable. It’s the missing of the greens that causes consternation, followed by discomposure and vexation, for many competitors (channeling John Daly’s six–chip, are we?) Well, it’s for those very bumps, flops, spinners and nudges that Phil Mickelson is known. He handles a missed green with aplomb, knowing that he has either hit the recovery shot before or that he relishes the prospect of adding a new weapon to his stockpile.
You won’t need to give credit where it’s due (to me) nor sing of my clairvoyance for ages to come. The site of Phil phinally, sorry, finally hoisting the unnamed U.S. Open champion’s trophy will be reward enough for me and, I suspect, all of golf. And for those of you with scant knowledge of Susan Lucci, after 19 successive yet unsuccessful nominations for Best Actress in a soap opera, she finally won on her 20th attempt…in 1999.
Opinion & Analysis
Brandel Chamblee PGA Championship Q&A: Rose’s huge McLaren risk, distracted LIV pros and why Aronimink suits the bombers
PGA Championship week is here, and Brandel Chamblee did not hold back in our latest discussion ahead of the season’s second major.
In our 2026 PGA Championship Q&A, golf’s leading analyst made the case that PIF pulling LIV’s funding has left its players competing in a state of confusion, called Justin Rose’s mid-season equipment switch a huge risk at 45, and explained why Aronimink will be a bombers’ delight this week.
Check out the full Q&A below.
Gianni: With the PIF confirming that they’re pulling funding from LIV at the end of the season, what impact do you expect that to have on the LIV players competing at the PGA Championship?
Brandel: I would imagine that they have all been thrown into a state of confusion, and will be distracted, not knowing where they are going to play next year and not knowing exactly their road back to either the DP World Tour or the PGA Tour. Or in Rahm’s case, being tied to a sinking ship for the next few years, likely playing for pennies on the dollar in events that no one cares about or watches.
I doubt this would put him in the best frame of mind to compete at his highest level. Keeping in mind, however, that majors are the only time that LIV disciples get to play in events that matter, so never disregard the motivation they have to prove to the world they are still relevant.
Gianni: Justin Rose switched to McLaren Golf equipment mid-season while playing some of the best golf of his career. What do you make of the change?
Brandel: I don’t really know what to make of Rose switching equipment. It seems a huge risk on his part, even though it is likely, in my opinion, that the clubs he’s playing are similar, if not the exact grinds, to what he was playing previously, with a McLaren stamp on them.
Having said that, at best, it is a distraction when he seemed to be as dialed in with his game as any 45-year-old could be and trending in the majors to perhaps do something that would definitely put him in the Hall of Fame. At worst, given the possibility that these clubs aren’t just duplicates of his old set stamped with McLaren on them, he’s made an equipment change that would take time, and 45-year-old athletes don’t have the time to do such things.
Gianni: Aronimink has only hosted a handful of professional events since it hosted the 1962 PGA Championship. What kind of test does it present, and does a course with less recent major championship history tend to level the playing field?
Brandel: Even though Aronimink has only hosted a handful of meaningful professional events, it has been fairly discerning in who can win there. When Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship on the Donald Ross masterpiece in 2018, he was the 2nd best iron player on tour coming into that week. When Nick Watney won the AT&T at Aronimink in 2011, he was 2nd in strokes gained total coming into the week.
In 2020, Aronimink hosted the KPMG Championship, and Sei Young Kim won. On the LPGA that year, she was first in greens in regulation, putts per green in regulation, and scoring average on the way to being the LPGA player of the year. And then there is the 1962 PGA Championship won by Gary Player, who eventually became just one of a few players to win the career grand slam on the way to winning 9 majors. It is a formidable test, and if it’s not softened by rain, it will bring out the best in the upper echelons of the game.
Gianni: Is there a specific hole at Aronimink that you think will do the most to decide the winner?
Brandel: The hardest hole at Aronimink in each of the three tour events that have been played there since 2010 has been the long par-3 8th hole, with the par-4 10th being the second hardest, so most of the carnage will happen around the turn, but with the par-5 16th offering opportunities for bold plays and the tough closing holes at 17 and 18, the finish is likely to be frenetic.
Gianni: The PGA Championship has always sat in the shadow of the other majors. What does the ideal PGA Championship look like in your eyes, and what would it take for it to carve out its own identity?
