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Opinion & Analysis

Six Bold Predictions for 2015

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There were some memorable, forgettable and downright soap opera-ish events in the golfing world in 2014.

Golf is notoriously difficult to predict, but I will go all out—offering some brazen thoughts for 2015. We’ll see how stupid these statements make me look by season’s end, but for now, here are some unbridled predictions about professional golf in 2015.

Nick Watney and Scott Piercy will be breakout players in 2015

Nick Watney

Few talk about Watney anymore even though he is just four years removed from a stellar two-win, 10 top-10 season that netted him fourth place on the PGA Tour’s strokes gained category.

He massively struggled for most of 2014, but he really showed signs of form down the stretch. At 34, he’s also still in the midst of his prime, and that 2011 season was just too good to sleep on Watney. I feel his form returns in a big way in 2015.

Scott Piercy 2015

Piercy was out five months in 2014 and enters this year on a Major Medical Extension. The 36-year-old, while not recognized among casual fans, is a two-time PGA Tour winner who’s firmly in the long bomber category. He’s not very consistent, but his talent is top-flight, and that makes his potential high-end performances something to salivate over.

The inconsistency will continue, but I’m betting on Piercy channeling his best more often and winning multiple times on the PGA Tour in 2015. His long-driving, high-ball, strong-putting trio is perfect for the Masters, so if he can somehow qualify again for Augusta this season, he’s an excellent darkhorse candidate there.

Michelle Wie wins two majors, Lydia Ko wins zero

Michelle Wie 2015

I think Wie really lets it loose in 2015. The formerly named Kraft Nabisco will finally fall into her hands, and Wie will capture one of the final four majors to add to her total.

As for Ko, her rookie season was electric with three wins and the Race for the CME Globe crown.

But Ko was only one-for-five when she contended in a major on Sunday in 2014. She’ll also be devoting time with her studies at Korea University, a significant distraction from her golf game.

The 17-year-old will no doubt remain among the game’s elite in 2015, but a major victory just won’t factor in quite yet— partially due to her obligations and inexperience, but also a result of timing and chance.

Joost Luiten becomes a household name in the U.S.

joost luiten  2015

If you’re American and do not pay attention to the golf played in Europe, please educate yourself to this name!

Luiten is a European Tour mainstay whose profile has risen quickly in the last two years. As recently as June 2013, the Dutchman was 137th world golf rankings, before winning twice in Europe as part of an eight top-10 campaign. His new top-50 ranking allowed him into all of golf’s majors and WGCs for the first time, and he produced a stellar one-win, nine top-10 follow-up season to put his world ranking at No. 29 for the moment.

The 28-year-old has the excellent results and the endorsement of Paul McGinley as a future Ryder Cup star and mainstay, but attention in the U.S. still eludes him.

While he’ll remain on the European Tour in 2015—where most American fans hardly notice anything—he’s in good standing to qualify for all majors and WGCs once again, and that is where he will make his splash.

Will he win a major or WGC in 2015? I’m not too confident in that, but I wouldn’t put it past him. At the very least though, he will contend in multiple big events and see his recognition rise on the other side of the pond. 

Brooks Koepka Struggles in First Full Year on PGA Tour

Brooks Kopeka 2015

This 24-year-old American is the golden boy for those prognosticating a breakout young superstar in 2015, and I don’t necessarily disagree on Koepka’s long-term potential.

The hype is understandable. Koepka was a three-time All-American at Florida State who built his infant pro career with three wins on the European Challenge Tour in 2013 and a one-win, seven top-10 campaign on a PGA Tour/European Tour combo path in 2014.

Now he’s an experienced, successful professional with all of the talent in the world entering into a full PGA Tour membership. The signs are there, but golf usually isn’t too smooth, even for the ultra-skilled.

Just recently, Koepka’s buddy Peter Uihlein, a former World No. 1 amateur, produced a promising one-win, eight top-10 season in 2013, and while he fought injuries at times this past year, he only managed a two top-10 season in 2014 that included a six consecutive missed cuts at one point.

That’s just one example of the fact that many talent-heavy youngsters do experience regression at certain points in the early parts of their career. Koepka had a good start in the wraparound fall, but with him transitioning full time to the tougher fields on the world’s toughest tour, that short-term drop-off appears primed for 2015.

