Opinion & Analysis
2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational Betting Tips: Back this European to conquer Bay Hill

Farewell to the Honda Classic, as we know it.
Despite being one of the few early-season events not to be honoured with elevated status, the Plantation produced a thrilling play-off between an emotional Chris Kirk and mini-tour legend Eric Cole, with Monday qualifier Ryan Gerard finishing fourth on only his second ever PGA Tour start.
Who says you need the top stars to make an event enthralling?
Still, there’s nowt better than having them there, and the increased purse plus the run-in to The Masters sees a field of the highest class assemble at ‘Arnie’s Place’, Bay Hill.
Let’s not mess about, Bay Hill is tough. Rough is penal, greens are often faster than average, all making players worry about their placing rather than their power. Unless you are Bryson DeChambeau, who did this at the par-5 6th hole on his way to victory in 2021:
Of course, few, is any, are going to achieve the ludicrous feat, let alone try it, but the par-5s are essential to making any score around here.
With the short holes longer than the norm, and the par-4s proving tough to negotiate, recent winners have found their scores enhanced only by the par-5s. For example, the defending champ Scottie Scheffler was 12-under for the long holes last year when recording a 5-under total, good enough for a single shot victory; DeChambeau finished 11-under, adding just one shot to his score for the longer holes; Tyrrell Hatton triumphed through horrendous conditions in 4-under, taking advantage of his 6-under par on the fives, and whilst Frani Molinari is a touch of an outlier, previous champion Rory McIlroy has recorded a par-5 average of almost 9-under in eight starts, his average finishing position being just inside the top-10.
Add this to a well of evidence that tee-to-green prowess is vital for victory, and this week’s winner will well deserve the prestigious title, particularly if they survive the forecast winds.
Main Bet – Tyrrell Hatton
Like him or loathe him, Tyrrell Hatton is one player (alongside the likes of Jordan Smith) that should be permanently mic’d up on the course.
He hates his clubs, the course, and even the most revered of major tracks. A month ago, he even wished he hadn’t made a monster eagle putt in Dubai to make the cut!
He has, of course, exploited the image to the full, being one of the highest-regarded ‘Angry Golfers’, and it’s great fun, showing a personality that many hide on the course.
Away from all that, the 31-year-old is a top class golfer that has graced the world’s top-50 for over seven years straight, and with his clear fondness for windy, Open Championship conditions, it is no wonder he thrives at Bay Hill, site of success for many challengers at the only non- US major.
Hatton’s game is straightforward to read.
The part-time Orlando resident has had six outings at this event, finishing fourth on debut, winning in 2020, and running-up last year. He has an average par-5 score of seven-under, having never recorded worse than six under-the-card.
During his win, Hatton ranked in the top five for tee-to-green, a performance he repeated a year later. To prove his current wellbeing, the selection sits in the top-20 for the season, averaging around 24th for his four outings of 2023.
Key to Hatton is his ability to prove top grade for his driving, allowing him to play approaches away from the rough, and in four of the last five outings (including and since the DP World Tour Championship) he has been listed in the top-12 for accuracy off the peg.
Hatton repeats form at certain tracks. His record at the Alfred Dunhill Links is exemplary – a pair of wins and two second-place finishes – whilst he has five top 10 finishes from nine starts in Abu Dhabi. From nine outings at the DP Worlds, Hatton has two second places and three further top eight finishes, whilst from the same amount of outings around the corner at the Dubai Desert Classic, his record reads three top fives and an eighth.
In form, back to a track he (might) like, and with conditions in his favour, he can continue the great run shown by the likes of fellow UK players Lee Westwood, Matt Fitzpatrick, Justin Rose, Graeme McDowell and Greg Owen, all of whom finished in the top two in their respective years.
Danger – Scottie Scheffler
Danger – Will Zalatoris
There cannot be more to say about the world number one, Scottie Scheffler.
In the top five for the season’s tee-to-green stats, he ranks number one for ball-striking over three and six months, leading the way for overall driving and greens-in-regulation over 12 weeks.