Brandel: The PGA Championship, to whatever degree it suffers from the comparison to the other three majors, is still counted just as much when adding them up at the end of one’s career. Almost 1/3 of Nicklaus’ major wins were the five PGA Championships he won. Walter Hagen won 11 majors, five of which were PGA Championships.
Tiger Woods twice in his career won back-to-back PGA Championships, and those four majors count just as much as the other 11 he won. The PGA may not have the prestige of the other three, but it carries the same weight. Having said that, I preferred the identity that it had as the last major of the year.
Gianni: You nailed your Masters picks. Rory won, Scottie finished solo second, and Morikawa surged to a tie for seventh. Who are your top 3 picks for the PGA Championship and why?
Brandel: I am not a huge fan of majors played on golf courses that have been shorn of most of the trees, although I understand some of the agronomic reasons for doing so and of course the ease with which it allows members to play after errant drives. However, at the highest level, it all but eliminates any strategy off the tee and turns professional golf into an even bigger slugfest. That means that it will likely be a bomber’s delight this week, but fortunately, Scottie Scheffler is long enough to play that game and straight enough to play it better than anyone else.
The major championships give us very few surprises anymore, going back to the beginning of 2012, so the last 57 majors played, the average world rank of the winners has been better than 15th in the world. So look at the highest ranked and longest drivers who are on form coming into the PGA Championship who also have great short games as the surrounds at Aronimink are very challenging. That’s Scottie Scheffler by a mile and then McIlroy and Cameron Young with a far bigger nod towards DeChambeau than I gave him at the Masters.
Club Junkie
A putter that I love and hate – Club Junkie Podcast
In this episode of the Club Junkie Podcast, we dive into one of the most interesting flatstick releases of the year with a full review of the new TaylorMade SYSTM 2 putters. After spending time on the greens, I break down what makes this design stand out, where it performs, and why it has me completely torn between loving it and fighting it. If you are into feel, alignment, and consistency, this is one you will want to hear about.
We also take a look at some of the putters in play on the PGA Tour last week. From familiar favorites to a few surprising setups, there is always something to learn from what the best players in the world are rolling with under pressure.
To wrap things up, I walk through the process of building a set of JP Golf Prime irons paired with Baddazz Gold Series shafts. From component selection to performance goals, this is a deep dive into what goes into creating a unique custom set and why this combo has been so intriguing.
Opinion & Analysis
From 14 handicap to pro: 4 things I’d tell golfers at 50
This year my 50th birthday. Gosh, where has the time gone?
As a teenager in rural Missouri, some of my junior high and high school years felt interminable. Graduation seemed light years away. But the older I get, the faster life seems to fly by.
I’m also increasingly aware of my mortality. My dad died recently. Earlier this year, a friend and fellow PGA of America professional and I were texting about our next catch-up. The next message I received was news of his unexpected passing at 48. Shortly after, a woman I dated in college succumbed to cancer at 51.
Certainly, one can share perspective at any age. Seniors help freshmen, veterans guide rookies. But reaching this milestone feels like as good a time as any to do one of those “what would I tell my younger self?” articles.
I’ve had a uniquely varied career in golf. I started as a 27-year-old, average-length-hitting, 14-handicap computer engineer and somehow managed to turn pro before running out of money, constantly bootstrapping my way forward. I’ve won qualifiers and set venue records in the World Long Drive Championships, finished fifth at the Speedgolf World Championships, coached all skill levels as a PGA of America professional, built industry-leading swing speed training programs for Swing Man Golf, helped advance the single-length iron market with Sterling Irons®, caddied on the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, and played about 300 courses across 32 countries.
It’s been a ride, and I’ve gone both deep and wide.
So while I can consult and advise from a lot of angles, let me keep it to a few things I’d tell the average golfer who wants to improve.
1. Think About What You Want
Everyone has their own reason for picking up a golf club.
Oddly, as a professional athlete, I’m not internally driven by competition. That can be challenging, as the industry currently prioritizes and incentivizes competition over the love of the game.
For me, I love walking and being outdoors. Nature helps balance my energy. I prefer courses that are integrated into the natural beauty of their surroundings. I’m comfortable practicing alone. I’m a deep thinker, and I genuinely enjoy investigating the game, using data and intuition to unearth unique, often innovative insights. I’m fortunate to be strong and athletic, so I appreciate the chance to engage with my abilities. Traveling feels adventurous. I could go on.
