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Opinion & Analysis

Fantasy Preview: 2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open

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It’s off to the desert this week for the Waste Management Phoenix Open, and along with it the loudest hole in golf. Thousands will once again surround the par-3 16th hole, and as always it will be interesting to see how some of the world’s best players handle the intimidating atmosphere. Expect TPC Scottsdale to offer up a few more birdie opportunities than Torrey Pines did last week, with 14-under par being the highest winning score since the course was re-designed in 2014.

Hideki Matsuyama has won the last two editions here, defeating Webb Simpson last year in a playoff after posting 17-under in regulation. The par-71 course measures just under 7,300 yards and has bermuda greens. As always at TPC Scottsdale, strong tee-to-green play will be vitally important. There are five par-4’s in the range of 400-450 yards, and another five from 450-500 yards. Three long (but reachable) par-5’s are in play that fall in the 550-600 yard range.

Selected Tournament Odds (via Bet365)

  • Hideki Matsuyama 9/1
  • Jordan Spieth 9/1
  • Jon Rahm 10/1
  • Rickie Fowler 14/1
  • Justin Thomas 16/1
  • Marc Leishman 30/1
  • Webb Simpson 33/1

It’s one of those weeks were you could absolutely make a strong case for any player at the top of the board. It won’t be a surprise to see Matsuyama and Rickie Fowler both being very popular choices as usual here — with the latter tempting me most. There’s a sense that this course owes Fowler something, and his exceptional putting on bermuda greens (second in this field for his last 24 rounds ) could set him up for a big week.

But it’s Jordan Spieth (9/1, DK Price $11,400) who I like the most from the market leaders. Jordan opened up 2018 with a ninth-place finish at the Tournament of Champions before finishing T18 at the Sony Open, a relatively quiet start for the Texan. Yet all the signs show he is ready to win for the first time since last summer. Surprisingly, it’s been his usual rock solid short game that has prevented him from challenging for a win so far in 2018. After the Sony Open, Spieth commented on his putting woes: “I’ve got a lot of work to do with the putter, it’s as simple as that. Everything else is plenty ready to win.”

Spieth has lost strokes to the field on the greens in his last three official PGA Tour events. The last time he did so for four consecutive events? Back in 2013. The smart money is on one of the best putters of the last few years regaining his touch on the greens quickly.

If Spieth can manage that, then it’s very hard to argue against the fact that every other part of his game is good enough to win. Over his last 24 rounds, he ranks No. 1 in this field for Ball Striking and Strokes Gained Approaching the Green. He also sits second in Total Strokes Gained. Spieth’s long game has been exceptional for some time now, and it’s been no different in the eight rounds he’s played so far in 2018 where he’s ranked second in this field for Strokes Gained Tee to Green. Also in Jordan’s favor: he seems very comfortable at TPC Scottsdale. He’s recorded two top-10 finishes in his only two starts here, and if he’s managed to address some short game issues in the past fortnight then he will be a hard man to beat this week.

Another player who I feel could be close to putting it all together is Daniel Berger (40/1, DK Price $9,500). Berger has had a solid start to 2018, finishing 11th at the Tournament of Champions before finishing 14th at the Sony Open. He has yet to really contend for a victory, but I feel TPC Scottsdale offers up the best chance of 2018 so far for him to do so.

Berger has a very consistent tee-to-green game, which is crucial to succeed at TPC Scottsdale. He ranks ninth in this field over his last 12 rounds in Strokes Gained Tee to Green and 27th in Strokes Gained Total. It’s a course where Berger feels very comfortable, too. He has recorded top-10 finishes in two out of his three visits. Daniel also seems to putt best on bermuda greens. In his last 50 rounds on all greens, he ranks 65th in this field for Strokes Gained Putting. Narrow that down to his performance solely on Bermuda Greens, and he sits 11th over the same period.

Looking further down the board, there are two names that I was surprised to not see a little shorter in price. Keegan Bradley (66/1, DK Price $7,400) has been in the wilderness for too long. Plagued by putting problems since the anchoring ban came into play, he hasn’t had the high finishes that his excellent ball striking deserves. But this season could be a lot different for Bradley. He already has a runner up finish at the CIMB Classic to his name, and last week he finished solo 5th thanks to some exceptional Tee to Green play (he gained 7.6 strokes over the field).

TPC Scottsdale is a good fit for Bradley, too, where long and straight driving is demanded. He has recorded three top-25 finishes here in his last five starts, and with the condition of his current long game he will be confident of posting his best finish here yet. In his past 12 rounds, he is second in this field for Strokes Gained Approaching the Green, 10th in Strokes Gained Tee to Green and eighth in Ball Striking. He also sits T10 for the season in Proximity to the Hole. From a DraftKings perspective, a price of $7,400 looks to have a lot of value.

