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Opinion & Analysis

Fantasy Cheat Sheet: Deutsche Bank Championship

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It’s easy to just sit back and watch a weekly tournament and not be aware of the many things churning below the surface that really make this time of year interesting.

The FedEx Cup playoffs head to Boston this week and in the process are leaving 25 players behind from the ruin’s of The Barclays, where Hunter Mahan grabbed 2,500 FedEx Cup points with his win and vaulted to the top of the standings.

First, we’ve got a Friday start and a Labor Day finish to this week’s Deutsche Bank Championship at TPC Boston, where Henrik Stenson is the defending champion. Among the storylines, 30 players will not advance to the top-70 event at the BMW Championship at Cherry Hills in Colorado.

Second, while the FedEx Cup playoffs is going on, those who didn’t break into the top 125 are competing in the concurrently running Web.com Tour Finals to keep their PGA Tour cards. As a side note, Carlos Ortiz won the Web.com Tour’s final event this past weekend and in so doing won his third tournament of the year, becoming the first to gain PGA Tour exemption for next year via a three-win escalator. Not bad.

Third, there are still Ryder Cup slots yet to be determined and the last week to impress U.S. captain Tom Watson. So if you’re looking for storylines, the Deutsche Bank will have them in abundance.

Let’s break down some of the fantasy angles now in this week’s edition of Risk, Reward, Ruin.

RISK

462145639CH00159_The_Barcla

TPC Boston only plays to a length of 7,214 yards. That’s not long, but it’s not short either. A par-71 course, after renovations in 2006 it became a venue where scoring was the name of the game, which happens to keep the patrons interested. Normally, hitting greens in regulation gives you an advantage for birdies, but it has been scrambling and birdie average have proven to be just as important statistics to watch. Additionally, you want a hot golfer at this point of the year. Here’s a few that could surprise or underwhelm this week.

Hunter Mahan

We’re told that Mahan’s victory at The Barclays isn’t a fluke, that he’s been building to that result for a while. His short game excelled in New Jersey and no win on Tour is a fluke. Following a T15 at Firestone and a T7 at the PGA Championship, he still wasn’t on many people’s radar. But in order to trust him the rest of the way through the playoffs, it’d be nice to see him play strong right out of the gate. Mahan is 8 for 11 in his career at the Deutsche Bank with all of his missed cuts occurring early in his career, but he still has just one top-10, a T8 three years ago, plus a T13 last year.

Zach Johnson

I’ve got one start left from ZJ and I’m considering burning it here, but I probably should hold off for another week. The problem is when Johnson gets hot, he gets really hot. His year slowed down considerably after a hot start and really hasn’t been heard from much aside from his standard low tournament at the John Deere Classic. But a T22 and two rounds in the 60s was a good sign and one that may suggest putting him on a Yahoo B bench and seeing what happens. It’s doubtful many others will have him, which could create a nice edge if he does start to go low. Has yet to crack the top 10 in Boston, but also is a risk to miss the cut.

Brandt Snedeker

Brandt-Snedeker

Do we judge Snedeker by the missed cut at The Barclays or the four previous tournaments where he was trending upward in a big way? I think it was more of the latter, being undone by a bad second round in New Jersey. The good news is TPC Boston is a comfortable course for him since he finished in the top six in three consecutive years from 2010-12, including a T3 in 2011. Snedeker seems to play his best this time of year and he has one more chance to impress Tom Watson and make the Ryder Cup team.

Jordan Spieth

Spieth’s Ryder Cup position is locked up, but it’d be nice if he were playing at the level he’s capable of. He looked better at The Barclays, finishing T22 and posting a final-round 67 that hopefully carries through to this week. Spieth this week to me is like Jason Day last week, a huge upside hidden by rust or bad results. He’ll be in my lineup for sure, and a T4 in his debut last year (67-66-72-62) gives credence to the idea a birdie course will liven up the demands of the end of the PGA Tour season.

