Connect with us

Opinion & Analysis

Value bets and steals at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open

Published

on

The PGA Tour’s 2015-2016 season continues this week at the 2015 Shriners Hospitals for Children Open at TPC Summerlin in Las Vegas. What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas, except big prize winnings from this week’s DraftKings fantasy contest; those go with you.

In this week’s contest, $200,000 is on the line with $50,000 allotted to the winner. Don’t miss out on the chance to get in the action, especially since I’m here to help with my “value bets and steals” for this week’s event.

Click here to enter the $200K contest!

The Course

TPCSummerlin

TPC Summerlin measures 7,233 yards in length, plays to a tournament par of 71, and serves as the permanent home to the PGA Tour stop in Southern Nevada. The golf course was designed by Bobby Weed and opened in 1991. Past champions include Greg Norman, Paul Azinger, Tiger Woods and Davis Love III.

The Shriners Hospitals for Children Open is the second event for the 2015-2016 season on the PGA Tour and the scheduled field includes: Rickie Fowler, Keegan Bradley, Jason Dufner and Brooks Koepka among other big names.

Smylie Kaufman ($6,200)

SmylieKaufman

2014-2015 Web.com Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 269 (3rd)
  • Ball-Striking: 136 (T74)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 49.09% (12th)
  • Total Driving: 112 (T37)
  • Putting Average: 1.706 (5th)

Kaufman started his PGA Tour career last week in Napa Valley at the Frys.com Open with a T10 after a final round 68. Having qualified for the 2015-2016 season through his play on last season’s Web.com Tour, Kaufman is a strong all-around player, but particularly capable, at least statistically, on the putting greens.

Similar to many of the younger players now competing week-in and week-out on the PGA Tour, Kaufman appears ready to compete whenever he tees it up at this level. While the field in Las Vegas is certainly capable with the likes of Fowler et al., there is no reason Kaufman cannot walk away with his first PGA Tour victory. And at $6,200, he is worthy of consideration in your lineup this week.

Jim Herman ($6,400)

2014-2015 PGA Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 653 (67th)
  • Ball-Striking: 11 (3rd)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 43.27% (69th)
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 0.301 (T52)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting: -0.029 (117th)

Herman finished 74th last season in the FedExCup rankings, earned more than $1 million, and posted eight top-25 finishes in 18 events. Unlikely to be a household name, Herman proved over the course of last season that he is a consistent ball-striker who struggled on PGA Tour greens. He did not play last week in Napa Valley and last teed it up on the PGA Tour at the Deutsche Bank Championship back in September.

If Herman is able to find his putting stroke this week in Las Vegas, then he could not only find himself high on the leaderboard on Sunday, but contending for his first PGA Tour victory. Herman posted a T18 last year. It may be a matter of shaking off the rust, but if you are seemingly strapped for cash and in need of a cheap addition with upside consider Herman.

Roberto Castro ($6,500)

RObertoCastro

2014-2015 PGA Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 849 (129th)
  • Ball-Striking: 218 (T110)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 42.67% (84th)
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 0.578 (37th)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting: -0.728 (178th)

Similar to Herman, Castro warrants consideration, given his ability off the tee, though at least in terms of last season, it did not manifest itself into particularly strong ball-striking numbers. Admittedly, the last two seasons on the PGA Tour have been less than stellar for Castro, but in 2013, he posted 13 top-25 finishes and made more than $2 million in earnings finishing 21st in the FedExCup.

Castro started his PGA Tour season last week at the Frys.com Open with a T69 finish and hit 72.22 percent of the greens in regulation, which was almost 5 percent above average amongst the field. Castro’s putting difficulties are documented, but TPC Summerlin has a history of unlikely winners. An uncharacteristically strong week putting for Castro would not only alter his current status on the PGA Tour, but change his career. For $6,500, Castro is worth a look to round-out your lineup.

