Opinion & Analysis
Golfers most likely to catch fire at the end of 2014
We’ve had glimpses of meteoric play on the PGA Tour this season—namely Jimmy Walker, Bubba Watson and Martin Kaymer—but nothing that’s struck as sustainably brilliant.
In that sense, there’s some disappointment with how the golfing year has transpired. Henrik Stenson’s run over the last five months of the 2013 season easily reigns as the best stretch of golf in the past calendar year.
Two majors and a few months of golf still remain. Are we in for another Stenson-like performance (or greater) from the golfing professionals?
Here are the five most likely players (with two wildcards) to replicate, or at least approach such a performance.
Wildcards
Brendan Steele
Steele won in his maiden PGA Tour season and would have been a prime candidate for Rookie of the Year if not for Keegan Bradley’s insanely successful maiden campaign. Steele maintains more than thrives on Tour, steadying his diet with a few top-10s and a half-dozen top-25s per year without really threatening to do more. But he has a lot more game than the average viewer gives him credit for. At times in 2014, he’s appeared on the verge of a career year—basically reaching his season averages in top-10 and top-25s before April—and rekindling the fire with back-to-back top-fives in the final weeks of June.
Maybe he’s not quite seasoned enough yet for a rapid jump, but he’s an under the radar candidate for a breakout in the near future.
Thorbjorn Olesen
Objective measures are the name of the game here, but golf is downright sociopathic when it comes to removing logic from the experience. So going with one player purely on gut is appropriate then, right?
Olesen, who goes by his middle name because it’s cooler than Jacob, has struggled in 2014. Seven made cuts in 16 starts isn’t pretty. He currently wouldn’t qualify for the FedEx Cup Playoffs or the DP World Tour Championship. He also tends to produce his best stuff—at this point one win and a number of high finishes—early in the season rather than late.
Nothing points to an end-of-2014 run for Olesen, except for his perceived superstar-level ability. It’s a guessing game when this monster will be unleashed; here’s a blind toss that it is quite soon.
Five to Watch
Keegan Bradley
When he isn’t pouring ice water on his head—and doing so poorly, apparently—Bradley produces at a steady rate on the golf course. The 28-year-old’s 2014 campaign has been rather dull to the moment, with a solid, but unspectacular five top-10s and 10 top-25s in 20 PGA Tour starts. And Bradley only really threatened to win on two occasions, at Bay Hill and the Zurich Classic.
Nothing appears amiss in Bradley’s game, but there’s no doubt a certain spark is absent. Expect that to change in the coming months. For one, the native of New England feels he plays his best golf in the summer. His results moderately back him up too, as two of his three wins came in the summer months.
This is also a Ryder Cup year and Bradley currently sits 18th in the standings. Nobody is more motivated to qualify for the team than Bradley, whose bounce-off-the-walls energy married perfectly with the high-intensity atmosphere of the event in his 2012 debut.
Above all though, Bradley is extremely overdue for another win, and likely multiple ones. Victories have more to do with luck and circumstance than anyone will admit. Looking solely off win totals, Bradley was at his best in his 2011 rookie season, when he scored two titles, and has regressed since with one victory in 2012 and none thereafter. Yet the reality is the direct opposite, with Bradley demonstrably improving each year. He contends more consistently as time goes on, and there are no signs the lack of wins is attributable to a growing aversion to Sunday pressure—luck and circumstance intervene. (This putt likely kept Bradley out of the winners’ circle in 2013. It was well struck, and probably deserved to go in. It didn’t, and Bradley’s chances at victory significantly dropped after a good stroke.)
The putter is an issue, as the 28-year-old switched to a shorter non-anchored flatstick for the Memorial Tournament and has admitted that the impending ban on the anchored stroke constantly weighs on his mind. But Bradley made it clear his change at the Memorial was only a trial period, and he appears to be committed to staying with the belly through the rest of this season. Don’t be surprised if he anchors down a couple of victories before 2014 is finished.
Charley Hoffman
This has to happen at some point, right?
The Hoffman paradox continues to roll on, as the formerly mulleted fellow remains one of the most consistent yet frustrating players in the game. Hoffman has reached $1 million in earnings every season of his PGA Tour career (except for 2008, when he grossed $945,702) and refuses to fall victim to a blow up campaign.