Plus figures litter his card, with an average tee-to-green number of over 7 for his last five outings, off equally impressive driving and approach stats.
He led the tee-to-green stats here in 2020 when recording 10-under for the par-5s, improving that by one shot a year later, and comes here off a run of 12/1/11/7/9/3, the victory coming as defending champion at Pheonix.
There is a gnat’s hair between the 26-year-old and the flying Jon Rahm, but if conditions worsen as expected, I’d be certain only one of these is made to deal with it.
There may well be a time when Will Zalatoris turns full-on Scheffler. He wins and then wins again. And again.
Surely it is only an injury that paused the progress made in his first couple of years as a professional, a stunning spell that saw him finish in the top six at Winged Foot – his first major – as a rookie, second at Augusta and at Southern Hills last year.
Between his debut on the tour late in 2020 and today, WillyZ has recorded 11 top-10s, four runners-up and his sole win, and last completed start of ’22, at St.Jude last August.
Having had to miss the second half of the season with back issues, it was no surprise to see him take his time reaching top form in 2023, his first three outings (11th in Hawaii, 36th at La Quinta and a missed cut at Torrey Pines) seeming to be a chance to get back to full fitness.
That, he did last time at Riviera, a course he likes based on his previous two outings (26th, 15th) when his tee-to-green game found a bundle, eventually stopping the clock at over +10 strokes.
Two outings here have rewarded Zalatoris with a closing 10th on debut and a disguised 38th here last year, when he was 12th going into Sunday.
Although his putting stroke has its detractors, but he’s at plus numbers for all outings this year and this won’t be a birdie-fest.
He’s just about on the limit for price, but if there is a player ready to storm the golf world, it’s going to be WillyZ.
Others – Rickie Fowler
Like good friend Jason Day, it was only a matter of time before 34-year-old Fowler came back to something approaching his best.
As a five-time PGA Tour winner with 12 top-10 finishes in majors and two European Tour wins, his fall from grace since his victory at the 2019 Phoenix Open has been tough to watch.
From top-10 at Scottsdale, Fowler dropped through the top-100 at the end of 2022, a mixture of factors on and off the course affecting his golf, leading former coach Butch Harmon to comment, “It seems like all the work we did, trying to change the swing to get the left arm up on plane instead of so flat, that he has kind of thrown that out. I don’t really have a chance to talk Rickie very often and haven’t seen him.”
However, since firing much of his team and linking back up with the legendary coach, Fowler has seen things improve month by month.
Starting with a sixth at Silverado and a second place at the Zozo (holding every chance over the weekend), the man in orange has made all four cuts in 2023, starting with a consistent three rounds of 68 at The American Express – perhaps, significantly, as we go into next week’s Players, a Pete Dye course – then finishing 11th at Torrey Pines (55th to ninth place at halfway) 10th at TPC Scottsdale, and a closing 20th at Riviera last time out.
At the last three events – all elevated, and therefore with deeper fields – Fowler has been top-10s for iron play, resulting in progressive tee-to-green figures of 26th, 22nd at 12th.
Last season, when in no real form, Fowler recorded 8-under for the par-5s, some 22 shots better than his effort for the fours, a clear indication that he was struggling.
Currently in 70th and making a steady approach back to the world’s top 50, Fowler may yet fulfil his new old coach’s prediction:
There are really good things in Rickie Fowler’s future that we’re going to see
Recommended Bets:
- Scottie Scheffler WIN
- Will Zalatoris WIN/TOP-5
- Tyrrell Hatton WIN/TOP-5
- Rickie Fowler WIN/TOP-5
Opinion & Analysis
The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!
Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.
Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.
One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?
Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.
Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.
Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”
For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…
Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.
Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…
That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.
Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.
@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic
Podcasts
Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!
Opinion & Analysis
On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.
View this post on Instagram
“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”
Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.
That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.
As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.
I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.
One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.
The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.
If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.
Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.
As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.
It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.
David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.
In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:
“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”
Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”
Eventually, though, something shifts.
We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.
Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.
Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.
Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.
So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.
I see someone evolving.
He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.
It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.
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