Patton Kizzire ($7,600)

2014-2015 Web.com Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 264 (2nd)
  • Ball-Striking: 59 (T16)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 51.90% (4th)
  • Total Driving: 121 (T51)
  • Putting Average: 1.694 (1st)

Kizzire skipped the Frys.com Open in favor of getting married and will begin his PGA Tour career this week in Las Vegas. Between his strong all-around golf game, which by all accounts appears PGA Tour ready, to his stellar putting, Kizzire (like his counterpart, Smylie Kaufman) is prepared to compete from day one.

During last season’s Web.com Tour, Kizzire posted two wins, two second-place finishes, one third-place finish, and 14 top-25 finishes in 23 events. He made more than $500,000 in earnings and finished No. 1 in that same category. Be ready to see Kizzire’s name on the leaderboard this week, despite not playing in Napa Valley. With his putting ability, Kizzire is a likely contender where birdies will be aplenty.

Chris Stroud ($8,400)

ChrisStroudDraftKings

2014-2015 PGA Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 766 (T-98)
  • Ball-Striking: 234 (122nd)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 37.82% (155th)
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 0.118 (89th)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting: -0.174 (140th) 

Stroud single-handedly earned his way on to this list based on recent play. As his numbers suggest, Stroud struggled in many aspects of the game last season on the PGA Tour. Despite little to build upon, Stroud teed it up earlier this October at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship on the European Tour and finished second upon posting a 16-under-par 272. Last week, Stroud competed at the Frys.com Open and posted a T10 to start the PGA Tour season.

Over the course of his career on the PGA Tour, Stroud has posted 59 top-25s in a total of 246 events and earned just more than $9 million in nine years. Expect Stroud to continue with the hot hand and threaten this week to win his first PGA Tour event. Again, Las Vegas has a history, especially in recent years, of rewarding players seeking to rejuvenate their games.

Nick Watney ($8,600)

2014-2015 PGA Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 621 (57th)
  • Ball-Striking: 119 (51st)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 44.14% (56th)
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 0.618 (32nd)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting: -0.395 (T156)

Watney’s numbers reveal just how difficult it can be to compete against the best players in the world, without a putting game that is consistent. Nevertheless, Watney finished 58th in the FedExCup rankings last season buttressed by eight top-25 finishes. One of those finishes was in Las Vegas, where Watney finished T16.

While he did not play as strong as some of his counterparts on this list, Watney made the cut last week at the Frys.com Open, and brings a game to Las Vegas seemingly ready to click. Watney has earned almost $24 million in 298 starts on the PGA Tour and won five times. With a game that travels, though currently subject to the whims of his putter, Watney is a strong contender for any roster this week in Las Vegas.

Charley Hoffman ($9,300)

CharleyHoffman

2014-2015 PGA Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 559 (39th)
  • Ball-Striking: 168 (85th)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 46.00% (35th)
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 0.212 (71st)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting: 0.070 (89th)

Coming off an outstanding season on the PGA Tour in 2014-2015, which was highlighted by a win at the OHL Classic at Mayakoba, a T2 at both the Humana Challenge and AT&T Byron Nelson, third place finish at the Deutsche Bank Championship, and T9 at the Masters, Hoffman is ready to challenge this week in Las Vegas. Hoffman has in the past, however, been hit or miss at TPC Summerlin missing the cut three times in the last five years, but also finishing fourth in 2013, T5 in 2006, and sixth in 2009.

It’s no secret that Hoffman would love to win in Las Vegas. Do not let his price tag be a deterrent because if there was ever a year to put your money on Hoffman, this is it. At a golf course where birdies will be the norm, Hoffman’s ability to go low at any moment may very well be the difference this year for the former UNLV Rebel.

Scott Piercy ($9,700)

2014-2015 PGA Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 638 (63rd)
  • Ball-Striking: 149 (75th)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 42.81% (81st)
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 0.266 (60th)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting: 0.120 (103rd)

Piercy is a three-time PGA Tour winner, native of Las Vegas, and 1997 graduate of Bonanza High School. While the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open will never be mistaken for the Masters, it is an important hometown event to Piercy. He finished T7 last year and will be starting his 2015-2016 PGA Tour campaign in Las Vegas. Piercy’s ascent to the PGA Tour was truly resuscitated back in 2007 when he won the $2 million Ultimate Game played at the Wynn Las Vegas defeating fellow current PGA Tour player, Tony Finau and others.