But he’s always been capable of so much more.
The Hoffman hype originates back to his incredibly productive first thirteen months on the PGA Tour and regained steam following the stomping he laid on the field at the 2010 Deutsche Bank Championship. A star is yet to emerge.
The potential is there, but why will this chained-down pattern break in the remainder of 2014?
Well, it’s been quiet, but Hoffman’s played the best golf of his career the past several months. With a T3 at the Quicken Loans National, the 37-year-old garnered his fifth top-10 of the season, tying his single-season high for top-10s already. With 10 top-25s, he’s one off his career high there.
Of course, Hoffman has long been dogged as a guy who lights up the course on Thursday and Friday and fades on the weekend. There is some truth here, as he’s alternated between poor and adequate in this aspect.
But he’s become a great weekend player in the 2014, as he ranks 53rd in third round scoring average and 37th on the final day.
Hoffman is a great ball-striker who literally hates putters. When functional though, the flatstick works for him from time to time, as he’s placed 81st or better in strokes gained putting three of the last five seasons and currently sits at 39th in 2014.
Hoffman can’t wait much longer to breakout before age starts to erode his high upside. Now, under no outside pressure and with fantastic form coupled by a more robust weekend output, this is Hoffman’s best chance to pounce.
Justin Rose
Not going out on much of a limb here considering Rose’s recent victory at the Quicken Loans National. Even if it was more of a “I stumbled into the trophy and they let me keep it” sort of deal than a flourishing triumph.
Still, the result is the latest in a flurry of great showings. Since missing the cut at Bay Hill in March, the Englishman committed to his best impression of 2011 Luke Donald, racking up six top-15s in seven starts, half of which are top-fives.
To complete the gag, Rose not only needs to continue that string, he needs to add a few more wins to his slate before 2014 is out. Despite winning at least once every year since 2010, Rose and his game are too polished and all-around great to be satisfied with six victories in five years.
Praise for his ball-striking prowess is incessant, but correct—especially with his irons. Rose’s short game has a kick to it too, as the Englishman tends to be an above-average putter and chipper. The last two years, his flatstick let him down with finishes of 129th and 133rd in strokes gained, but he appears to have remedied the problem in vaulting to 72nd so far in 2014.
Rose has no consistent weaknesses and a few quite potent strengths. How that hasn’t translated into many multiple-win seasons or any three-plus victory campaigns is somewhat perplexing.
Rose made a good decision resting at the beginning of the season because of shoulder tendinitis. In his return, his game hasn’t skipped a beat. His driving and approach play have regressed some, but it appears those are starting to trend back toward his normal elite level. Add the confidence of a major champion to the mix, and maybe we’re finally in for a dominant Justin Rose campaign.
Paul Casey
The story with Casey is that it’s never been enough. Even as his game coalesced into elite form in the later 2000s—from 2006-2010 he averaged nine top-10s a season, won seven times combined on the European and PGA tours and ranked as high as No. 3 in the world—his much-hyped skill was supposed to net him major championships, which he acquired none of.
As has been documented in no short order, Casey then took a nose dive. He actually won early in 2011, but rarely contended the next two years—with just six top-10s between 2011 and 2012—and plummeted to No. 169 in the world at one point.
There’s no doubt his form is returning though. His 2013 was lackluster, but he did return to the winners’ circle at the Irish Open. This year, his name has really re-familiarized itself with the first page of the leaderboard, as he’s gotten out well in the earlier and middle stages of a few tournaments. His issues revolve around carrying over his good playing through Sunday.
Really, Casey’s results from 2006-2013 are remarkably similar to Henrik Stenson’s production from 2005-2012. We know what happened next with Stenson.
That’s not to say Casey will be your FedEx Cup and Race to Dubai champion in 2014. But his talent probably outshines Stenson’s and his pitfalls are a little more understandable considering they were mostly attributable to an extraordinarily unfortunate series of ailments, including rib, shoulder and toe injuries (seriously, since when do golfers get turf toe??) and a difficult divorce.
There’s only one top-10 to his name in 2014, but that really doesn’t do justice to what Casey has flashed this season. It appears there’s a learning curve with sustaining hot bursts of golf when you’ve been out of the spotlight for years, exactly the growing pains Casey experienced these past several months.
