Opinion & Analysis
The best bets for the 2023 Scottish Open

We should be in the middle of a trio of home Opens.
Although disappointing, it is perfectly understandable why organisers would move the Irish Open to September instead of staying in its regular position, two weeks prior to The Open.
They see the rescheduling as part of being able to attract a better quality field and, if reports are to be believed, they will certainly be hosting a fair number of the top-20 in the world.
It also takes place when yours truly believes The Open should be, a proper end-of-season trial around a links course. The move also puts punters in a quandary.
Last year’s Scottish Open champion Xander Schauffele has never played the Irish Open but won the Travelers at home before winning a top-class pro-am at Adare Manor.
Tommy Fleetwood’s record in Ireland was just about decent, but he used that experience to his advantage at the Renaissance Club, ultimately losing to Aaron Rai in a play-off in 2021, an effort that preceded two further top finishes.
Rai, himself, has a terrific record at Galgorm Castle and Mount Juliet, running-up to John Catlin in Covid year and posting a pair of top-12 finishes since.
Lucas Herbert, winner at Mount Juliet in 2021, and with two book-ending top-10s at the Irish, has a pair of fourth place finishes at Renaissance, whilst Bernd Wiesberger – winner of the first Scottish open held at the North Berwick course in 2019 – has two second places and a fourth from just four Irish Open outings.
There is undoubtedly a connection, and whilst we have to do without immediate Irish Open form, I’m in on anything that hints to quality and consistent efforts across the water.
As always, the weather will hugely affect the home Opens.
Austrian Wiesberger won his play-off after recording 22-under, whilst a year later Rai and bad weather specialist Tommy Fleetwood got very wet when fighting it out at half the score, 11-under.
We go again a year later when Min Woo Lee used his length to triumph in 18 under the card but, 12 months ago, the defending champ needed only to get to 7-under to win by a single shot.
There is plenty of wind and rain forecast for the week, so if it clears up, expect low scores on softened greens. Should it continue post-Wednesday, we might see Fleetwood again posting the joy he finds in getting soaked.
With Cam Smith banned from appearing (though very high on the list for next week’s big event) and Jon Rahm and Max Homa not taking part, that leaves seven of the world’s top-10 players here this week.
Top of the list, Scottie Scheffler, may not have won since March but has been confirmed as putting up some of the best long-term tee-to-green figures since the pomp years of Tiger Woods.
It’s a rum week when the 27-year-old does not rank in the top three from peg to green, something that has happened only once in his last 10 starts. Even then, he ranked fifth.
Having beaten Tyrrell Hatton at Bay Hill, and won in Texas, Pheonix and Sawgrass (again beating Hatton) I’ve got no issues with him in the wind. I just wonder if this might be seen as more of a warm-up for Hoylake, where his stunning approach play will be a positive against an unquestionable weakness (putting), a factor that might be less of an issue.
We have to go back to Ernie Els in 2003 to find the last repeat winner of the Scottish Open, so whilst Xander is tempting after another stellar year (10/18/10 through the majors) I have a feeling he will be another for whom this will be a warm-up for better.
Rory has done nothing in two outings here and won’t want poor conditions, but Patrick Cantlay does make some appeal at the price, giving the impression he is very much this year’s Schauffele.
The 31-year-old hasn’t had the best year in terms of public relations but continues to churn out repeat results at favoured tracks. After last year’s fourth place, he might soon be numbering the Renaissance as one of those.
Cantlay is managing to sneak in results despite sometimes being off with one element.
Surrounding a 14th at Augusta (could have been so much better but for the slow play issues), top-10 at the PGA and 14th at the US Open, the eight-time winner has landed yet another top-3 at Harbour Town, a fourth place alongside Schauffele when defending the Zurich pairs title, and his sixth top-15 in a row at River Highlands, recording his best ever event finish, in fourth place.
In between all those, a 30th at the Memorial may seem poor in comparison to his two course wins, but something went very wrong on day four, his poor display on the greens dropping him back from ninth, whilst 21st at Quail Hollow is very acceptable given his dislike of the course.
He’s now back on a track on which he was top-20 for tee-to-green and 11th for putting, so whilst he has never played the Irish Open, the fact he has been 12th at Carnoustie and eighth at St. Andrews suggests he cannot be ruled out in any varying Open conditions.
I’m completely torn between Tyrrell Hatton and Tommy Fleetwood and it’s only by the width of a feather that the former is preferred.
Whilst he may have once reached the lofty height of fifth in the world, in my mind the 31-year-old Englishman is playing some of the most consistent golf of his life, and in higher-quality fields.
Two-time winner of the Alfred Dunhill Links, Hatton’s best finish in this event is a runner-up behind Alex Noren at Castle Stuart in 2016. Noren, incidentally, is another with a tremendous record at the same pro-am, the highlight being last year’s second place behind another links specialist Ryan Fox.
It’s not all old form though, and the selection comes here after three consecutive course top-25s (14/18/24), a record that could have been better given he sat in eighth place after two rounds last year.
Whilst he is yet to win in 2023, the man who should be mic’d for every round (ever) was the closest challenger to the flying Scottie-man at Sawgrass, third at tough Quail Hollow, and again in bronze medal position in Canada.
