Connect with us

Opinion & Analysis

Carney: Who will win the Ryder Cup? It’s all about the BIG GUYS

Published

on

Come Friday, when the U.S. faces Europe in the 40th Ryder Cup, I’ll be watching through Irish eyes. Paul McGinley’s eyes.

I won’t be worried about how the captain’s picks are doing.

I won’t be thinking, What if we only had Billy Horschel!

I won’t be trying to figure out what “pods” Watson is putting together or how his rookies are faring.

That’s not how McGinley will be judging things. He’ll be looking at “the big guys.”

A while back I had a chance to talk to the European captain at length about the matches. One thing he said then has stuck with me.

Why, I asked, had the Europeans had been so successful of late against the Americans, winning 7 of 9 and 5 of the last 6 Matches. They have won, or tied to retain the Cup 10 of the last 14 Matches!

McGinley answered quickly. The reason, he said, is because “our big guys” — he mentioned Poulter — are playing better than “your big guys”— no names. The top Europeans players, McGinley said, were scoring 3, 3.5, sometimes 4 points. The top Americans averaging only 1 or 1.5 points.

It’s not quite that cut and dried. If we count the “big guys” as major winners and those who have played the Ryder Cup as if it were a major (such as Lee Westwood, Poulter and Steve Stricker), not all of the Europeans scored that well in Chicago. Westwood, Luke Donald and Sergio Garcia were just 2-2-0, and Graeme McDowell was 1-3, but Poulter (4-0) Justin Rose (3-2) and Rory McIlroy (3-2) carried the day. On the U.S. side, “big guy” Mickelson was 3-1, but Jim Furyk (1-2-0), Tiger Woods (0-3-1) and Stricker (0-4-0) undermined the strong showing by Jason Dufner, Keegan Bradley and the Johnsons, Zach and Dustin. (Zach has been an exceptional “big guy” on the U.S. side).

In 2010, Woods and Stricker were good (3-1), but veterans Mickelson (1-3) and Furyk (0-2-1) were not. On the other side, Poulter and Donald were 3-1, McDowell and Miguel Angel Jimenez both 2-1. Mickelson became the “losingest” American in the Ryder Cup. He’s now 14-18-6. Woods is 13-17-3. Those are big guys with little records.

Look at these averages from the last four Ryder Cups matches for veterans on this year’s sides. For the Cups they’ve played in, here are European “big guy” point averages:

  • Poulter: 3.7
  • Rose: 3.0
  • McIlroy: 2.5
  • Westwood: 2.4
  • Garcia: 2.3
  • McDowell: 2.0

And for the U.S.:

  • Z Johnson: 2.2
  • Mickelson: 1.6
  • Furyk: 1.5
  • Stricker: 1.2

If you add Hunter Mahan, his average over two sessions is 2.3.

We had very close finishes in the last two Cups (14.5 to 13.5 in 2010 and 2012), but I have no doubt that McGinley believes that in the end, his “studs” made the difference. The “A” flight has to lead the “B” flight. Not the other way around.

The Americans don’t talk that way.

“The Ryder Cup is getting desperate for the United States,” former captain Paul Azinger said this month. “Tom Watson is going to have to pull a rabbit out of the hat.”

The rabbit Azinger would have pulled, he made clear, the one Watson did not, was Chris Kirk.

“He is hot and I like hot players.”

In 2008, when Azinger’s squad punished the Euros 16.5 to 11.5, I remember someone pointing out that American rookies scored 4.5 of the 5.5 needed on the final day.

“Maybe going with rookies over experience is not such a bad idea,” posted one happy American fan.

Not for McGinley. I’m sure he wants all the hot players he can get and if they’re rookies, that’s fine. But his view of captain Nick Faldo’s 2008 debacle would be the play of Padraig Harrington (0-3-1), Garcia (0-2-2) and Jimenez (0-2-1), undoing the good that Poulter (4-1-0) McDowell (2-1-1) and Rose (3-1-0) had done. (He told me that a captain’s motivational ability was a second key factor and praised Sam Torrance energetically. He didn’t mention Faldo).

This year, the European big guys may be feeling just a bit more pressure, and the Americans less, because finally the Euros are favored. It’s the best thing that could happen to the U.S. side, especially under Watson, who I think adds to the weight the Americans carry — he’s not the loosest guy in the world — and American players tend to put awful pressure on themselves when they’re favored.

I think McGinley senses this could be a problem. His recent reference during a press conference to a great Dublin football team losing inexplicably to a lousy one reminded me of Lou Holtz, when he coached at Notre Dame, reminding the press how good that Akron team could be, before the Irish beat them 52 to 6.