In the same range, I couldn’t pass up Scott Piercy (66/1, DK Price $7,500) this week. The Las Vegas native has had a very good start to 2018. He finished T25 at the Sony Open before settling for a T6 at the CareerBuilder Challenge, where he briefly held the lead on Sunday. Over his last 12 rounds, he ranks fifth in this field for Strokes Gained Approaching the Green, ninth in Ball Striking and sixth in Strokes Gained Total. He is also 19th for the season in Strokes Gained Tee to Green. TPC Scottsdale is a course where Piercy has had some success, too. He finished third in 2013 and T15 a year later. He is another who looks to be a little undervalued this week.

Recommended Plays

  • Jordan Spieth 9/1, DK Price $11,400
  • Daniel Berger 40/1 DK Price $9,500
  • Keegan Bradley 66/1, DK Price $7,400
  • Scott Piercy 66/1, DK Price $7,500

Gianni is the Managing Editor at GolfWRX. He can be contacted at gianni@golfwrx.com

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Opinion & Analysis

Brandel Chamblee PGA Championship Q&A: Rose’s huge McLaren risk, distracted LIV pros and why Aronimink suits the bombers

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PGA Championship week is here, and Brandel Chamblee did not hold back in our latest discussion ahead of the season’s second major.

In our 2026 PGA Championship Q&A, golf’s leading analyst made the case that PIF pulling LIV’s funding has left its players competing in a state of confusion, called Justin Rose’s mid-season equipment switch a huge risk at 45, and explained why Aronimink will be a bombers’ delight this week.

Check out the full Q&A below.

Gianni: With the PIF confirming that they’re pulling funding from LIV at the end of the season, what impact do you expect that to have on the LIV players competing at the PGA Championship?

Brandel: I would imagine that they have all been thrown into a state of confusion, and will be distracted, not knowing where they are going to play next year and not knowing exactly their road back to either the DP World Tour or the PGA Tour. Or in Rahm’s case, being tied to a sinking ship for the next few years, likely playing for pennies on the dollar in events that no one cares about or watches.

I doubt this would put him in the best frame of mind to compete at his highest level. Keeping in mind, however, that majors are the only time that LIV disciples get to play in events that matter, so never disregard the motivation they have to prove to the world they are still relevant.

Gianni: Justin Rose switched to McLaren Golf equipment mid-season while playing some of the best golf of his career. What do you make of the change?

Brandel: I don’t really know what to make of Rose switching equipment. It seems a huge risk on his part, even though it is likely, in my opinion, that the clubs he’s playing are similar, if not the exact grinds, to what he was playing previously, with a McLaren stamp on them.

Having said that, at best, it is a distraction when he seemed to be as dialed in with his game as any 45-year-old could be and trending in the majors to perhaps do something that would definitely put him in the Hall of Fame. At worst, given the possibility that these clubs aren’t just duplicates of his old set stamped with McLaren on them, he’s made an equipment change that would take time, and 45-year-old athletes don’t have the time to do such things.

Gianni: Aronimink has only hosted a handful of professional events since it hosted the 1962 PGA Championship. What kind of test does it present, and does a course with less recent major championship history tend to level the playing field?

Brandel: Even though Aronimink has only hosted a handful of meaningful professional events, it has been fairly discerning in who can win there. When Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship on the Donald Ross masterpiece in 2018, he was the 2nd best iron player on tour coming into that week. When Nick Watney won the AT&T at Aronimink in 2011, he was 2nd in strokes gained total coming into the week.

In 2020, Aronimink hosted the KPMG Championship, and Sei Young Kim won. On the LPGA that year, she was first in greens in regulation, putts per green in regulation, and scoring average on the way to being the LPGA player of the year. And then there is the 1962 PGA Championship won by Gary Player, who eventually became just one of a few players to win the career grand slam on the way to winning 9 majors. It is a formidable test, and if it’s not softened by rain, it will bring out the best in the upper echelons of the game.

Gianni: Is there a specific hole at Aronimink that you think will do the most to decide the winner?

Brandel: The hardest hole at Aronimink in each of the three tour events that have been played there since 2010 has been the long par-3 8th hole, with the par-4 10th being the second hardest, so most of the carnage will happen around the turn, but with the par-5 16th offering opportunities for bold plays and the tough closing holes at 17 and 18, the finish is likely to be frenetic.

Gianni: The PGA Championship has always sat in the shadow of the other majors. What does the ideal PGA Championship look like in your eyes, and what would it take for it to carve out its own identity?