That leaderboard at Oakdale has some added significance, with beaten play-off candidate Fleetwood and joint third-placed Rai boosting form for this week, and Royal Aberdeen winner Justin Rose in eighth place.
In 16 outings this year, Hatton has missed just one cut (in Texas) with top-10 finishes in Pheonix, at Bay Hill, and at Craig Ranch boosting his current world ranking of 15th.
He comes here currently ranked (PGA Tour) 10th off-the-tee, 17th in approach and 5th for putting, with his worst figures being for around the green, a stat that let him down around here last year when a slight loss (-0.5 strokes) cost him another place in the top 15.
I’ll take it on the chin if he’s beaten by a shot by Fleetwood, but wherever one finishes, expect the other. The coin flipped Hatton’s way.
It’s not hard to imagine Jordan Spieth being at his best for next week’s big one, and it was tempting to go with vastly improved Adrian Meronk, winner of last year’s Irish Open. However, The Pole appears a little shy of this level, and has done little in two previous outings here.
Instead, the slowly peaking Min Woo Lee might be ready to go well after leaving a rough patch of form behind.
After a good start to 2023 with a runner-up in Abu Dhabi, top-15 in Dubai and sixth place at The Players (second place after three rounds), the Australian lost his form and missed three cuts, including at Augusta, a course at which he’d been 14th on debut.
However, he bounced back at the PGA at Oak Hill, following up with three more cuts at Colonial (7th after round one, 25th after three), fifth at the US Open and ninth at Travelers.
The 24-year-old then returned to Europe for the British Masters at The Belfry with a spring in his step, commenting that he felt his upbringing on the DPWT had been vital for his progress on the PGA Tour. “So, it definitely helped with my career and America’s really tough,” he told the DPWT website. “The courses are tough and I always come back to how I played in Europe, and yeah, lots of confidence from playing out here and I think it’s starting to show a little bit in America.”
54th after round one last time, and 63rd at halfway, Lee found his form after the cut, scything through the field in difficult conditions to finish 15th.
This was enough to think he comes here ready to build on two solid course efforts. In eighth place after the first round on debut, he, of course, improved on that a year later, with a remarkable final round of 64 in 2021, despite a weather delay.
It’s hard to believe that Min Woo has been professional for just four years, but with victories in Victoria in his home Open (beating Ryan Fox) and around here, he arrives into a period that suits his best game.
With a short major career beginning to show improvement – this year’s 8th and 15th coming after a 21st at Cam Smith’s Open win – Min Woo needs serious consideration over the next two weeks. Hopefully, the hints become reality in a few days’ time.
Rickie Fowler broadcast his current claims before his win last time in Detroit and loves coming to Scotland. A win at Gullane and four further top-10 finishes give credence to his claims, but, sadly, the bookmakers have got him now.
Despite Brandon Stone winning at 400/1 and Min Woo well into triple figures in 2022, I can’t look too far down for the winner.
I’ll puff in the cheeks and stick with a player often backed when wind and rain are mentioned, even if we need to shut eyes at the stats board.
In a similar way to Min Woo, 2021 Irish Open champion Lucas Herbert becomes an auto-bet when the right conditions are forecast.
The Aussie is one of those players that can rarely be backed on a trend or a form line. Indeed, his play-off win in Dubai came after a tied-67th season opener, the Bermuda win after two missed-cuts, whilst his latest win in Japan, in April, is surrounded by mostly poor form.
We can judge only the win at Mount Juliet as forecast, coming after a pair of top-20 finishes on the PGA Tour, at the Memorial and, significantly, Travelers.
No coincidence that after his best effort for a couple of months, he is considered for the Scottish Open this week in lieu of the missing Irish equivalent.
Herbert’s two outings here in 2020 and 2021 resulted in almost +3 for approaches and two top-eight ranked efforts on the greens, similar to his two efforts at River Highlands, one of which which led to his win at Mount Juliet..
Herbert is a confidence player, bombing the ball around in a tremendous play-off for his first win, although he has had to make changes to the way he drives the ball in an effort to simply find fairways.
At the end of last year, the 27-year-old realised that his stock draw was simply not finding the short stuff enough to count, with his coach commenting:
“We know that when he drives it 300 in the air–which he does–if he can hit 60 percent of fairways he’s going to compete week in and week out.”
Whilst he may not have completely settled with a new fade, it will come, and the wager is in trust that manages to find enough greens to allow his excellent putting to thrive.
Recommended Bets:
- Patrick Cantlay
- Tyrrell Hatton
- Min Woo Lee
- Lucas Herbert
Opinion & Analysis
The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!
Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.
Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.
One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?
Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.
Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.
Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”
For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…
Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.
Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…
That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.
Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.
@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic
Podcasts
Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!
Opinion & Analysis
On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.
View this post on Instagram
“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”
Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.
That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.
As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.
I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.
One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.
The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.
If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.
Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.
As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.
It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.
David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.
In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:
“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”
Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”
Eventually, though, something shifts.
We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.
Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.
Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.
Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.
So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.
I see someone evolving.
He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.
It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.