Patrick Reed

You can make a case for Reed slipping into one of the reward slots below, but I have a hard time justifying him over some of the bigger names. Still, the kid is a winner and has the aggressive mentality that serves itself well on a course like this. He finished T70 in his debut last year, shooting 68-72-73-69, and that’s a little discouraging, but he could also be getting hot right now. Following a T24 at the Wyndham, only weeks removed from a T4 at Firestone, Reed posted a T9 at The Barclays. It could have been more consistent, having shot 71-66-73-65, but he could be a very nice Yahoo A pick alongside one of the big and consistent names like Adam Scott or Matt Kuchar.

REWARD

RoryMcilroy

When wagering on players vs. a birdie course, understand how difficult it is to score on a championship course layout. One of the reason’s the top pros score better than others down the rankings is they know just how to execute the best shot for that moment that either maximizes the potential for scoring or mitigates the chance of danger. To use the Web.com Tour as an example, and I don’t remember the player, but he tried to hit a 3-wood into a tight green only 215 yards away. A hybrid would have had the right distance, an iron could have picked the ball cleanly and left him safely on, but instead he tried to get too cute and dumped it in the woods.

Bogey or worse. There are players in the field who do just that and can’t quite execute every shot. The players below can.

Rory McIlroy

Even when McIlroy is off, like he was last week, he still can and will finish in the top 25. If you burned a start, no big deal. It was the smart move to use him. The same can be said for this week where he was the 2012 champion. There’s nothing scary about TPC Boston and McIlroy’s run of 1-1-1-22 is a great lead up. Tough courses can take a lot out of you with the mental focus required. Expect this week to be the jump-start McIlroy needs to get right to the top of the FedEx Cup standings.

Jason Day

This is exciting. I pointed out last week that Day has just the kind of huge risky upside you’d like to get hot. Well, he did. And with no health concerns, Day vaults into a reward pick this week. He should score well in Boston, where he has two top-three finishes and hasn’t missed the cut in six tries.

Matt Kuchar

MattKuchar

The question mark last week for Kuchar was a sore back. But after a T5 at The Barclays, his doubt has been removed too. He’s backnailing top-10s, securing his 11th of the season to lead the PGA Tour. Kuchar was five strokes off the pace last year, finishing T4 after rounds of 66-66-69-66.

Rickie Fowler

No reason to hold back on Fowler again since he’s blistering hot since turning a T13 in Memphis in June. He’s now reeled off consecutive finishes of T2, T2, T8, T3 and T9. His Barclays result was undone just a tad by a 73 in round two, but overall 14 of his last 16 rounds have been in the 60s. It’s a birdie course and Fowler should have four more rounds in the 60s this week.

Jim Furyk

He just keeps rolling along even when it seems discouragement in not winning should be kicking his butt. That speaks a lot to Furyk’s maturity and how an even approach can help on the golf course. Furyk has now amassed nine top-10s this season after a T8 at The Barclays. Arguably, he’s building for a win. He owns three solo second results this year and three of his last five tournaments have resulted in t5 or better. Oh and he hasn’t missed a cut in nine tries in Boston, accruing three top-10s.

RUIN

TimClark

At this stage of the game, it becomes clearer to see who is struggling and who is not. It’s easier to tell who belongs and who does not. And for fantasy owners, there’s very little need to get cute and start picking bottom feeders to fill out a lineup. Hopefully you’ve managed starts and if you are using tier A, you’re using tier B and staying far away from the rest of the alphabet, which would be the golfers below.

Tim Clark

After an opening-round round 76 and a withdrawal at The Barclays, Clark’s winning of the RBC Canadian Open is standing out as an aberration. He struggled his next six rounds of golf, performed decently at the Wyndham and then New Jersey happened. Now he heads to a TPC Boston course where he’s missed the cut the last two years, which is an ominous accomplishment given the tight field.

Ryan Palmer

Also in the missed-the-last-two-cuts department is Palmer, which is an automatic qualifier for ruin status. While his T5 at the PGA Championship was a boon for his earnings this year, the T74 at the Barclays— in which he missed a secondary cut— is making the PGA result look like an outlier he only happens into once every few months.