“That’s just an illustration when you are talking about top-level sport, these things happen. And that’s always a worry.”

But McGinley is betting that if Poulter, Rose, Westwood, McDowell and McIlroy play with the their usual Ryder Cup passion, it won’t.

McGinley will do all he can to keep the mood light; no one has a lighter touch when necessary. But his approach won’t change.

No rabbits, no hats for the European captain.

It’s all about the big guys.

TV Times for the Ryder Cup

Thursday, Sept. 25

9 a.m. – 1 p.m. (Golf Channel)

Friday, Sept. 26

Session 1 (Four-ball): 2:35 a.m. (Golf Channel)
Session 2 (Foursomes): 8:15 a.m. (Golf Channel)

Saturday, Sept. 27

Session 1 (Four-ball): 3 a.m. (NBC)
Session 2 (Foursomes): 8:15 a.m. (NBC)

Sunday, Sept. 28

Singles: 6:36 a.m. (NBC)

Bob Carney is a Contributing Editor at Golf Digest, writing for the magazine, its web site and sister publication Golf World. He’s an avid golfer and a single-digit handicap who has earned awards for his coverage of the industry and recreational golf. He is co-author, with Davis Love Jr. and Bob Toski, of How to Feel a Real Golf Swing. Prior to joining Golf Digest, Carney wrote for the Bergen (NJ) Record and contributed stories to People Magazine and Time, among others. He earned a B.A. From University of Michigan, attended Columbia University Journalism School, and served as a Peace Corps Volunteer in Thailand, where he managed to get in one or two rounds of golf.

14 Comments

14 Comments

  1. Jafar

    Sep 25, 2014 at 3:22 pm

    Europe will choke. They’re filled with a bunch of pansies 😛

    And there’s no extra incentive to beat a team with Tiger Woods. Instead the USA has the underdog role of beating the #1 in the world.

  2. Bollix

    Sep 23, 2014 at 3:18 am

    The US might steal this one, I reckons

  3. Bill

    Sep 22, 2014 at 9:16 am

    The Ryder Cup is the best display of world golf competition..It’s great viewing and every match means something. Love the passion that goes into it from both sides. Names don’t mean all that much, the hot hand can turn it around. The Europeans have the name talent this time but we had it the last two Ryders and we know what happened.

  4. Knalleich

    Sep 22, 2014 at 4:42 am

    If you are watching through McGinley’s eyes, why would the thougth “What if we had Billy Horschel” ever even cross your mind?
    Also the players on each side you call “Big Guys”, the U.S. big guys at the moment are for example Stricker and Mickelson. Both are getting old, one even plays a limited amount of events, the other hasnt really played well all year and on the other side you have McIlroy and Garcia who play great all year.
    Why does it matter how many majors any of these players won 5 years ago?
    Right now McIlroy is big, Mickelson isnt in my oppinion.
    And how is McDowell or Rose an european big guy right now and kaymer isnt???

  5. Dave

    Sep 21, 2014 at 7:04 pm

    Come on people this is ryder cup! It’s not about who you think will win its about backing YOUR country/team ! Let’s go USA!!!!!!

    • Rwj

      Sep 21, 2014 at 10:06 pm

      …and fantasy football players should only choose players from their state or city

  6. Carl truitt

    Sep 21, 2014 at 4:50 pm

    Mods….why delete all the previous comments?

    • Rich

      Sep 22, 2014 at 4:18 am

      Because they might have hurt everybodies feelings. Plus they finally decided to edit the first line of the article because it was wrong so most of the comments wouldn’t have made sense.

  7. Joseph

    Sep 21, 2014 at 10:54 am

    Come on. Horschel chunked a shot on the last hole to lose the tourney the day before Watson had to make his picks. Kirk arguably might have been a solid pick. I’m so tired of hearing about how much the Europeans love this event and play more as a team than the US. There is no magic formula. To me it’s simple, just play better golf over a 3 day day period than your opponent.

    • James Brown

      Sep 21, 2014 at 7:29 pm

      You and captain watson share the same philosophy. I believe it is that simple but I also believe that team USA shows up with all stars and gets beat by a TEAM of players with far less major wins or total tour wins. I think the USA needs to approach the Ryder cup like Herb Brooks did for the 1980 Olympics. Azingers adjustments were a start in the right direction. It’s not about getting the best players, it’s about getting the right players for the different formats.

