Opinion & Analysis
Who are the favorites to win the FedEx Cup at East Lake?

We have one event left in the 2013-2014 PGA Tour season, and the eighth FedEx Cup champion will be crowned by week’s end.
Twenty-nine players (Dustin Johnson isn’t competing) will vie for the FedEx Cup crown at East Lake, but who should we install as the few favorites to accomplish the feat?
Well, back in its earliest iterations, the FedEx Cup Playoffs heavily favored those at the top of the standings going into the last event.
A points reset prior to the Tour Championship was implemented in 2009, and it’s done the job of allowing players from farther back to capture the grand prize. While the 2009, 2012 and 2013 FedEx Cup champions were all in the top-five before East Lake, winner Jim Furyk was a measly 11th with one event to play in 2010. And Bill Haas jumped from 25th to 1st in the standings with his defining win in the 2012 finale.
This is to say that installing favorites just by copying and pasting the current top-five in the standings is probably unwise. A higher initial place definitely helps, but with the points reset, performance at East Lake becomes monumentally important.
Combining that with other factors, we’ve discovered the five most likely candidates for the 2014 Playoffs crown (current FedEx Cup standing in parentheses):
Billy Horschel (2)
Apologies here to FedEx Cup leader Chris Kirk (who really is a much better player than people think), but among the top in the standings, I like Horschel’s chances at the crown more.
Why?
The East Lake course itself isn’t much of a factor in this case. In recent times, the most important components to success on the layout have been great driving and short game play (around the green). Of the eight winners and runners-up since 2010, six of them have been extraordinary players off the tee. And from East Lake’s FedEx Cup inception in 2007, every single winner possessed a well-above average to elite short game, until Henrik Stenson last year.
Horschel is a fantastic driver of the golf ball, but remains one of the game’s most putrid short game artists. Kirk has never gotten much from his driving, but he’s historically owned a fabulous short game.
So it comes down to a different factor: recent form. Yes, Kirk won two weeks ago at the Deutsche Bank Championship, but followed it up with a T36 at the BMW Championship. After his stellar opening months of 2013-2014, Kirk’s season has been rather stagnant, with the win at TPC Boston more of an outlier than anything.
Horschel has struggled mightily this season, but his win at Cherry Hills appears less fluky, as he was potentially a mishit six-iron away from winning the week before.
The last time Horschel was playing this well, he went on a four-week tear, placing top-10 in all events and producing a victory and two other near wins.
Yes a shallow past history, but there is precedent and I think it manifests itself this week. Horschel’s great play should continue, and a high finish might be enough to get him the crown.
Rory McIlroy (4)
OK, well duh on this one. McIlroy is easily the game’s best player right now, which means that he’s most likely to dominate a field in any given week.
Really the only reason I wouldn’t pick McIlroy would be every other factor conspiring against him.
And that is not the case.
He’s actually an OK short game player, and we don’t have to tell you just how good he is with the big dog in his hands. East Lake, then, actually profiles pretty well for him.
Yes, McIlroy is not in his summer form, but that level of golf was ridiculous. Even in his reduced fall state, McIlroy is just fine. Six of his last 11 rounds have been in the 60s and if it wasn’t for an awful opening day at the Barclays, he would have all top-10 finishes in the 2014 Playoffs.
Really there are a lot of good signs for McIlroy, and add that to his current standing and immense talent, there’s no way a favorites list omits him.
Jim Furyk (7)
Whatever his Sunday struggles—and zero victories in his last seven 54-hole leads is something to behold—the 44-year-old continues to match his game with some of the best.
Lost in all of the hoopla over Furyk’s final-round foibles is the fact that the ageless American has produced an extraordinary 2014. In 20 events, Furyk has top-tenned in half of them, garnered three runner-up finishes and raked in more than $5 million.
He’s possibly been the best golfer on the planet without a win this year.
Ah yes, the specter of his victory drought, winless since 2010, looms large. Furyk can mathematically win the FedEx Cup with a Tour Championship runner-up; a second-place showing pushes him to 2,700 points, just 60 short of Haas’ total in 2011.
But, more than likely, that won’t be enough. Furyk will have to win.
Despite his proclivity for the silver medal of late, the 44-year-old can be victorious at East Lake. For one, he has done it before, in 2010 when he captured the FedEx Cup crown as well. His results at the Tour Championship since have been rather middling, but the course sets up nicely for his excellent driving and premier short-game play.