The Rise of Italy

Matteo Manassero 2015

Matteo Manassero really faltered in 2014, but I mostly chalk that up to the young career regressions I mentioned with Koepka (a huge equipment change and focus on altering his swing for power didn’t help Manassero either).

He’ll be in for a rebound season, and at least one of the Molinari brothers will be in for a career-best campaign.

Three other Italians join them on the European Tour—one of them a 17-year-old—and that trio will produce enough excitement that, along with the strong chorus from Manassero and a Molinari, Italy will make itself a boisterous force in the game in 2015.

Tiger Woods wins major No. 15

Hero World Challenge - Round One

OK, not a wild belief.

Going back to his last measurable season in 2013, the 39-year-old won five times, including victories at the Players Championship and two WGCs, was the world’s best golfer and may or may not have been a pin rattling away from winning the Masters.

Still, there is no guarantee he is that man in 2015. Woods has also been major-less for 6.5 years now, and some have pondered whether this drought is leaving him mentally stilted down the stretch of majors.

Woods remains too talented though to be stuck on 14 majors for much longer. The year’s first three courses profile well for his game (and the fourth one does too, the results just haven’t been there), and the American has been close in majors several times since his last triumph in 2008. The winless streak falls in 2015.

Kevin's fascination with the game goes back as long as he can remember. He has written about the sport on the junior, college and professional levels and hopes to cover its proceedings in some capacity for as long as possible. His main area of expertise is the PGA Tour, which is his primary focus for GolfWRX. Kevin is currently a student at Northwestern University, but he will be out into the workforce soon enough. You can find his golf tidbits and other sports-related babble on Twitter @KevinCasey19. GolfWRX Writer of the Month: September 2014

24 Comments

24 Comments

  1. RG

    Feb 1, 2015 at 6:09 pm

    Predictions looking great 3 weeks in….
    Tiger can’t play, Koepka wins straight off and Manassero can’t make a cut.
    Just waiting for Lydia Ko to win the first major of the year….. Could you predict anyone else to fail? I’ll bet on them next week!

  2. Jafar

    Jan 5, 2015 at 11:23 am

    No way,

    Lydia Ko wins two majors, Brooks Koepka wins one as well.

    Tiger finally competes in a major…

  3. DEVLIN

    Jan 5, 2015 at 10:42 am

    nice predictions, however you have obviously left out several players that have a better chance at majors…
    Rory will win, despite the distractions of the lawsuit.
    Bubba Watson will win again, he knows how to now, and his caddie keeps his distractions in check.
    Jimmy Walker, gets no respect but know what needs to be done.
    Martin Kaymer will win again, probably another major! he fixed the new swing.
    Jason Day, needs to get rid of his thoughts on in the final round but should do it this year.
    Finally, the dark horse for me should be Patrick Reed, he wants to win so badly that its getting in his way…maybe after his wife calms him down…once the baby routine settles down. HE needs to find a good caddy!

  4. herman

    Jan 5, 2015 at 12:05 am

    How about Sergio winning a major? Best player atm without a major win.

    • Kevin Casey

      Jan 8, 2015 at 10:25 am

      I definitely agree with Sergio winning a major: http://www.golfwrx.com/237019/why-sergio-garcia-isnt-going-to-end-his-career-without-a-major/

      The reason I don’t put him here is because I personally wouldn’t classify it as a bold prediction. As you said, you could easily call him the best active player without a major, to me it’s not going out on too much of a limb to say that a player who should’ve won a major by now and absolutely has the talent to, will finally get the job done this year.

      Regardless, making the prediction that Sergio will win his first major in 2015 is not a bad idea at all.

  5. Mccance79

    Jan 5, 2015 at 12:01 am

    Tiger winning another Major I will be willing to wager that he does not!! My prediction for 2015… Rickie Fowler wins his first Major!!!

    • brian

      Jan 7, 2015 at 1:13 pm

      eh I think rickie will in another year but not this year.

  6. JHM

    Jan 4, 2015 at 8:51 pm

    well, at least his game…..

