Opinion & Analysis
The Barclays: Picks and Preview
The PGA Tour Playoffs are here! Thus begins Brandt Snedeker’s FedExCup defense, as the top 123 golfers in the FedExCup points list (Zach Johnson and Steve Stricker are sitting this one out) head to Paul Fireman’s much-maligned Liberty National Golf Course in Jersey City, NJ.
Tom Kite and Bob Cupp have worked extensively to redesign the course since The Barclays was last held at Liberty National in 2009. We’ll see if player sentiment toward the 7,400 yard-track has shifted this week.
In the last go round under the watchful gaze of Lady Liberty, it was difficult for players to keep their tee shots in the fairways and even more difficult to hold the undulating greens on approaches. The scoring average in 2009 was 72.282, making the course the toughest par 71 on Tour that year.
If Liberty National isn’t unfairly penal this year, the best player will be rewarded. But if the course plays the way it did in 2009, another Heath Slocum could win.
You can catch the Barclays on T.V. by tuning in to:
- Thursday and Friday: Golf Channel 3-6 p.m. ET
- Saturday: Golf Channel 1-2:30 p.m., CBS 3-6 p.m. ET
- Sunday: Golf Channel 12-1:30 p.m., CBS 2-6 p.m. ET
Here’s a look at the players the oddsmakers give the best chances of capturing the first leg of the FedExCup playoffs.
Tiger Woods: 5-1 odds*
Tiger Woods finished tied for second, one stroke behind winner Heath Slocum, last time the Barclays was played at Liberty National. He didn’t love the course — you may remember his joke about Tom Kite designing it before having eye surgery — but he played it well.
Much has been made of Tiger’s lack of a major win in 2013 in general and his performance on the weekends in majors, in particular. However, he’s won five times this year, including his last non-major start before the PGA (the WGC-Bridgestone). Tiger is as safe of a bet this week as he was entering the WGC-Bridgestone and the Memorial. Obviously he won the former and blew up at the latter.
A Woods victory wouldn’t be surpassing, but neither would another campaign of struggling on the putting surfaces. I’m passing over Tiger this week.
Adam Scott: 16-1 odds
It seems Adam Scott’s odds of winning are between 20-1 and 10-1 every week. Two of his last three starts on the PGA Tour were in majors and he finished inside the top 10 in both in addition to putting together a respectable finish at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational (T14).
His victory at the Masters makes 2013 a career year for Scott, however, he’d surely like another win to bookend his season. Although the Australian got better each round at Liberty National in 2009 (75-72-72-70), he still finished tied for 58th. Given this, even with the rest and quality form, I don’t see Scott finishing inside the top 10 this week.
Henrik Stenson: 18-1 odds
It’s really surprising that Henrik Stenson hasn’t won this year.
Stenson has been scorching lately, with two seconds and two thirds in his last four starts. However, he didn’t play at Liberty National in 2009 and is due to cool off. Although his high-ball-hitting style could translate well to the Cupp/Kite course, I expect a slight chill for the Swede this week.
Phil Mickelson: 18-1 odds
Lefty didn’t exactly turn in a memorable performance at Liberty National in 2009, when he shot 75-74 on Friday and Saturday, respectively. However, he did card a final-round 69, which jumpstarted the remainder of his career.
Further, Mickelson is an honorary member at Liberty National (although it’s unlikely he regularly plays in a weekend foursome there). I think Phil’s lack of accuracy makes it difficult for him to finish inside the top 20 this week.
We’ve also spotted Lefty on Liberty National’s range (in our tour photos) tinkering with all three of his drivers, Callaway’s Razr Fit Xtreme, Phrankenwood and 3Deep. He likely won’t carry all three clubs, which makes us think that he’s still indecisive about his game plan.
Dustin Johnson: 25-1 odds
Dustin Johnson (he’s engaged to Paulina Gretzky, in case you hadn’t heard) took last week off after his T8 finish at the PGA Championship. In a sense, he’ll be well rested as he tackles Liberty National this week, a course where he finished tied for 15th in 2009 thanks to a blistering final-round 64.