Cameron Tringale

CameronTringale

It’s rare to put a kid coming off a career-best tournament in an avoid situation, but Tringale provides little in the way of enduring confidence even after his T2 at The Barclays. Granted, he is a bit of a scorer, which is nice on this course, so he could post a couple good rounds. But this is still the same course as last year, when he shot 73-67-71-70 and finished T67. It’s the same course as 2012, when he missed the cut with rounds of 73-79. It’s the same as ’11, when he MC’d (68-76). Tringale’s issue is consistency and one tournament doesn’t prove anything.

K.J. Choi

If not for two T2’s this season, I’m not sure Choi even gets in the playoffs. Since his second at the Travelers, he’s posted a T64, MC, MC, T66, MC and a T71 last week. Ouch. On top of that, his Boston results have been T41, MC, MC, T45 the last four years. Double ouch.

Ben Crane

BenCrane

If you’re playing bad golf, I feel bad for you, son. I got T99 problems but made cuts ain’t one. That could be a new Golf Boys song line, but unlike Bubba Watson, Rickie Fowler and Hunter Mahan, it’s Crane that can’t seem to keep the foot on the gas. Since his win in Memphis, he’s posted 74th, T37, T34, WD, WD, and a missed cut last week that placed him at T99. I’m not sure what the issues are for him at this point, but at 78th in the FedEx Cup standings, he’s looking like a chop for the top 70 cut line.

Thanks for reading. If you’d like to further discuss strategies or selections, you can comment below or find me on Twitter @bricmiller.

Best of luck!

This week’s picks:

Yahoo!

Group A: M. Kuchar (S), B. Snedeker
Group B: J. Spieth (S), J. Day (S), K. Bradley, H. Mahan
Group C: B. Todd (S), C. Hoffman
(Last week: 150 points; Summer segment: 1,483; Summer rank: 27,361; Season points: 5,249; Full Season rank: 3,995 – 95th percentile)

PGATour.com

M. Kuchar, R. McIlroy, A. Scott, J. Day
(Last week: 462 points; Season: 9,305; Rank: 4,146)

Golf Channel

Group 1: R. McIlroy
Group 2: J. Spieth
Group 3: B. Todd
Group 4: J. Overton
(Last week: $737,733; Season: $15,773,655; Mulligan: $26,980; Rank: 12,544 of 41,465)

Brian Miller is a sports writer of over eight years and his work has appeared in the Chicago Sun-Times, Miami Herald and Tallahassee Democrat. He's a fantasy golf nut and his golf novel will be published in spring 2014. You may find him on Twitter @bricmiller.

4 Comments

4 Comments

  1. Craig Miller

    Aug 28, 2014 at 8:46 am

    Going with Kuchar and Scott in A

    We’re the same in B

    And Walker and Na Iin C

    95th percentile on the year.

  2. DB

    Aug 27, 2014 at 6:23 pm

    Yahoo! C Group… Brendon Todd and C. Hoffman? Why?

    • Brian Miller

      Aug 27, 2014 at 8:32 pm

      Todd’s been consistent all year long and he played two good opening rounds (65-66) at The Barclays. Yeah he faded but this won’t be a tough course for him. He’s killed it on other shoutout courses (Humana, Greenbrier). Hoffman is a scorer that went 73-69-69-69 at The Barclays. That’s nice consistency prior to this week. Schwartzel and Na are also good choices. Don’t like Walker or Palmer.

  3. Pingback: Fantasy Cheat Sheet: Deutsche Bank Championship | Spacetimeandi.com

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Opinion & Analysis

Brandel Chamblee PGA Championship Q&A: Rose’s huge McLaren risk, distracted LIV pros and why Aronimink suits the bombers

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PGA Championship week is here, and Brandel Chamblee did not hold back in our latest discussion ahead of the season’s second major.

In our 2026 PGA Championship Q&A, golf’s leading analyst made the case that PIF pulling LIV’s funding has left its players competing in a state of confusion, called Justin Rose’s mid-season equipment switch a huge risk at 45, and explained why Aronimink will be a bombers’ delight this week.

Check out the full Q&A below.