You don’t have to overthink it like I do. For you, it might be as simple as hitting balls to escape work, hanging out with friends, and playing loosely with the rules and the score.
The point is to give yourself permission to play for your own reasons, and let that be enough.
But if improvement is your goal, thinking about your destination—and when you want to get there—is important, because it dictates the steps you need to take. When I set out to go from a 14-handicap to the PGA TOUR as quickly as possible, the steps I needed were very different from those of a working golfer trying to break 90 in six months. That’s also different from someone who just wants a few peaceful hours outside each week, away from work or family.
None of these goals are better than the others, but each requires a different plan that you can work backward from.
2. There Are Lots of Things That Can Work
One of the challenges of golf is that, although there are rules for playing, there aren’t clear, industry-wide standards for how to best play the game. There’s a lot of gray area.
You might hear a top coach or trainer insist that a certain move is the best way to swing or train. Then you dig a bit deeper and, much to your confusion and frustration, another respected coach or trainer says something completely different. I don’t think anyone is trying to confuse you—at least I hope not. It’s just where the industry is right now.
You have to be careful with advice from tournament pros, too. They might be great at scoring, but they’re also human and sometimes just as susceptible as amateurs to believing things that don’t really move the needle. Tour players might describe what they feel, but that’s not always what they’re actually doing when assessed with technology.
I recently ran a test on my YouTube channel (which connects to my GolfWRX article “How to use your hands in the golf swing for power and accuracy”), and, interestingly, two of the most commonly taught hand actions produced the worst results in the test.
Coaches can certainly help. If you find someone you connect with to help navigate, that’s great. But there are many ways to get the ball in the hole. In the current landscape, you may need to seek multiple opinions, think critically, and use your own intuition to discern what seems true and whose advice resonates with you.
I’d recommend seeking someone who is open-minded and always learning, because things constantly change. Absolutes like “correct” or “proper” should raise a red flag. AI can be useful, but it tends to confidently repeat popular advice, so proceed with caution.
3. Get Custom Fit
If you’re serious about becoming a better player, getting custom fit is hugely important. There’s no sense fighting your equipment if you don’t have to. Most better players get fit these days and, if they don’t, they’re usually skilled enough to work around clubs that aren’t ideal.
If you plan to play for a long time, it’s worth spending a little more upfront to get something that truly fits you and your game, rather than continually buying and discarding equipment.
Equipment rules haven’t really changed significantly since the early 2000s. To stay in business, manufacturers keep pushing those limits. If you pull a bunch of clubs and balls off the rack and test them, you’ll find differences. I’ve tested two new drivers and seen a 30-yard total distance gap. Usually, the issue isn’t bad equipment; it’s that the combination of components simply isn’t the best fit.
It’s like wearing a new pair of floppy clown shoes. Sure, they’re shoes—but you won’t sprint your best in them compared to track shoes that fit perfectly.
Be wary of what’s called custom fitting, too. Sometimes the term is used as a marketing strategy rather than an actual fitting. In some retail settings, fitters may be incentivized to steer you toward higher-priced components. That doesn’t automatically mean it’s not the best fit, but you should be aware of potential biases.
I learned a version of this lesson outside of golf. Years ago, I bought a tennis racquet at a big box store from a seemingly knowledgeable employee who thought it would suit me best. The racquet gave me tennis elbow, and I spent months recovering with rest and acupuncture. The next season, I invested more time and money to find what actually fit me, and I walked away with something amazing that I still play with years later.
So if you’re going to get fit, be smart about it.
Find someone you believe has deep knowledge—possibly with certifications, but not necessarily. Make sure there’s a wide inventory across many brands. Check recent reviews for the individual fitter if possible. Make sure you trust that the fitter has your best interests at heart. If they’re wearing a hat or shirt with a specific brand’s logo, proceed with caution. Unless you specifically want a certain brand or look, be wary of upsells, especially if two options perform nearly the same.
Also, while golf is called a sport of integrity, there’s a thread of manipulation in the industry. I once drafted an equipment article for an industry magazine, structured just like one of their previous popular stories, with matching word count and great photos. The assistant editor loved it; it was useful to readers and required little work on his part. But the editor-in-chief nixed the story. When I asked why, I was told it was because I wasn’t an advertiser. It turned out the article I’d modeled mine after was a paid ad cleverly disguised as editorial content.