Brandel: The PGA Championship, to whatever degree it suffers from the comparison to the other three majors, is still counted just as much when adding them up at the end of one’s career. Almost 1/3 of Nicklaus’ major wins were the five PGA Championships he won. Walter Hagen won 11 majors, five of which were PGA Championships.

Tiger Woods twice in his career won back-to-back PGA Championships, and those four majors count just as much as the other 11 he won. The PGA may not have the prestige of the other three, but it carries the same weight. Having said that, I preferred the identity that it had as the last major of the year.

Gianni: You nailed your Masters picks. Rory won, Scottie finished solo second, and Morikawa surged to a tie for seventh. Who are your top 3 picks for the PGA Championship and why?

Brandel: I am not a huge fan of majors played on golf courses that have been shorn of most of the trees, although I understand some of the agronomic reasons for doing so and of course the ease with which it allows members to play after errant drives. However, at the highest level, it all but eliminates any strategy off the tee and turns professional golf into an even bigger slugfest. That means that it will likely be a bomber’s delight this week, but fortunately, Scottie Scheffler is long enough to play that game and straight enough to play it better than anyone else.

The major championships give us very few surprises anymore, going back to the beginning of 2012, so the last 57 majors played, the average world rank of the winners has been better than 15th in the world. So look at the highest ranked and longest drivers who are on form coming into the PGA Championship who also have great short games as the surrounds at Aronimink are very challenging. That’s Scottie Scheffler by a mile and then McIlroy and Cameron Young with a far bigger nod towards DeChambeau than I gave him at the Masters.

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Club Junkie

A putter that I love and hate – Club Junkie Podcast

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In this episode of the Club Junkie Podcast, we dive into one of the most interesting flatstick releases of the year with a full review of the new TaylorMade SYSTM 2 putters. After spending time on the greens, I break down what makes this design stand out, where it performs, and why it has me completely torn between loving it and fighting it. If you are into feel, alignment, and consistency, this is one you will want to hear about.

We also take a look at some of the putters in play on the PGA Tour last week. From familiar favorites to a few surprising setups, there is always something to learn from what the best players in the world are rolling with under pressure.

To wrap things up, I walk through the process of building a set of JP Golf Prime irons paired with Baddazz Gold Series shafts. From component selection to performance goals, this is a deep dive into what goes into creating a unique custom set and why this combo has been so intriguing.

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Opinion & Analysis

From 14 handicap to pro: 4 things I’d tell golfers at 50

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This year my 50th birthday. Gosh, where has the time gone?

As a teenager in rural Missouri, some of my junior high and high school years felt interminable. Graduation seemed light years away. But the older I get, the faster life seems to fly by.

I’m also increasingly aware of my mortality. My dad died recently. Earlier this year, a friend and fellow PGA of America professional and I were texting about our next catch-up. The next message I received was news of his unexpected passing at 48. Shortly after, a woman I dated in college succumbed to cancer at 51.

Certainly, one can share perspective at any age. Seniors help freshmen, veterans guide rookies. But reaching this milestone feels like as good a time as any to do one of those “what would I tell my younger self?” articles.

I’ve had a uniquely varied career in golf. I started as a 27-year-old, average-length-hitting, 14-handicap computer engineer and somehow managed to turn pro before running out of money, constantly bootstrapping my way forward. I’ve won qualifiers and set venue records in the World Long Drive Championships, finished fifth at the Speedgolf World Championships, coached all skill levels as a PGA of America professional, built industry-leading swing speed training programs for Swing Man Golf, helped advance the single-length iron market with Sterling Irons®, caddied on the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, and played about 300 courses across 32 countries.

It’s been a ride, and I’ve gone both deep and wide.

So while I can consult and advise from a lot of angles, let me keep it to a few things I’d tell the average golfer who wants to improve.

1. Think About What You Want

Everyone has their own reason for picking up a golf club.

Oddly, as a professional athlete, I’m not internally driven by competition. That can be challenging, as the industry currently prioritizes and incentivizes competition over the love of the game.

For me, I love walking and being outdoors. Nature helps balance my energy. I prefer courses that are integrated into the natural beauty of their surroundings. I’m comfortable practicing alone. I’m a deep thinker, and I genuinely enjoy investigating the game, using data and intuition to unearth unique, often innovative insights. I’m fortunate to be strong and athletic, so I appreciate the chance to engage with my abilities. Traveling feels adventurous. I could go on.

You don’t have to overthink it like I do. For you, it might be as simple as hitting balls to escape work, hanging out with friends, and playing loosely with the rules and the score.

The point is to give yourself permission to play for your own reasons, and let that be enough.