  8. Dan

    Sep 21, 2014 at 10:21 am

    I want America to win but Europe seems to have the better team. Plus the European players seem to enjoy the team event much more than the Americans. I think that’s a huge advantage.

  9. Christosterone

    Sep 21, 2014 at 9:58 am

    My captains picks wouldve been:
    Kirk
    Horschel
    Moore

    • John

      Sep 21, 2014 at 5:12 pm

      Completely agree, was surprised with Moore being left out considering he’s had a win, 7 top 10’s and was 39th in fedex cup this year

  10. Dick

    Sep 21, 2014 at 8:43 am

    It’s over before it even starts.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Opinion & Analysis

Brandel Chamblee PGA Championship Q&A: Rose’s huge McLaren risk, distracted LIV pros and why Aronimink suits the bombers

Published

on

PGA Championship week is here, and Brandel Chamblee did not hold back in our latest discussion ahead of the season’s second major.

In our 2026 PGA Championship Q&A, golf’s leading analyst made the case that PIF pulling LIV’s funding has left its players competing in a state of confusion, called Justin Rose’s mid-season equipment switch a huge risk at 45, and explained why Aronimink will be a bombers’ delight this week.

Check out the full Q&A below.

Gianni: With the PIF confirming that they’re pulling funding from LIV at the end of the season, what impact do you expect that to have on the LIV players competing at the PGA Championship?

Brandel: I would imagine that they have all been thrown into a state of confusion, and will be distracted, not knowing where they are going to play next year and not knowing exactly their road back to either the DP World Tour or the PGA Tour. Or in Rahm’s case, being tied to a sinking ship for the next few years, likely playing for pennies on the dollar in events that no one cares about or watches.

I doubt this would put him in the best frame of mind to compete at his highest level. Keeping in mind, however, that majors are the only time that LIV disciples get to play in events that matter, so never disregard the motivation they have to prove to the world they are still relevant.

Gianni: Justin Rose switched to McLaren Golf equipment mid-season while playing some of the best golf of his career. What do you make of the change?

Brandel: I don’t really know what to make of Rose switching equipment. It seems a huge risk on his part, even though it is likely, in my opinion, that the clubs he’s playing are similar, if not the exact grinds, to what he was playing previously, with a McLaren stamp on them.

Having said that, at best, it is a distraction when he seemed to be as dialed in with his game as any 45-year-old could be and trending in the majors to perhaps do something that would definitely put him in the Hall of Fame. At worst, given the possibility that these clubs aren’t just duplicates of his old set stamped with McLaren on them, he’s made an equipment change that would take time, and 45-year-old athletes don’t have the time to do such things.

Gianni: Aronimink has only hosted a handful of professional events since it hosted the 1962 PGA Championship. What kind of test does it present, and does a course with less recent major championship history tend to level the playing field?

Brandel: Even though Aronimink has only hosted a handful of meaningful professional events, it has been fairly discerning in who can win there. When Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship on the Donald Ross masterpiece in 2018, he was the 2nd best iron player on tour coming into that week. When Nick Watney won the AT&T at Aronimink in 2011, he was 2nd in strokes gained total coming into the week.

In 2020, Aronimink hosted the KPMG Championship, and Sei Young Kim won. On the LPGA that year, she was first in greens in regulation, putts per green in regulation, and scoring average on the way to being the LPGA player of the year. And then there is the 1962 PGA Championship won by Gary Player, who eventually became just one of a few players to win the career grand slam on the way to winning 9 majors. It is a formidable test, and if it’s not softened by rain, it will bring out the best in the upper echelons of the game.

Gianni: Is there a specific hole at Aronimink that you think will do the most to decide the winner?

Brandel: The hardest hole at Aronimink in each of the three tour events that have been played there since 2010 has been the long par-3 8th hole, with the par-4 10th being the second hardest, so most of the carnage will happen around the turn, but with the par-5 16th offering opportunities for bold plays and the tough closing holes at 17 and 18, the finish is likely to be frenetic.

Gianni: The PGA Championship has always sat in the shadow of the other majors. What does the ideal PGA Championship look like in your eyes, and what would it take for it to carve out its own identity?

Brandel: The PGA Championship, to whatever degree it suffers from the comparison to the other three majors, is still counted just as much when adding them up at the end of one’s career. Almost 1/3 of Nicklaus’ major wins were the five PGA Championships he won. Walter Hagen won 11 majors, five of which were PGA Championships.

Tiger Woods twice in his career won back-to-back PGA Championships, and those four majors count just as much as the other 11 he won. The PGA may not have the prestige of the other three, but it carries the same weight. Having said that, I preferred the identity that it had as the last major of the year.