Here’s my largely irrational reasoning behind why I’m picking DJ this week: When the public speculation that he and Paulina were first an item began at the beginning of the season, Johnson went out and won the Hyundai Tournament of Champions. Now that it’s been confirmed the two are engaged, he’s certainly due for another win, right?
Brandt Snedeker: 28-1 odds
Since winning the RBC Open late last month, Brandt Snedeker hasn’t been at his best. Sneds finished tied for 33rd at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational, tied for 66th at the PGA Championship, and he missed the cut at last week’s Wyndham Championship.
Snedeker, who has the reigning best/worst head of hair on the PGA Tour now that Charley Hoffman has shorn his locks did play well at the Barclays in 2009. That year, Snedeker shot 67, 66 on the weekend to finish T12. However, given his sagging form as of late, and the fact that this is the sixth week in a row he’s teeing it up, I see Snedeker barely making the cut in New Jersey.
Jason Dufner: 30-1 odds
Jason Dufner hasn’t played since winning the PGA Championship. He has, however, made a media tour of New York City, bought a puppy, and received cryotherapy (see the above picture he tweeted).
Dufner was heading in a positive direction after a T4 finish at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational. Obviously, his win at Oak Hill continued that trend. Back in 2009, Dufner missed the cut at Liberty National with rounds of 73-77. That, plus the fact that he’s due for a letdown after lifting the Wanamaker, makes a Dufner finish inside the top 25 unlikely.
Webb Simpson: 30-1 odds
Simpson had a legitimate shot at winning the 2009 Barclays after opening with rounds of 66-68. However, he stalled on the weekend, shooting 72-72 over the stretch to finish eighth. Regardless, he’s clearly a horse for a course the pros have only played once.
Simpson has also made seven consecutive cuts and fired a superb final-round 63 to conclude the Wyndham Championship last week. I’d be surprised to see the Wake Forest grad outside the top 10 and at 30-1 odds, he’s a solid value play.
Hunter Mahan: 33-1 odds
Since becoming a father, Hunter Mahan has only teed it up once, at the PGA Championship, where he finished tied for 57th. It’s tempting to say the golfer’s head will be elsewhere. However, considering that Mahan was able to secure the lead in a golf tournament with his wife on the verge of giving birth, he’s clearly able to deal with the distraction.
He also played well last time he competed at Liberty National where he finished tied for 20th in 2009. Given all of this, I expect Mahan to make the cut, but don’t expect him to finish inside the top 20.
Jason Day: 33-1 odds
At 33-1 odds, Jason Day is a dark horse this week. He should have much better odds to win, however. Day has made 21 straight cuts and most recently notched another top 10 in a major at the PGA Championship, giving him three this year.
He tied for 12th at the Barclays last time around. Even with his low marks in accuracy and greens in regulation this year, Day’s putting has kept him around the tops of leaderboards. Expect the same this week.
*odds according to Bovada.com
Opinion & Analysis
Brandel Chamblee PGA Championship Q&A: Rose’s huge McLaren risk, distracted LIV pros and why Aronimink suits the bombers
PGA Championship week is here, and Brandel Chamblee did not hold back in our latest discussion ahead of the season’s second major.
In our 2026 PGA Championship Q&A, golf’s leading analyst made the case that PIF pulling LIV’s funding has left its players competing in a state of confusion, called Justin Rose’s mid-season equipment switch a huge risk at 45, and explained why Aronimink will be a bombers’ delight this week.
Check out the full Q&A below.
Gianni: With the PIF confirming that they’re pulling funding from LIV at the end of the season, what impact do you expect that to have on the LIV players competing at the PGA Championship?
Brandel: I would imagine that they have all been thrown into a state of confusion, and will be distracted, not knowing where they are going to play next year and not knowing exactly their road back to either the DP World Tour or the PGA Tour. Or in Rahm’s case, being tied to a sinking ship for the next few years, likely playing for pennies on the dollar in events that no one cares about or watches.