He’s prone to snap out of it soon, and as we learned with Stenson, when an immense talent can’t be held down any longer, he’s subject to a crazy good run.
We saw what Casey still had over 36 holes at Muirfield Village, expect to witness much more of that over 72.
Sergio Garcia
This man has been burning it up on the golf course this season, only most people haven’t noticed. Following a productive, but stormy 2013, Garcia’s hardly wasted a round this year. The according results are subtly spectacular. In addition to a victory in Qatar back in January, Garcia’s record includes seven more top-10s, with five of them top-fives and three of them top-threes.
In all honesty, the Spaniard caught fire at the beginning of the year and the flame has gained progressively throughout the season, to the point it might be a danger to the citizenry if it wasn’t metaphorical. And there’s further room to grow.
While fantastic, Garcia’s play is highly inefficient in producing victories. When couching Garcia’s golf in terms of himself versus the field in 2014, few do better. In his events the 34-year-old bested 83.83 percent of his opponents, a defeat rate that ranks third best in the entire game.
It’s surprising then that Garcia hasn’t fallen into more than one victory this season. And it’s not based on any deep-seated inability to close, as Garcia holds 19 career wins between the European and PGA tours.
If inefficiency is bothersome, recent history shows El Nino will soon alleviate the concern. Late in 2011, Garcia concocted two immaculate weeks of golf and won events in consecutive weeks, the first by 11 strokes. He almost duplicated the feat in 2012, capturing the Wyndham Championship and holding the 54-hole lead at the Barclays the next week.
If Garcia continues this form, I don’t see how he can’t at least triple his current season victory total. He leads the PGA Tour in Adjusted Scoring Average, and that’s not even the circuit he won on in 2014! So the only way to stem the tide is for his play to drop off, but his immediate past implies that as the season comes to a close, Garcia will perform at the same or a higher level.
At the very least this is the safest bet on the list. Garcia is both the most likely to come through and the least likely to implode. Whatever his emotional vagaries, the Spaniard’s scores don’t drastically fluctuate. Unless you pick him to win the Masters, he almost unilaterally refuses to miss cuts.
Total lost weekends since the beginning of 2011: four. Yes, four. In nearly four years.
Garcia is no novice at making people look dumb, but this a smart investment for a player who has somehow slipped into an underrated gem.
Opinion & Analysis
Brandel Chamblee PGA Championship Q&A: Rose’s huge McLaren risk, distracted LIV pros and why Aronimink suits the bombers
PGA Championship week is here, and Brandel Chamblee did not hold back in our latest discussion ahead of the season’s second major.
In our 2026 PGA Championship Q&A, golf’s leading analyst made the case that PIF pulling LIV’s funding has left its players competing in a state of confusion, called Justin Rose’s mid-season equipment switch a huge risk at 45, and explained why Aronimink will be a bombers’ delight this week.
Check out the full Q&A below.
Gianni: With the PIF confirming that they’re pulling funding from LIV at the end of the season, what impact do you expect that to have on the LIV players competing at the PGA Championship?
Brandel: I would imagine that they have all been thrown into a state of confusion, and will be distracted, not knowing where they are going to play next year and not knowing exactly their road back to either the DP World Tour or the PGA Tour. Or in Rahm’s case, being tied to a sinking ship for the next few years, likely playing for pennies on the dollar in events that no one cares about or watches.
I doubt this would put him in the best frame of mind to compete at his highest level. Keeping in mind, however, that majors are the only time that LIV disciples get to play in events that matter, so never disregard the motivation they have to prove to the world they are still relevant.
Gianni: Justin Rose switched to McLaren Golf equipment mid-season while playing some of the best golf of his career. What do you make of the change?
Brandel: I don’t really know what to make of Rose switching equipment. It seems a huge risk on his part, even though it is likely, in my opinion, that the clubs he’s playing are similar, if not the exact grinds, to what he was playing previously, with a McLaren stamp on them.
Having said that, at best, it is a distraction when he seemed to be as dialed in with his game as any 45-year-old could be and trending in the majors to perhaps do something that would definitely put him in the Hall of Fame. At worst, given the possibility that these clubs aren’t just duplicates of his old set stamped with McLaren on them, he’s made an equipment change that would take time, and 45-year-old athletes don’t have the time to do such things.