Gianni: You nailed your Masters picks. Rory won, Scottie finished solo second, and Morikawa surged to a tie for seventh. Who are your top 3 picks for the PGA Championship and why?

Brandel: I am not a huge fan of majors played on golf courses that have been shorn of most of the trees, although I understand some of the agronomic reasons for doing so and of course the ease with which it allows members to play after errant drives. However, at the highest level, it all but eliminates any strategy off the tee and turns professional golf into an even bigger slugfest. That means that it will likely be a bomber’s delight this week, but fortunately, Scottie Scheffler is long enough to play that game and straight enough to play it better than anyone else.

The major championships give us very few surprises anymore, going back to the beginning of 2012, so the last 57 majors played, the average world rank of the winners has been better than 15th in the world. So look at the highest ranked and longest drivers who are on form coming into the PGA Championship who also have great short games as the surrounds at Aronimink are very challenging. That’s Scottie Scheffler by a mile and then McIlroy and Cameron Young with a far bigger nod towards DeChambeau than I gave him at the Masters.

Continue Reading

Club Junkie

A putter that I love and hate – Club Junkie Podcast

Published

on

In this episode of the Club Junkie Podcast, we dive into one of the most interesting flatstick releases of the year with a full review of the new TaylorMade SYSTM 2 putters. After spending time on the greens, I break down what makes this design stand out, where it performs, and why it has me completely torn between loving it and fighting it. If you are into feel, alignment, and consistency, this is one you will want to hear about.

We also take a look at some of the putters in play on the PGA Tour last week. From familiar favorites to a few surprising setups, there is always something to learn from what the best players in the world are rolling with under pressure.

To wrap things up, I walk through the process of building a set of JP Golf Prime irons paired with Baddazz Gold Series shafts. From component selection to performance goals, this is a deep dive into what goes into creating a unique custom set and why this combo has been so intriguing.

Continue Reading

Opinion & Analysis

From 14 handicap to pro: 4 things I’d tell golfers at 50

Published

on

This year my 50th birthday. Gosh, where has the time gone?

As a teenager in rural Missouri, some of my junior high and high school years felt interminable. Graduation seemed light years away. But the older I get, the faster life seems to fly by.

I’m also increasingly aware of my mortality. My dad died recently. Earlier this year, a friend and fellow PGA of America professional and I were texting about our next catch-up. The next message I received was news of his unexpected passing at 48. Shortly after, a woman I dated in college succumbed to cancer at 51.

Certainly, one can share perspective at any age. Seniors help freshmen, veterans guide rookies. But reaching this milestone feels like as good a time as any to do one of those “what would I tell my younger self?” articles.

I’ve had a uniquely varied career in golf. I started as a 27-year-old, average-length-hitting, 14-handicap computer engineer and somehow managed to turn pro before running out of money, constantly bootstrapping my way forward. I’ve won qualifiers and set venue records in the World Long Drive Championships, finished fifth at the Speedgolf World Championships, coached all skill levels as a PGA of America professional, built industry-leading swing speed training programs for Swing Man Golf, helped advance the single-length iron market with Sterling Irons®, caddied on the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, and played about 300 courses across 32 countries.

It’s been a ride, and I’ve gone both deep and wide.

So while I can consult and advise from a lot of angles, let me keep it to a few things I’d tell the average golfer who wants to improve.

1. Think About What You Want

Everyone has their own reason for picking up a golf club.

Oddly, as a professional athlete, I’m not internally driven by competition. That can be challenging, as the industry currently prioritizes and incentivizes competition over the love of the game.

For me, I love walking and being outdoors. Nature helps balance my energy. I prefer courses that are integrated into the natural beauty of their surroundings. I’m comfortable practicing alone. I’m a deep thinker, and I genuinely enjoy investigating the game, using data and intuition to unearth unique, often innovative insights. I’m fortunate to be strong and athletic, so I appreciate the chance to engage with my abilities. Traveling feels adventurous. I could go on.

You don’t have to overthink it like I do. For you, it might be as simple as hitting balls to escape work, hanging out with friends, and playing loosely with the rules and the score.

The point is to give yourself permission to play for your own reasons, and let that be enough.

But if improvement is your goal, thinking about your destination—and when you want to get there—is important, because it dictates the steps you need to take. When I set out to go from a 14-handicap to the PGA TOUR as quickly as possible, the steps I needed were very different from those of a working golfer trying to break 90 in six months. That’s also different from someone who just wants a few peaceful hours outside each week, away from work or family.

None of these goals are better than the others, but each requires a different plan that you can work backward from.