I doubt this would put him in the best frame of mind to compete at his highest level. Keeping in mind, however, that majors are the only time that LIV disciples get to play in events that matter, so never disregard the motivation they have to prove to the world they are still relevant.
Gianni: Justin Rose switched to McLaren Golf equipment mid-season while playing some of the best golf of his career. What do you make of the change?
Brandel: I don’t really know what to make of Rose switching equipment. It seems a huge risk on his part, even though it is likely, in my opinion, that the clubs he’s playing are similar, if not the exact grinds, to what he was playing previously, with a McLaren stamp on them.
Having said that, at best, it is a distraction when he seemed to be as dialed in with his game as any 45-year-old could be and trending in the majors to perhaps do something that would definitely put him in the Hall of Fame. At worst, given the possibility that these clubs aren’t just duplicates of his old set stamped with McLaren on them, he’s made an equipment change that would take time, and 45-year-old athletes don’t have the time to do such things.
Gianni: Aronimink has only hosted a handful of professional events since it hosted the 1962 PGA Championship. What kind of test does it present, and does a course with less recent major championship history tend to level the playing field?
Brandel: Even though Aronimink has only hosted a handful of meaningful professional events, it has been fairly discerning in who can win there. When Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship on the Donald Ross masterpiece in 2018, he was the 2nd best iron player on tour coming into that week. When Nick Watney won the AT&T at Aronimink in 2011, he was 2nd in strokes gained total coming into the week.
In 2020, Aronimink hosted the KPMG Championship, and Sei Young Kim won. On the LPGA that year, she was first in greens in regulation, putts per green in regulation, and scoring average on the way to being the LPGA player of the year. And then there is the 1962 PGA Championship won by Gary Player, who eventually became just one of a few players to win the career grand slam on the way to winning 9 majors. It is a formidable test, and if it’s not softened by rain, it will bring out the best in the upper echelons of the game.
Gianni: Is there a specific hole at Aronimink that you think will do the most to decide the winner?
Brandel: The hardest hole at Aronimink in each of the three tour events that have been played there since 2010 has been the long par-3 8th hole, with the par-4 10th being the second hardest, so most of the carnage will happen around the turn, but with the par-5 16th offering opportunities for bold plays and the tough closing holes at 17 and 18, the finish is likely to be frenetic.
Gianni: The PGA Championship has always sat in the shadow of the other majors. What does the ideal PGA Championship look like in your eyes, and what would it take for it to carve out its own identity?
Brandel: The PGA Championship, to whatever degree it suffers from the comparison to the other three majors, is still counted just as much when adding them up at the end of one’s career. Almost 1/3 of Nicklaus’ major wins were the five PGA Championships he won. Walter Hagen won 11 majors, five of which were PGA Championships.
Tiger Woods twice in his career won back-to-back PGA Championships, and those four majors count just as much as the other 11 he won. The PGA may not have the prestige of the other three, but it carries the same weight. Having said that, I preferred the identity that it had as the last major of the year.
Gianni: You nailed your Masters picks. Rory won, Scottie finished solo second, and Morikawa surged to a tie for seventh. Who are your top 3 picks for the PGA Championship and why?
Brandel: I am not a huge fan of majors played on golf courses that have been shorn of most of the trees, although I understand some of the agronomic reasons for doing so and of course the ease with which it allows members to play after errant drives. However, at the highest level, it all but eliminates any strategy off the tee and turns professional golf into an even bigger slugfest. That means that it will likely be a bomber’s delight this week, but fortunately, Scottie Scheffler is long enough to play that game and straight enough to play it better than anyone else.
The major championships give us very few surprises anymore, going back to the beginning of 2012, so the last 57 majors played, the average world rank of the winners has been better than 15th in the world. So look at the highest ranked and longest drivers who are on form coming into the PGA Championship who also have great short games as the surrounds at Aronimink are very challenging. That’s Scottie Scheffler by a mile and then McIlroy and Cameron Young with a far bigger nod towards DeChambeau than I gave him at the Masters.