Yeah, yeah, I get it 0-for-7 of late. Streaks like this can be broken at any time though, especially from a player who’s historically been a decent closer aside from this relatively small sample in his decades-long career. (And bad luck is a factor too. As Jason Sobel notes, four of these seven failures occurred even with a sub-70 final round. You can’t blame Furyk for running into buzzsaws like Tim Clark.)
Furyk has silently been a force this year. Expect him to contend this week, and if he’s close on Sunday, there’s no guarantee that he wilts.
Matt Kuchar (8)
You can only use logic so much in a sport that seems to pride itself in enraging prognosticators. That’s where Matt Kuchar steps in.
Really there isn’t that much pointing to Kuch as FedEx Cup Champion by Sunday evening. His all-around game allows him to contend almost anywhere but is not especially adept for East Lake. His record at the course backs that up—a single top-10 in four starts. And his form has been extremely stagnant following his whirlwind opening four months of 2014.
The forecast from the important factors is not sunny for Kuchar.
Sometimes though, that doesn’t matter, as Haas proved in 2011. Kuchar tends not to go too long without a high-level performance (whether that be a win or a close call), and we’re now almost five months removed from his last one of those.
He’s due, then.
Kuchar has also started to make it a habit of winning important events that aren’t majors. Maybe the Tour Championship is the next one on that list, with the FedEx Cup winner’s haul to boot.
Call it a hunch, or outright conjecture, whatever. The 2014 finale might signal the further rise of Kuuuuuuuch.
Sergio Garcia (13)
You can look at Garcia’s 2014 in two ways.
In one sense, he’s played arguably some of the best golf of his career. The Spaniard is second in the PGA Tour’s Strokes Gained: Total category, and the 34-year-old has put that insane form toward five TOP-THREES and nine top-tens in 15 PGA Tour starts.
And when you add his half-dozen totals from the European Tour, you can tack on two more top-threes, including a victory.
On the other hand, nobody (not even Jim Furyk) has extracted less from his play than Garcia. Every player in the top-seven of Strokes Gained: Total has at least one PGA Tour win this season—except Garcia. You thought Jim Furyk’s three runner-ups in 2014 were tough to swallow? Including his European Tour data, Garcia has four, and two more third place finishes to add to the pile.
Even more sadly, Garcia played well enough to win the Open Championship and the World Golf Championship at Firestone only to run into Rory McIlroy’s world-beater persona.
OK, this is starting to sound like a woe-is-me tale Garcia was famous for in the past. I do have a point.
Garcia’s form has been consistently phenomenal in 2014. His first two Playoff performances were underwhelming, but he got back on track with a T4 at Cherry Hills.
A poor showing at East Lake seems improbable at this point. A putrid result there would mean three such performances in four starts, which is extremely out of character for 2014 Sergio Garcia.
We can pretty confidently predict that Garcia will be in the thick of it on Sunday. With the Spaniard’s numerous close calls less a series of choke jobs and more the work of luck and circumstance, the law of averages suggests that Garcia’s next foray near the top of the leaderboard will net him a victory.
And with a win at the Tour Championship, Garcia might need a little help, but he would have a great shot at the FedEx Cup Trophy.
Opinion & Analysis
The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!
Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.
Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.
One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?
Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.
Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.
Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”
For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…
Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.
Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…
That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.
Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.
@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic
Podcasts
Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!
Opinion & Analysis
On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.
View this post on Instagram
“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”
Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.
That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.
As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.
I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.
One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.
The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.
If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.
Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.
As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.
It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.
David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.
In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:
“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”
Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”
Eventually, though, something shifts.
We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.
Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.
Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.
Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.
So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.
I see someone evolving.
He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.
It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.
Golfraven
Sep 9, 2014 at 4:13 pm
The winner takes it all (on last day). No wonder Rory is not too bothered winning recent events and chooses to practice his putting during last weekend’s rounds – four putting etc. I bet someone gave him this challenge to make a mickey out of short distance putts to gaine some confidence for the finals. You nailed it Rory and good luck.
May the odds be ever in your favor!
NZTYN8
Sep 9, 2014 at 2:49 pm
No Fowler love?
Christosterone
Sep 9, 2014 at 3:47 pm
Fowler has a good year going but he is not a great closer.
He’s not even a good closer.
Very fine working pro golfer but 1 win is hard to put any stock in.
Rich
Sep 10, 2014 at 7:11 am
And Furyk and Kuchar are? Kuchar may have one this season but should have one at least 2 others and Furyk hasn’t won since 2010 and also should have at least one win this year and they got a mention. And Sergio hasn’t exactly run away with his opportunities this year either. I think NZTYN8 makes a good point.