2. There Are Lots of Things That Can Work

One of the challenges of golf is that, although there are rules for playing, there aren’t clear, industry-wide standards for how to best play the game. There’s a lot of gray area.

You might hear a top coach or trainer insist that a certain move is the best way to swing or train. Then you dig a bit deeper and, much to your confusion and frustration, another respected coach or trainer says something completely different. I don’t think anyone is trying to confuse you—at least I hope not. It’s just where the industry is right now.

You have to be careful with advice from tournament pros, too. They might be great at scoring, but they’re also human and sometimes just as susceptible as amateurs to believing things that don’t really move the needle. Tour players might describe what they feel, but that’s not always what they’re actually doing when assessed with technology.

I recently ran a test on my YouTube channel (which connects to my GolfWRX article “How to use your hands in the golf swing for power and accuracy”), and, interestingly, two of the most commonly taught hand actions produced the worst results in the test.

Coaches can certainly help. If you find someone you connect with to help navigate, that’s great. But there are many ways to get the ball in the hole. In the current landscape, you may need to seek multiple opinions, think critically, and use your own intuition to discern what seems true and whose advice resonates with you.

I’d recommend seeking someone who is open-minded and always learning, because things constantly change. Absolutes like “correct” or “proper” should raise a red flag. AI can be useful, but it tends to confidently repeat popular advice, so proceed with caution.

3. Get Custom Fit

If you’re serious about becoming a better player, getting custom fit is hugely important. There’s no sense fighting your equipment if you don’t have to. Most better players get fit these days and, if they don’t, they’re usually skilled enough to work around clubs that aren’t ideal.

If you plan to play for a long time, it’s worth spending a little more upfront to get something that truly fits you and your game, rather than continually buying and discarding equipment.

Equipment rules haven’t really changed significantly since the early 2000s. To stay in business, manufacturers keep pushing those limits. If you pull a bunch of clubs and balls off the rack and test them, you’ll find differences. I’ve tested two new drivers and seen a 30-yard total distance gap. Usually, the issue isn’t bad equipment; it’s that the combination of components simply isn’t the best fit.

It’s like wearing a new pair of floppy clown shoes. Sure, they’re shoes—but you won’t sprint your best in them compared to track shoes that fit perfectly.

Be wary of what’s called custom fitting, too. Sometimes the term is used as a marketing strategy rather than an actual fitting. In some retail settings, fitters may be incentivized to steer you toward higher-priced components. That doesn’t automatically mean it’s not the best fit, but you should be aware of potential biases.

I learned a version of this lesson outside of golf. Years ago, I bought a tennis racquet at a big box store from a seemingly knowledgeable employee who thought it would suit me best. The racquet gave me tennis elbow, and I spent months recovering with rest and acupuncture. The next season, I invested more time and money to find what actually fit me, and I walked away with something amazing that I still play with years later.

So if you’re going to get fit, be smart about it.

Find someone you believe has deep knowledge—possibly with certifications, but not necessarily. Make sure there’s a wide inventory across many brands. Check recent reviews for the individual fitter if possible. Make sure you trust that the fitter has your best interests at heart. If they’re wearing a hat or shirt with a specific brand’s logo, proceed with caution. Unless you specifically want a certain brand or look, be wary of upsells, especially if two options perform nearly the same.

Also, while golf is called a sport of integrity, there’s a thread of manipulation in the industry. I once drafted an equipment article for an industry magazine, structured just like one of their previous popular stories, with matching word count and great photos. The assistant editor loved it; it was useful to readers and required little work on his part. But the editor-in-chief nixed the story. When I asked why, I was told it was because I wasn’t an advertiser. It turned out the article I’d modeled mine after was a paid ad cleverly disguised as editorial content.

I really dislike games, clickbait, and fear-based manipulation. I hope this changes, but golfers deserve to know it exists.

4. Distance and Strategy Matter

There’s a real relationship between how far you hit the ball and your scoring average, even at the PGA TOUR level.

I experienced this early in my pro career. I started as a power hitter, swinging in the high 120s and breaking 200 mph ball speed with a stock driver.

Back then, some instructors advised swinging at 80%, so I tried slowing down for more accuracy. That worked fine on shorter, tighter courses. But on longer setups, I was coming into greens with too much club, and par 5s stopped being

Continue Reading

Announcement

Our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use have been updated as of January 29th, 2026. Please review the updated policies here Privacy Policy | Terms of Use. By continuing to use our site after January 29th, 2026, you agree to the changes.

WITB

Facebook

Trending