Gianni: Aronimink has only hosted a handful of professional events since it hosted the 1962 PGA Championship. What kind of test does it present, and does a course with less recent major championship history tend to level the playing field?
Brandel: Even though Aronimink has only hosted a handful of meaningful professional events, it has been fairly discerning in who can win there. When Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship on the Donald Ross masterpiece in 2018, he was the 2nd best iron player on tour coming into that week. When Nick Watney won the AT&T at Aronimink in 2011, he was 2nd in strokes gained total coming into the week.
In 2020, Aronimink hosted the KPMG Championship, and Sei Young Kim won. On the LPGA that year, she was first in greens in regulation, putts per green in regulation, and scoring average on the way to being the LPGA player of the year. And then there is the 1962 PGA Championship won by Gary Player, who eventually became just one of a few players to win the career grand slam on the way to winning 9 majors. It is a formidable test, and if it’s not softened by rain, it will bring out the best in the upper echelons of the game.
Gianni: Is there a specific hole at Aronimink that you think will do the most to decide the winner?
Brandel: The hardest hole at Aronimink in each of the three tour events that have been played there since 2010 has been the long par-3 8th hole, with the par-4 10th being the second hardest, so most of the carnage will happen around the turn, but with the par-5 16th offering opportunities for bold plays and the tough closing holes at 17 and 18, the finish is likely to be frenetic.
Gianni: The PGA Championship has always sat in the shadow of the other majors. What does the ideal PGA Championship look like in your eyes, and what would it take for it to carve out its own identity?
Brandel: The PGA Championship, to whatever degree it suffers from the comparison to the other three majors, is still counted just as much when adding them up at the end of one’s career. Almost 1/3 of Nicklaus’ major wins were the five PGA Championships he won. Walter Hagen won 11 majors, five of which were PGA Championships.
Tiger Woods twice in his career won back-to-back PGA Championships, and those four majors count just as much as the other 11 he won. The PGA may not have the prestige of the other three, but it carries the same weight. Having said that, I preferred the identity that it had as the last major of the year.
Gianni: You nailed your Masters picks. Rory won, Scottie finished solo second, and Morikawa surged to a tie for seventh. Who are your top 3 picks for the PGA Championship and why?
Brandel: I am not a huge fan of majors played on golf courses that have been shorn of most of the trees, although I understand some of the agronomic reasons for doing so and of course the ease with which it allows members to play after errant drives. However, at the highest level, it all but eliminates any strategy off the tee and turns professional golf into an even bigger slugfest. That means that it will likely be a bomber’s delight this week, but fortunately, Scottie Scheffler is long enough to play that game and straight enough to play it better than anyone else.
The major championships give us very few surprises anymore, going back to the beginning of 2012, so the last 57 majors played, the average world rank of the winners has been better than 15th in the world. So look at the highest ranked and longest drivers who are on form coming into the PGA Championship who also have great short games as the surrounds at Aronimink are very challenging. That’s Scottie Scheffler by a mile and then McIlroy and Cameron Young with a far bigger nod towards DeChambeau than I gave him at the Masters.
Club Junkie
A putter that I love and hate – Club Junkie Podcast
In this episode of the Club Junkie Podcast, we dive into one of the most interesting flatstick releases of the year with a full review of the new TaylorMade SYSTM 2 putters. After spending time on the greens, I break down what makes this design stand out, where it performs, and why it has me completely torn between loving it and fighting it. If you are into feel, alignment, and consistency, this is one you will want to hear about.
We also take a look at some of the putters in play on the PGA Tour last week. From familiar favorites to a few surprising setups, there is always something to learn from what the best players in the world are rolling with under pressure.
To wrap things up, I walk through the process of building a set of JP Golf Prime irons paired with Baddazz Gold Series shafts. From component selection to performance goals, this is a deep dive into what goes into creating a unique custom set and why this combo has been so intriguing.
Opinion & Analysis
From 14 handicap to pro: 4 things I’d tell golfers at 50
This year my 50th birthday. Gosh, where has the time gone?
As a teenager in rural Missouri, some of my junior high and high school years felt interminable. Graduation seemed light years away. But the older I get, the faster life seems to fly by.
I’m also increasingly aware of my mortality. My dad died recently. Earlier this year, a friend and fellow PGA of America professional and I were texting about our next catch-up. The next message I received was news of his unexpected passing at 48. Shortly after, a woman I dated in college succumbed to cancer at 51.