Gianni: With the PIF confirming that they’re pulling funding from LIV at the end of the season, what impact do you expect that to have on the LIV players competing at the PGA Championship?

Brandel: I would imagine that they have all been thrown into a state of confusion, and will be distracted, not knowing where they are going to play next year and not knowing exactly their road back to either the DP World Tour or the PGA Tour. Or in Rahm’s case, being tied to a sinking ship for the next few years, likely playing for pennies on the dollar in events that no one cares about or watches.

I doubt this would put him in the best frame of mind to compete at his highest level. Keeping in mind, however, that majors are the only time that LIV disciples get to play in events that matter, so never disregard the motivation they have to prove to the world they are still relevant.

Gianni: Justin Rose switched to McLaren Golf equipment mid-season while playing some of the best golf of his career. What do you make of the change?

Brandel: I don’t really know what to make of Rose switching equipment. It seems a huge risk on his part, even though it is likely, in my opinion, that the clubs he’s playing are similar, if not the exact grinds, to what he was playing previously, with a McLaren stamp on them.

Having said that, at best, it is a distraction when he seemed to be as dialed in with his game as any 45-year-old could be and trending in the majors to perhaps do something that would definitely put him in the Hall of Fame. At worst, given the possibility that these clubs aren’t just duplicates of his old set stamped with McLaren on them, he’s made an equipment change that would take time, and 45-year-old athletes don’t have the time to do such things.

Gianni: Aronimink has only hosted a handful of professional events since it hosted the 1962 PGA Championship. What kind of test does it present, and does a course with less recent major championship history tend to level the playing field?

Brandel: Even though Aronimink has only hosted a handful of meaningful professional events, it has been fairly discerning in who can win there. When Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship on the Donald Ross masterpiece in 2018, he was the 2nd best iron player on tour coming into that week. When Nick Watney won the AT&T at Aronimink in 2011, he was 2nd in strokes gained total coming into the week.

In 2020, Aronimink hosted the KPMG Championship, and Sei Young Kim won. On the LPGA that year, she was first in greens in regulation, putts per green in regulation, and scoring average on the way to being the LPGA player of the year. And then there is the 1962 PGA Championship won by Gary Player, who eventually became just one of a few players to win the career grand slam on the way to winning 9 majors. It is a formidable test, and if it’s not softened by rain, it will bring out the best in the upper echelons of the game.

Gianni: Is there a specific hole at Aronimink that you think will do the most to decide the winner?

Brandel: The hardest hole at Aronimink in each of the three tour events that have been played there since 2010 has been the long par-3 8th hole, with the par-4 10th being the second hardest, so most of the carnage will happen around the turn, but with the par-5 16th offering opportunities for bold plays and the tough closing holes at 17 and 18, the finish is likely to be frenetic.

Gianni: The PGA Championship has always sat in the shadow of the other majors. What does the ideal PGA Championship look like in your eyes, and what would it take for it to carve out its own identity?

Brandel: The PGA Championship, to whatever degree it suffers from the comparison to the other three majors, is still counted just as much when adding them up at the end of one’s career. Almost 1/3 of Nicklaus’ major wins were the five PGA Championships he won. Walter Hagen won 11 majors, five of which were PGA Championships.

Tiger Woods twice in his career won back-to-back PGA Championships, and those four majors count just as much as the other 11 he won. The PGA may not have the prestige of the other three, but it carries the same weight. Having said that, I preferred the identity that it had as the last major of the year.

Gianni: You nailed your Masters picks. Rory won, Scottie finished solo second, and Morikawa surged to a tie for seventh. Who are your top 3 picks for the PGA Championship and why?

Brandel: I am not a huge fan of majors played on golf courses that have been shorn of most of the trees, although I understand some of the agronomic reasons for doing so and of course the ease with which it allows members to play after errant drives. However, at the highest level, it all but eliminates any strategy off the tee and turns professional golf into an even bigger slugfest. That means that it will likely be a bomber’s delight this week, but fortunately, Scottie Scheffler is long enough to play that game and straight enough to play it better than anyone else.