Club Junkie
A putter that I love and hate – Club Junkie Podcast
In this episode of the Club Junkie Podcast, we dive into one of the most interesting flatstick releases of the year with a full review of the new TaylorMade SYSTM 2 putters. After spending time on the greens, I break down what makes this design stand out, where it performs, and why it has me completely torn between loving it and fighting it. If you are into feel, alignment, and consistency, this is one you will want to hear about.
We also take a look at some of the putters in play on the PGA Tour last week. From familiar favorites to a few surprising setups, there is always something to learn from what the best players in the world are rolling with under pressure.
To wrap things up, I walk through the process of building a set of JP Golf Prime irons paired with Baddazz Gold Series shafts. From component selection to performance goals, this is a deep dive into what goes into creating a unique custom set and why this combo has been so intriguing.
Opinion & Analysis
From 14 handicap to pro: 4 things I’d tell golfers at 50
This year my 50th birthday. Gosh, where has the time gone?
As a teenager in rural Missouri, some of my junior high and high school years felt interminable. Graduation seemed light years away. But the older I get, the faster life seems to fly by.
I’m also increasingly aware of my mortality. My dad died recently. Earlier this year, a friend and fellow PGA of America professional and I were texting about our next catch-up. The next message I received was news of his unexpected passing at 48. Shortly after, a woman I dated in college succumbed to cancer at 51.
Certainly, one can share perspective at any age. Seniors help freshmen, veterans guide rookies. But reaching this milestone feels like as good a time as any to do one of those “what would I tell my younger self?” articles.
I’ve had a uniquely varied career in golf. I started as a 27-year-old, average-length-hitting, 14-handicap computer engineer and somehow managed to turn pro before running out of money, constantly bootstrapping my way forward. I’ve won qualifiers and set venue records in the World Long Drive Championships, finished fifth at the Speedgolf World Championships, coached all skill levels as a PGA of America professional, built industry-leading swing speed training programs for Swing Man Golf, helped advance the single-length iron market with Sterling Irons®, caddied on the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, and played about 300 courses across 32 countries.
It’s been a ride, and I’ve gone both deep and wide.
So while I can consult and advise from a lot of angles, let me keep it to a few things I’d tell the average golfer who wants to improve.
1. Think About What You Want
Everyone has their own reason for picking up a golf club.
Oddly, as a professional athlete, I’m not internally driven by competition. That can be challenging, as the industry currently prioritizes and incentivizes competition over the love of the game.
For me, I love walking and being outdoors. Nature helps balance my energy. I prefer courses that are integrated into the natural beauty of their surroundings. I’m comfortable practicing alone. I’m a deep thinker, and I genuinely enjoy investigating the game, using data and intuition to unearth unique, often innovative insights. I’m fortunate to be strong and athletic, so I appreciate the chance to engage with my abilities. Traveling feels adventurous. I could go on.
You don’t have to overthink it like I do. For you, it might be as simple as hitting balls to escape work, hanging out with friends, and playing loosely with the rules and the score.
The point is to give yourself permission to play for your own reasons, and let that be enough.
But if improvement is your goal, thinking about your destination—and when you want to get there—is important, because it dictates the steps you need to take. When I set out to go from a 14-handicap to the PGA TOUR as quickly as possible, the steps I needed were very different from those of a working golfer trying to break 90 in six months. That’s also different from someone who just wants a few peaceful hours outside each week, away from work or family.
None of these goals are better than the others, but each requires a different plan that you can work backward from.
2. There Are Lots of Things That Can Work
One of the challenges of golf is that, although there are rules for playing, there aren’t clear, industry-wide standards for how to best play the game. There’s a lot of gray area.
You might hear a top coach or trainer insist that a certain move is the best way to swing or train. Then you dig a bit deeper and, much to your confusion and frustration, another respected coach or trainer says something completely different. I don’t think anyone is trying to confuse you—at least I hope not. It’s just where the industry is right now.