Certainly, one can share perspective at any age. Seniors help freshmen, veterans guide rookies. But reaching this milestone feels like as good a time as any to do one of those “what would I tell my younger self?” articles.
I’ve had a uniquely varied career in golf. I started as a 27-year-old, average-length-hitting, 14-handicap computer engineer and somehow managed to turn pro before running out of money, constantly bootstrapping my way forward. I’ve won qualifiers and set venue records in the World Long Drive Championships, finished fifth at the Speedgolf World Championships, coached all skill levels as a PGA of America professional, built industry-leading swing speed training programs for Swing Man Golf, helped advance the single-length iron market with Sterling Irons®, caddied on the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, and played about 300 courses across 32 countries.
It’s been a ride, and I’ve gone both deep and wide.
So while I can consult and advise from a lot of angles, let me keep it to a few things I’d tell the average golfer who wants to improve.
1. Think About What You Want
Everyone has their own reason for picking up a golf club.
Oddly, as a professional athlete, I’m not internally driven by competition. That can be challenging, as the industry currently prioritizes and incentivizes competition over the love of the game.
For me, I love walking and being outdoors. Nature helps balance my energy. I prefer courses that are integrated into the natural beauty of their surroundings. I’m comfortable practicing alone. I’m a deep thinker, and I genuinely enjoy investigating the game, using data and intuition to unearth unique, often innovative insights. I’m fortunate to be strong and athletic, so I appreciate the chance to engage with my abilities. Traveling feels adventurous. I could go on.
You don’t have to overthink it like I do. For you, it might be as simple as hitting balls to escape work, hanging out with friends, and playing loosely with the rules and the score.
The point is to give yourself permission to play for your own reasons, and let that be enough.
But if improvement is your goal, thinking about your destination—and when you want to get there—is important, because it dictates the steps you need to take. When I set out to go from a 14-handicap to the PGA TOUR as quickly as possible, the steps I needed were very different from those of a working golfer trying to break 90 in six months. That’s also different from someone who just wants a few peaceful hours outside each week, away from work or family.
None of these goals are better than the others, but each requires a different plan that you can work backward from.
2. There Are Lots of Things That Can Work
One of the challenges of golf is that, although there are rules for playing, there aren’t clear, industry-wide standards for how to best play the game. There’s a lot of gray area.
You might hear a top coach or trainer insist that a certain move is the best way to swing or train. Then you dig a bit deeper and, much to your confusion and frustration, another respected coach or trainer says something completely different. I don’t think anyone is trying to confuse you—at least I hope not. It’s just where the industry is right now.
You have to be careful with advice from tournament pros, too. They might be great at scoring, but they’re also human and sometimes just as susceptible as amateurs to believing things that don’t really move the needle. Tour players might describe what they feel, but that’s not always what they’re actually doing when assessed with technology.
I recently ran a test on my YouTube channel (which connects to my GolfWRX article “How to use your hands in the golf swing for power and accuracy”), and, interestingly, two of the most commonly taught hand actions produced the worst results in the test.
Coaches can certainly help. If you find someone you connect with to help navigate, that’s great. But there are many ways to get the ball in the hole. In the current landscape, you may need to seek multiple opinions, think critically, and use your own intuition to discern what seems true and whose advice resonates with you.
I’d recommend seeking someone who is open-minded and always learning, because things constantly change. Absolutes like “correct” or “proper” should raise a red flag. AI can be useful, but it tends to confidently repeat popular advice, so proceed with caution.
3. Get Custom Fit
If you’re serious about becoming a better player, getting custom fit is hugely important. There’s no sense fighting your equipment if you don’t have to. Most better players get fit these days and, if they don’t, they’re usually skilled enough to work around clubs that aren’t ideal.
If you plan to play for a long time, it’s worth spending a little more upfront to get something that truly fits you and your game, rather than continually buying and discarding equipment.
Equipment rules haven’t really changed significantly since the early 2000s. To stay in business, manufacturers keep pushing those limits. If you pull a bunch of clubs and balls off the rack and test them, you’ll find differences. I’ve tested two new drivers and seen a 30-yard total distance gap. Usually, the issue isn’t bad equipment; it’s that the combination of components simply isn’t the best fit.