The major championships give us very few surprises anymore, going back to the beginning of 2012, so the last 57 majors played, the average world rank of the winners has been better than 15th in the world. So look at the highest ranked and longest drivers who are on form coming into the PGA Championship who also have great short games as the surrounds at Aronimink are very challenging. That’s Scottie Scheffler by a mile and then McIlroy and Cameron Young with a far bigger nod towards DeChambeau than I gave him at the Masters.

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Club Junkie

A putter that I love and hate – Club Junkie Podcast

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In this episode of the Club Junkie Podcast, we dive into one of the most interesting flatstick releases of the year with a full review of the new TaylorMade SYSTM 2 putters. After spending time on the greens, I break down what makes this design stand out, where it performs, and why it has me completely torn between loving it and fighting it. If you are into feel, alignment, and consistency, this is one you will want to hear about.

We also take a look at some of the putters in play on the PGA Tour last week. From familiar favorites to a few surprising setups, there is always something to learn from what the best players in the world are rolling with under pressure.

To wrap things up, I walk through the process of building a set of JP Golf Prime irons paired with Baddazz Gold Series shafts. From component selection to performance goals, this is a deep dive into what goes into creating a unique custom set and why this combo has been so intriguing.

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Opinion & Analysis

From 14 handicap to pro: 4 things I’d tell golfers at 50

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This year my 50th birthday. Gosh, where has the time gone?

As a teenager in rural Missouri, some of my junior high and high school years felt interminable. Graduation seemed light years away. But the older I get, the faster life seems to fly by.

I’m also increasingly aware of my mortality. My dad died recently. Earlier this year, a friend and fellow PGA of America professional and I were texting about our next catch-up. The next message I received was news of his unexpected passing at 48. Shortly after, a woman I dated in college succumbed to cancer at 51.

Certainly, one can share perspective at any age. Seniors help freshmen, veterans guide rookies. But reaching this milestone feels like as good a time as any to do one of those “what would I tell my younger self?” articles.

I’ve had a uniquely varied career in golf. I started as a 27-year-old, average-length-hitting, 14-handicap computer engineer and somehow managed to turn pro before running out of money, constantly bootstrapping my way forward. I’ve won qualifiers and set venue records in the World Long Drive Championships, finished fifth at the Speedgolf World Championships, coached all skill levels as a PGA of America professional, built industry-leading swing speed training programs for Swing Man Golf, helped advance the single-length iron market with Sterling Irons®, caddied on the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, and played about 300 courses across 32 countries.

It’s been a ride, and I’ve gone both deep and wide.

So while I can consult and advise from a lot of angles, let me keep it to a few things I’d tell the average golfer who wants to improve.

1. Think About What You Want

Everyone has their own reason for picking up a golf club.

Oddly, as a professional athlete, I’m not internally driven by competition. That can be challenging, as the industry currently prioritizes and incentivizes competition over the love of the game.

For me, I love walking and being outdoors. Nature helps balance my energy. I prefer courses that are integrated into the natural beauty of their surroundings. I’m comfortable practicing alone. I’m a deep thinker, and I genuinely enjoy investigating the game, using data and intuition to unearth unique, often innovative insights. I’m fortunate to be strong and athletic, so I appreciate the chance to engage with my abilities. Traveling feels adventurous. I could go on.

You don’t have to overthink it like I do. For you, it might be as simple as hitting balls to escape work, hanging out with friends, and playing loosely with the rules and the score.

The point is to give yourself permission to play for your own reasons, and let that be enough.

But if improvement is your goal, thinking about your destination—and when you want to get there—is important, because it dictates the steps you need to take. When I set out to go from a 14-handicap to the PGA TOUR as quickly as possible, the steps I needed were very different from those of a working golfer trying to break 90 in six months. That’s also different from someone who just wants a few peaceful hours outside each week, away from work or family.

None of these goals are better than the others, but each requires a different plan that you can work backward from.

2. There Are Lots of Things That Can Work

One of the challenges of golf is that, although there are rules for playing, there aren’t clear, industry-wide standards for how to best play the game. There’s a lot of gray area.