You have to be careful with advice from tournament pros, too. They might be great at scoring, but they’re also human and sometimes just as susceptible as amateurs to believing things that don’t really move the needle. Tour players might describe what they feel, but that’s not always what they’re actually doing when assessed with technology.
I recently ran a test on my YouTube channel (which connects to my GolfWRX article “How to use your hands in the golf swing for power and accuracy”), and, interestingly, two of the most commonly taught hand actions produced the worst results in the test.
Coaches can certainly help. If you find someone you connect with to help navigate, that’s great. But there are many ways to get the ball in the hole. In the current landscape, you may need to seek multiple opinions, think critically, and use your own intuition to discern what seems true and whose advice resonates with you.
I’d recommend seeking someone who is open-minded and always learning, because things constantly change. Absolutes like “correct” or “proper” should raise a red flag. AI can be useful, but it tends to confidently repeat popular advice, so proceed with caution.
3. Get Custom Fit
If you’re serious about becoming a better player, getting custom fit is hugely important. There’s no sense fighting your equipment if you don’t have to. Most better players get fit these days and, if they don’t, they’re usually skilled enough to work around clubs that aren’t ideal.
If you plan to play for a long time, it’s worth spending a little more upfront to get something that truly fits you and your game, rather than continually buying and discarding equipment.
Equipment rules haven’t really changed significantly since the early 2000s. To stay in business, manufacturers keep pushing those limits. If you pull a bunch of clubs and balls off the rack and test them, you’ll find differences. I’ve tested two new drivers and seen a 30-yard total distance gap. Usually, the issue isn’t bad equipment; it’s that the combination of components simply isn’t the best fit.
It’s like wearing a new pair of floppy clown shoes. Sure, they’re shoes—but you won’t sprint your best in them compared to track shoes that fit perfectly.
Be wary of what’s called custom fitting, too. Sometimes the term is used as a marketing strategy rather than an actual fitting. In some retail settings, fitters may be incentivized to steer you toward higher-priced components. That doesn’t automatically mean it’s not the best fit, but you should be aware of potential biases.
I learned a version of this lesson outside of golf. Years ago, I bought a tennis racquet at a big box store from a seemingly knowledgeable employee who thought it would suit me best. The racquet gave me tennis elbow, and I spent months recovering with rest and acupuncture. The next season, I invested more time and money to find what actually fit me, and I walked away with something amazing that I still play with years later.
So if you’re going to get fit, be smart about it.
Find someone you believe has deep knowledge—possibly with certifications, but not necessarily. Make sure there’s a wide inventory across many brands. Check recent reviews for the individual fitter if possible. Make sure you trust that the fitter has your best interests at heart. If they’re wearing a hat or shirt with a specific brand’s logo, proceed with caution. Unless you specifically want a certain brand or look, be wary of upsells, especially if two options perform nearly the same.
Also, while golf is called a sport of integrity, there’s a thread of manipulation in the industry. I once drafted an equipment article for an industry magazine, structured just like one of their previous popular stories, with matching word count and great photos. The assistant editor loved it; it was useful to readers and required little work on his part. But the editor-in-chief nixed the story. When I asked why, I was told it was because I wasn’t an advertiser. It turned out the article I’d modeled mine after was a paid ad cleverly disguised as editorial content.
I really dislike games, clickbait, and fear-based manipulation. I hope this changes, but golfers deserve to know it exists.
4. Distance and Strategy Matter
There’s a real relationship between how far you hit the ball and your scoring average, even at the PGA TOUR level.
I experienced this early in my pro career. I started as a power hitter, swinging in the high 120s and breaking 200 mph ball speed with a stock driver.
Back then, some instructors advised swinging at 80%, so I tried slowing down for more accuracy. That worked fine on shorter, tighter courses. But on longer setups, I was coming into greens with too much club, and par 5s stopped being
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ELC
Aug 21, 2013 at 12:40 am
Would like to see Stenson win…he’s really played some great golf lately!