It’s like wearing a new pair of floppy clown shoes. Sure, they’re shoes—but you won’t sprint your best in them compared to track shoes that fit perfectly.
Be wary of what’s called custom fitting, too. Sometimes the term is used as a marketing strategy rather than an actual fitting. In some retail settings, fitters may be incentivized to steer you toward higher-priced components. That doesn’t automatically mean it’s not the best fit, but you should be aware of potential biases.
I learned a version of this lesson outside of golf. Years ago, I bought a tennis racquet at a big box store from a seemingly knowledgeable employee who thought it would suit me best. The racquet gave me tennis elbow, and I spent months recovering with rest and acupuncture. The next season, I invested more time and money to find what actually fit me, and I walked away with something amazing that I still play with years later.
So if you’re going to get fit, be smart about it.
Find someone you believe has deep knowledge—possibly with certifications, but not necessarily. Make sure there’s a wide inventory across many brands. Check recent reviews for the individual fitter if possible. Make sure you trust that the fitter has your best interests at heart. If they’re wearing a hat or shirt with a specific brand’s logo, proceed with caution. Unless you specifically want a certain brand or look, be wary of upsells, especially if two options perform nearly the same.
Also, while golf is called a sport of integrity, there’s a thread of manipulation in the industry. I once drafted an equipment article for an industry magazine, structured just like one of their previous popular stories, with matching word count and great photos. The assistant editor loved it; it was useful to readers and required little work on his part. But the editor-in-chief nixed the story. When I asked why, I was told it was because I wasn’t an advertiser. It turned out the article I’d modeled mine after was a paid ad cleverly disguised as editorial content.
I really dislike games, clickbait, and fear-based manipulation. I hope this changes, but golfers deserve to know it exists.
4. Distance and Strategy Matter
There’s a real relationship between how far you hit the ball and your scoring average, even at the PGA TOUR level.
I experienced this early in my pro career. I started as a power hitter, swinging in the high 120s and breaking 200 mph ball speed with a stock driver.
Back then, some instructors advised swinging at 80%, so I tried slowing down for more accuracy. That worked fine on shorter, tighter courses. But on longer setups, I was coming into greens with too much club, and par 5s stopped being realistic opportunities. Later, when I tested the “80%” idea with a radar, it wasn’t 80% at all. For me, and for most golfers I’ve tested, it was more like going above 92 to 96% of max before full swing control started to noticeably drop off.
If you want more distance, there are swing technique changes that can help. See my author profile for previous articles. Technical changes can be dangerous to play with, though. A lot of golfers want consistency too, and it can be disruptive when you constantly change swing thoughts and mechanics.
The low hanging fruit is usually custom fitting, as mentioned above.
From there, if you have a big banana ball swing that’s fairly reliable but you just need more distance, consider swing speed training at Swing Man Golf. If you’re starting from zero, the first level program using driver swings, a radar to measure speed, and simple resistance bands can move the needle quickly to the tune of 12 to 16 mph and 30 to 40 yards, plus what you gain on iron distance as well.
Strategy matters too. For a golfer shooting in the 90 to 100 range, I’ll share a demo I’ve done when golfers have hired me for their golf vacations. I’d play at average golfer speeds and distances, hitting a smooth hybrid off the tee, maybe 190 yards. I wouldn’t aim at the fairway. Instead I’d aim between the biggest trouble, like the center of the tree line. Then I’d cruise a 6-iron about 160 to a safer area short of greenside bunkers or other major trouble. From there it might be a wedge or a simple pitch, depending on hole length. Go middle unless you are almost 100% confident you will keep it on the green by aiming closer. Then it’s a lag putt for par, followed by a tap-in.
It’s not flashy, but if you want to break 90 or 100 more regularly, something that keeps you out of big trouble like this can be super effective.
This is also where a playing lesson can help. If a coach tells you what to do and where to aim, you’d be surprised at how many shots can get dropped just having the coach be your decision maker until you get the hang of it. In some of those cases, you don’t even need to make much if any technical changes. You might already be there with a playable swing. It could just be better decision making that gets you around the course with a lower score.
Okay, I hope something here was useful for you.
Thanks for being with me all these years, and I wish you and your game the best.
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Mike
Jul 14, 2014 at 8:41 am
I might keep one eye on Tiger Woods, too…
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