You might hear a top coach or trainer insist that a certain move is the best way to swing or train. Then you dig a bit deeper and, much to your confusion and frustration, another respected coach or trainer says something completely different. I don’t think anyone is trying to confuse you—at least I hope not. It’s just where the industry is right now.

You have to be careful with advice from tournament pros, too. They might be great at scoring, but they’re also human and sometimes just as susceptible as amateurs to believing things that don’t really move the needle. Tour players might describe what they feel, but that’s not always what they’re actually doing when assessed with technology.

I recently ran a test on my YouTube channel (which connects to my GolfWRX article “How to use your hands in the golf swing for power and accuracy”), and, interestingly, two of the most commonly taught hand actions produced the worst results in the test.

Coaches can certainly help. If you find someone you connect with to help navigate, that’s great. But there are many ways to get the ball in the hole. In the current landscape, you may need to seek multiple opinions, think critically, and use your own intuition to discern what seems true and whose advice resonates with you.

I’d recommend seeking someone who is open-minded and always learning, because things constantly change. Absolutes like “correct” or “proper” should raise a red flag. AI can be useful, but it tends to confidently repeat popular advice, so proceed with caution.

3. Get Custom Fit

If you’re serious about becoming a better player, getting custom fit is hugely important. There’s no sense fighting your equipment if you don’t have to. Most better players get fit these days and, if they don’t, they’re usually skilled enough to work around clubs that aren’t ideal.

If you plan to play for a long time, it’s worth spending a little more upfront to get something that truly fits you and your game, rather than continually buying and discarding equipment.

Equipment rules haven’t really changed significantly since the early 2000s. To stay in business, manufacturers keep pushing those limits. If you pull a bunch of clubs and balls off the rack and test them, you’ll find differences. I’ve tested two new drivers and seen a 30-yard total distance gap. Usually, the issue isn’t bad equipment; it’s that the combination of components simply isn’t the best fit.

It’s like wearing a new pair of floppy clown shoes. Sure, they’re shoes—but you won’t sprint your best in them compared to track shoes that fit perfectly.

Be wary of what’s called custom fitting, too. Sometimes the term is used as a marketing strategy rather than an actual fitting. In some retail settings, fitters may be incentivized to steer you toward higher-priced components. That doesn’t automatically mean it’s not the best fit, but you should be aware of potential biases.

I learned a version of this lesson outside of golf. Years ago, I bought a tennis racquet at a big box store from a seemingly knowledgeable employee who thought it would suit me best. The racquet gave me tennis elbow, and I spent months recovering with rest and acupuncture. The next season, I invested more time and money to find what actually fit me, and I walked away with something amazing that I still play with years later.

So if you’re going to get fit, be smart about it.

Find someone you believe has deep knowledge—possibly with certifications, but not necessarily. Make sure there’s a wide inventory across many brands. Check recent reviews for the individual fitter if possible. Make sure you trust that the fitter has your best interests at heart. If they’re wearing a hat or shirt with a specific brand’s logo, proceed with caution. Unless you specifically want a certain brand or look, be wary of upsells, especially if two options perform nearly the same.

Also, while golf is called a sport of integrity, there’s a thread of manipulation in the industry. I once drafted an equipment article for an industry magazine, structured just like one of their previous popular stories, with matching word count and great photos. The assistant editor loved it; it was useful to readers and required little work on his part. But the editor-in-chief nixed the story. When I asked why, I was told it was because I wasn’t an advertiser. It turned out the article I’d modeled mine after was a paid ad cleverly disguised as editorial content.

I really dislike games, clickbait, and fear-based manipulation. I hope this changes, but golfers deserve to know it exists.

4. Distance and Strategy Matter

There’s a real relationship between how far you hit the ball and your scoring average, even at the PGA TOUR level.

I experienced this early in my pro career. I started as a power hitter, swinging in the high 120s and breaking 200 mph ball speed with a stock driver.

Back then, some instructors advised swinging at 80%, so I tried slowing down for more accuracy. That worked fine on shorter, tighter courses. But on longer setups, I was coming into greens with too much club, and par 5s stopped being

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