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Opinion & Analysis

Redkacheek’s DFS Rundown: 2018 Dell Tech Championship

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Welcome back everyone, after an amazing FGWC experience last week with some of my fellow FGB members taking home around $25,000, we get another week of really nice prize pools and various contest structures. The Dell Technologies Championship is the second leg of the Fedex Cup Playoffs, being played at TPC Boston. We have lots of course history to go off of so really makes our process nice and tidy this week. Statistically, I am looking primarily at SG:T2G, Iron Play and a small dose of BoB and par 5 scoring. I have tossed around some driving distance numbers because I do see that being somewhat of an advantage this week.

Before we get into my core plays, let’s take a look at the course and what the players will be facing. The Dell Technologies Championship will be hosted this week at TPC Boston. We have a good bit of course history to go off of, even dating back to a Tiger Woods’ win in 2006, so we will definitely be considering that when narrowing down our player pools. TPC Boston will be playing as a par 71 at 7,283 yards, which for these guys is the standard in today’s game. I definitely see distance as an advantage but as you will read, this tends to be a “second-shot-and-in” type of course, so Driving Accuracy will not be weighed to heavily for me.

Scoring will mainly be set up by the players approach game and their performance on the par 5s, although every week par-4 scoring is pertinent. Scores are typically pretty low at this event with around 15 under winning each year so a player will need to be on their iron game in order to make enough birdies to keep up. Looking through statistics of the past events played here, SG: APP proved to be a very important benchmark on a player’s success that given week. Also, scoring on par 4s, specifically from the 450-500-yard range, proved key as there are a handful of long par 4s scattered throughout this layout. With all that out of the way, let’s get into my Core plays for this week…

Tiger Woods (DK $9,700)

I am approaching this week a little different. This is most likely going to be the last chance to have an edge playing cash games and single entry tournaments, so I am going to build a couple main lineups I will put in everything and then run about 100 lineups in the $6 DK Mini Main Event. So I will address these players as core for my main lineups, and as of now I do not plan to build any with an $11k-plus player.

Tiger is my first core play, and I feel really good about it. Coming of an abysmal showing last week where he lost nearly five strokes putting, his driving was actually much improved and he is still striping his irons, as he has all year. Tiger won this event back in 2006, which is somewhat irrelevant but it is still Tiger Woods and if he has won this event once he could do it again. This course is a bit more forgiving off the tee so even if he falls back into a wayward driver somewhat, I think he should still have plenty of opportunities with his irons to make birdies. After that, we are just betting on a slight improvement with his putting which should show positive regression of about six to 10 strokes.

Hideki Matsuyama (DK $8,900)

You are about to see a trend here with my balanced lineup approach, but first off as we get into the $8k range is Hideki. In the last three years at this event, he has never finished worse than 25th. He has some really nice form coming in this year as well, gaining strokes off the tee and with his irons in his prior two events and on top of that, he hit about five greens more than the field average the last two weeks. Hideki definitely has upside to win, and at that price, I really don’t “need” him to win to pay off his value. Hideki is not my favorite play in the $8k range but will definitely be one of my top plays to build around this week.

Tommy Fleetwood (DK $8,500)

Here is your free square everyone! Just kidding, there is practically never a free square in PGA DFS, but I think Fleetwood is as close as you’ll get to one. In this field, Tommy ranks inside the top 10 of GIR percentage, birdie-or-better, and par 5 scoring. He has only missed one cut on the PGA Tour in the past 12 months, which is a testament to the consistent player he is. Just like Hideki, Tommy has upside to win this week and at this price it really offers some flexibility in our lineup construction. He has never played this event, but we can use the course history for others to help us determine this is a great fit for him. Perhaps the most remarkable thing about Tommy is that he gains strokes in every single category, almost every single week.

Rafael Cabrera Bello (DK $7,300)

Just like last week, Rafa is another core guy for me this week and at an even lower price. He is really a phenomenal ballstriker, so I feel great about his ability to play this course well. He finished poorly last week but I am not going to let one bad round (77-R3) persuade me to avoid him here at TPC Boston. He has only played here once, finishing 18th in 2017. Again, Rafa is a player that hits a ton of greens and even more fairways every single week, so it is easy to see at $7,300 that he would be someone to build around. He was actually over $10k just two weeks ago, so now we are in a position to grab him at a lower price, depressed ownership, and with that price it provides us the opportunity to play DJ or JT in some really solid GPP lineups.

Charley Hoffman (DK $7,300)

Charley Hoffman is perhaps my favorite play this week. He has quietly been racking up top 20s in the past few months (five of his last eight events) and finished with a sneaky top 20 last week. Statistically, it is hard to ever consider Charley a core play, but this week I am adding him to my “overweight” list. Charley has played here at TPC Boston for over a decade and in that span he has had a wide variety of finishes, but does have a win in 2010 and a third-place finish in 2015.

I see Charley trending in the right direction coming here this week, and I think he is the perfect play in a limited field to gain leverage on the field. The most tempting thing for me, is that Charley is known as a supreme iron player but the Driver can become a problem; luckily this course sets up with slightly wider fairways and less penal rough, so this should suit him even more.

Also consider

  • Justin Thomas
  • Brooks Koepka
  • Tommy Fleetwood
  • Justin Rose
  • Patrick Cantlay
  • Tony Finau
  • Paul Casey
  • Tyrrell Hatton

Good luck this week everyone!

I am ranked in the Top 35 of all DFS Golf players and best known for winning the DraftKings Millionaire Maker contest during the week of The Masters earlier this year. I am very active around the community, always willing to help whether with strategy or research and you can find me on Twitter @Redkacheek and also each week on the Fantasy Golf Bag Podcast. One last note, my history is in professional golf, which definitely adds a unique perspective to DFS that most people do not have and you will find really gives you an edge when evaluating players each week.

2 Comments

2 Comments

  1. ergon

    Aug 30, 2018 at 1:12 am

    Nicklaus/Woods versus Lebron/Kaepernick …. and the winners are ……………………!

  2. Matt

    Aug 29, 2018 at 5:04 pm

    What are your thoughts on Rose this week? I love him at that price and don’t see him missing the cut, but does he have enough to bounce back and contend for a win?

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Opinion & Analysis

The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

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As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!

Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.

Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.

One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?

Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.

Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.

Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”

For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…

Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.

Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…

That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.

Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.

@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic

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Podcasts

Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

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Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!

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Opinion & Analysis

On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

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Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.

 

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“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”

Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.

That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.

As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.

I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.

One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.

The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.

If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.

Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.

As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.

It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.

David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.

In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:

“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”

Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”

Eventually, though, something shifts.

We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.

Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.

Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.

Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.

So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.

I see someone evolving.

He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.

It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.

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