I really dislike games, clickbait, and fear-based manipulation. I hope this changes, but golfers deserve to know it exists.
4. Distance and Strategy Matter
There’s a real relationship between how far you hit the ball and your scoring average, even at the PGA TOUR level.
I experienced this early in my pro career. I started as a power hitter, swinging in the high 120s and breaking 200 mph ball speed with a stock driver.
Back then, some instructors advised swinging at 80%, so I tried slowing down for more accuracy. That worked fine on shorter, tighter courses. But on longer setups, I was coming into greens with too much club, and par 5s stopped being
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Tom Allinder
Jul 10, 2013 at 7:47 am
Ronald, I agree with you. I think Pinehurst #2 is the best venue for Phil to get his U.S. Open. I was thinking in the months before the U.S. Open at Merion that Phil would have a hard time there; I was wrong. At Pinehurst #2 (I have played the course a few times), the premium is absolutely on play AROUND the greens.
Ronald Montesano
Jun 20, 2013 at 6:24 pm
No doubt, Ryan. More guys in the running next year. I think that Phil’s trump card is his magic around the greens.
Bart, he’ll not be dumping Bones. You are correct about #2 and #3, but there has to be a point at which he has a good putting week at an Open and makes a few less whacky choices.
Bart carter
Jun 20, 2013 at 4:27 pm
1, he needs to sack his caddy,2, he has to be the streakiest putter ever, this won’t cut it,3, he continues to make stupid choices, being the best at miracle shots to try and escape the poor drive/approach will not get him home all the time. I also predict he’ll never win a U.S open and certainly not “The Open”.
Ryan Caddell
Jun 20, 2013 at 8:22 am
There’s a lot more than pine straw and sand where the rough used to be…. wire grass, sticks, pine cones, weeds. Also, the lack of rough should bring more guys to the table. It will be firm and FAST through the fairways. Good shots will roll in to the natural areas, and unless you get lucky there will be obstacles to deal with. I am excited to see how the pros (men and women) handle the new (old) setup. Growing up in Pinehurst I have seen a lot of great golf tournaments… next year could be the best yet.
Ronald Montesano
Jun 19, 2013 at 6:39 pm
Love the feedback. Keep it coming, gang. I’m hopeful that the universal kharma machine decides it’s Phil’s time.
Socorr4
Jun 19, 2013 at 3:26 pm
I’ll take that bet!!
With one more year on his clock and fractured psyche after failing to deliver on his dream this year, I’ll go out on a limb: Mickelson will NEVER win the US Open and probably won’t’even contend in many other majors.
BigBoy
Jun 19, 2013 at 6:15 am
Phil da Phillper wont win a US Open……one of them “set up for birdie” courses, yes…..but not a classically designed course.
Ronald Montesano
Jun 19, 2013 at 6:05 am
Merion’s greens ate up a lot of golfers last weekend; Phil was hardly alone. I’ll check Rose’s putting stats, but I would doubt he missed as many as Phil or Tiger when they counted. The winner in hindsight is usually the player that converted critical putts form a variety of makeable distances.
Joe Golfer
Jun 19, 2013 at 2:16 am
That’s a good assessment of Phil’s game.
I think he’s really going to be gunning for the win next year.
Not that he wasn’t super serious about it this year.
He probably will play more practice rounds at the course next year, weather permitting.
I liked that SuperStroke grip he used on his putter. Those greens at up a lot of golfers at Merion. Phil may have missed some putts, but they certainly weren’t gimmes, and he burned the edges of the cup numerous times.
Even at his current age, he’s still one of the top guns on tour, so I think his chances will be as good as anyone’s next year.
And this article makes it sound like the course suits his game.
After all his second place finishes at the US Open, I think I’ll be rooting for him next year.
I was sort of hoping he’d tie Justin Rose on the 18th at Merion, though it would have been really tough to do.
I really wasn’t rooting for either guy though, as both seemed worthy of the championship. That 18 hole playoff would have been must-see tv.
kyle
Jun 18, 2013 at 11:43 pm
Ya if he is gonna win he will have to have a better putter. His putting this last week was not good for considering how many birdie putts he had. He really did not convert well. I saw him make a par save from maybe 8ft. Other than that he was ice cold from 15 ft and in.