The overall point being the city of Las Vegas is replete with history and importance in the life of Piercy and apart from a major championship, there is no event he would rather win. Healthy and ready to compete, Piercy will be primed for a run at the title. Even at $9,700, he is a worthwhile investment under the circumstances for practically any lineup.

Ryan Moore ($10,000)

RyanMooreDraftKings

2014-2015 PGA Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 522 (33rd)
  • Ball-Striking: 176 (90th)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 42.26% (93rd)
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 0.414 (43rd)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting: 0.164 (64th) 

A former winner of this same event in 2012, Moore is likely to be a popular pick this week. While Moore missed the cut last year, he started the 2015-2016 PGA Tour season off at the Frys.com Open by finishing T10, having posted 135 over the weekend. As a four-time PGA Tour winner, Moore has demonstrated the ability to win with three of those four wins coming in the last four seasons.

When Moore’s success at TPC Summerlin is coupled with a strong 2014-2015 PGA Tour campaign that yielded one win, 10 top-25 finishes, and over $2.6 million in total earnings, the stars seems aligned for yet another run at the Shriners title. Notably, Moore is seeking to defend at the CIMB Classic for a second time next week in Kuala Lumpur. One should not be surprised and might even expect to see Moore trying to peak just in time for both Las Vegas and Malaysia.

Kevin Na ($10,400)

2014-2015 PGA Tour season

  • All-Around Ranking: 573 (42nd)
  • Ball-Striking: 302 (T158)
  • Par 5 Birdie or Better Leaders: 43.29% (T67)
  • Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green: 0.694 (28th)
  • Strokes Gained: Putting: 0.232 (T49)

Having been much maligned for a decision to hit driver off the deck in last week’s playoff at the Frys.com Open, which ultimately cost him a chance at winning, Na will assuredly be vying for the Shriners title come Sunday afternoon. Na is presently ranked 24th in the Official World Golf Rankings, earned almost $20 million over his PGA Tour career, and finished 25th in the FedExCup last season without a win. In 2011, Na won this tournament for his lone PGA Tour victory.

Na’s price tag of $10,400 is inevitably a product of his play last week in Napa Valley and history at this event. Given the field this week, and Na’s success against a similar demographic in Napa Valley all signs to point to continued low scores and a chance to win. When determining which high price PGA Tour players are worthy of a spot in your lineup, Na has earned a place in that conversation.

Click here to enter the $200K contest!

We share your golf passion. You can follow GolfWRX on Twitter @GolfWRX, Facebook and Instagram.

3 Comments

3 Comments

  1. used auto dealers in austin

    Nov 1, 2015 at 8:48 am

    Hi, after reading this amazing article i am also happy
    to share my familiarity here with colleagues.

  2. LI Golfer

    Oct 20, 2015 at 11:30 am

    Seriously, now GolfWRX is shilling for DraftKings?

    • Jack

      Oct 22, 2015 at 1:49 am

      Hmm, we usually only wake you for the important stuff, but since you stumbled in, wrx has been doing draft kings stuff for months and months and months…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.

Opinion & Analysis

The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

Published

on

As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!

Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.

Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.

One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?

Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.

Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.

Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”

For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…

Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.

Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…

That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.

Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.

@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic

Continue Reading

Podcasts

Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

Published

on

Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!

Continue Reading

Opinion & Analysis

On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

Published

on

Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.

 

View this post on Instagram

 

A post shared by BBC SPORT (@bbcsport)

“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”

Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.

That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.

As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.

I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.

One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.

The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.

If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.

Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.

As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.

It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.

David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.

In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:

“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”

Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”

Eventually, though, something shifts.

We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.

Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.

Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.

Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.

So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.

I see someone evolving.

He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.

It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.

Continue Reading

WITB

Facebook

Trending