But if improvement is your goal, thinking about your destination—and when you want to get there—is important, because it dictates the steps you need to take. When I set out to go from a 14-handicap to the PGA TOUR as quickly as possible, the steps I needed were very different from those of a working golfer trying to break 90 in six months. That’s also different from someone who just wants a few peaceful hours outside each week, away from work or family.

None of these goals are better than the others, but each requires a different plan that you can work backward from.

2. There Are Lots of Things That Can Work

One of the challenges of golf is that, although there are rules for playing, there aren’t clear, industry-wide standards for how to best play the game. There’s a lot of gray area.

You might hear a top coach or trainer insist that a certain move is the best way to swing or train. Then you dig a bit deeper and, much to your confusion and frustration, another respected coach or trainer says something completely different. I don’t think anyone is trying to confuse you—at least I hope not. It’s just where the industry is right now.

You have to be careful with advice from tournament pros, too. They might be great at scoring, but they’re also human and sometimes just as susceptible as amateurs to believing things that don’t really move the needle. Tour players might describe what they feel, but that’s not always what they’re actually doing when assessed with technology.

I recently ran a test on my YouTube channel (which connects to my GolfWRX article “How to use your hands in the golf swing for power and accuracy”), and, interestingly, two of the most commonly taught hand actions produced the worst results in the test.

Coaches can certainly help. If you find someone you connect with to help navigate, that’s great. But there are many ways to get the ball in the hole. In the current landscape, you may need to seek multiple opinions, think critically, and use your own intuition to discern what seems true and whose advice resonates with you.

I’d recommend seeking someone who is open-minded and always learning, because things constantly change. Absolutes like “correct” or “proper” should raise a red flag. AI can be useful, but it tends to confidently repeat popular advice, so proceed with caution.

3. Get Custom Fit

If you’re serious about becoming a better player, getting custom fit is hugely important. There’s no sense fighting your equipment if you don’t have to. Most better players get fit these days and, if they don’t, they’re usually skilled enough to work around clubs that aren’t ideal.

If you plan to play for a long time, it’s worth spending a little more upfront to get something that truly fits you and your game, rather than continually buying and discarding equipment.

Equipment rules haven’t really changed significantly since the early 2000s. To stay in business, manufacturers keep pushing those limits. If you pull a bunch of clubs and balls off the rack and test them, you’ll find differences. I’ve tested two new drivers and seen a 30-yard total distance gap. Usually, the issue isn’t bad equipment; it’s that the combination of components simply isn’t the best fit.

It’s like wearing a new pair of floppy clown shoes. Sure, they’re shoes—but you won’t sprint your best in them compared to track shoes that fit perfectly.

Be wary of what’s called custom fitting, too. Sometimes the term is used as a marketing strategy rather than an actual fitting. In some retail settings, fitters may be incentivized to steer you toward higher-priced components. That doesn’t automatically mean it’s not the best fit, but you should be aware of potential biases.

I learned a version of this lesson outside of golf. Years ago, I bought a tennis racquet at a big box store from a seemingly knowledgeable employee who thought it would suit me best. The racquet gave me tennis elbow, and I spent months recovering with rest and acupuncture. The next season, I invested more time and money to find what actually fit me, and I walked away with something amazing that I still play with years later.

So if you’re going to get fit, be smart about it.

Find someone you believe has deep knowledge—possibly with certifications, but not necessarily. Make sure there’s a wide inventory across many brands. Check recent reviews for the individual fitter if possible. Make sure you trust that the fitter has your best interests at heart. If they’re wearing a hat or shirt with a specific brand’s logo, proceed with caution. Unless you specifically want a certain brand or look, be wary of upsells, especially if two options perform nearly the same.

Also, while golf is called a sport of integrity, there’s a thread of manipulation in the industry. I once drafted an equipment article for an industry magazine, structured just like one of their previous popular stories, with matching word count and great photos. The assistant editor loved it; it was useful to readers and required little work on his part. But the editor-in-chief nixed the story. When I asked why, I was told it was because I wasn’t an advertiser. It turned out the article I’d modeled mine after was a paid ad cleverly disguised as editorial content.

I really dislike games, clickbait, and fear-based manipulation. I hope this changes, but golfers deserve to know it exists.

4. Distance and Strategy Matter

There’s a real relationship between how far you hit the ball and your scoring average, even at the PGA TOUR level.

I experienced this early in my pro career. I started as a power hitter, swinging in the high 120s and breaking 200 mph ball speed with a stock driver.

Back then, some instructors advised swinging at 80%, so I tried slowing down for more accuracy. That worked fine on shorter, tighter courses. But on longer setups, I was coming into greens with too much club, and par 5s stopped being

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