  7. TigerWho

    Jan 4, 2015 at 6:48 pm

    No Tiger will win 5 majors this year!!!

  8. Bladrick_Gets_Bageled

    Jan 4, 2015 at 2:46 pm

    Pfft. Baldrick isnt gonna win squat……..he’ll muddle through much of the season. He might win 2 on some of his favorite tracks—majors—no way. Look at the Jenkins piece—hes going to have to play like someone not 40 yrs old!
    Fowler? Gimme a break. All you ever needed to know about Fowler was that even after his HUGE Puma contract was inked—he still layed up in Arizone on that PAR 5 –failing to win when he had the chance. The commercials say -oh the kid has guts! Really? Guts? His career will be a big orange hat stuffed with $$. He’ll be remembered as one of the first huge golf superstars that didnt win squat—the male equivalent of Anna Kornikova. Big name—plenty of $$—no record.

  9. leon

    Jan 4, 2015 at 1:48 pm

    Predictions never come into reality…

  10. Kyle

    Jan 4, 2015 at 10:35 am

    And why would tiger retire? Best player to ever play, just got healthy, still makes a ton of money, etc.

  11. Claude

    Jan 4, 2015 at 9:50 am

    Tiger Woods will come back like life he needs time and he’ll start to play again, and even if he doesn’t play the pga circuit there’s always the senior one but that’s a way to go yet and retire no don’t think so!

    • Mr Obvious

      Jan 4, 2015 at 9:21 pm

      Tiger is not eligible for the Champions tour for another decade. Perhaps Tiger will win one of the 5 places he won in his last healthy year. Maybe the guy knows how to win just a bit.

      • brian

        Jan 7, 2015 at 1:15 pm

        I dont think tiger will play the senior tour. When he cannot compete on the PGA tour he will retire. This is because it is likely that his retirement will be due to injury rather than not being able to compete

  12. Ponjo

    Jan 4, 2015 at 5:11 am

    Stenson wins one of the majors

  13. No Major for you

    Jan 3, 2015 at 9:49 pm

    “Woods remains too talented though to be stuck on 14 majors for much longer.

    Nah. You could change that sentence with “_____ remains too talented to not win a single major” and call it a day. So many good players without a major.

  14. No Major for you

    Jan 3, 2015 at 9:47 pm

    Eldrick gets injured early from trying out a mad shot and cancels rest of year.

    • Philip

      Jan 3, 2015 at 11:27 pm

      Actually there is a lot of truth to this in that he doesn’t accept when to lay up, even if it risks hurting himself. I still think he’ll continue on with the season, but unless his driving becomes quite reliable, his chances of stressing his body to make the shot is still quite high.

  15. The dude

    Jan 3, 2015 at 8:06 pm

    Tigers prediction is the biggest stretch

  16. Gus

    Jan 3, 2015 at 7:03 pm

    Furyk wins a major, Fowler doesn’t

    • Forsbrand

      Jan 4, 2015 at 5:51 am

      Fowler best record in the majors last year. So what, maybe he had his chance and that’s as close as he’ll ever get. Too many people stating he’ll win a major or multiples. It’s like this ridiculous tag “best player not to win major” well, if he was good enough to win one he would have! As for tiger winning, he might win the state lottery ………

    • John

      Jan 5, 2015 at 2:52 pm

      Where? US Open is his best bet, and that dog track Chambers will play like a tricked out Open Championship venue.

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Opinion & Analysis

The 2 primary challenges golf equipment companies face

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As the editor-in-chief of this website and an observer of the GolfWRX forums and other online golf equipment discourse for over a decade, I’m pretty well attuned to the grunts and grumbles of a significant portion of the golf equipment purchasing spectrum. And before you accuse me of lording above all in some digital ivory tower, I’d like to offer that I worked at golf courses (public and private) for years prior to picking up my pen, so I’m well-versed in the non-degenerate golf equipment consumers out there. I touched (green)grass (retail)!

Complaints about the ills of and related to the OEMs usually follow some version of: Product cycles are too short for real innovation, tour equipment isn’t the same as retail (which is largely not true, by the way), too much is invested in marketing and not enough in R&D, top staffer X hasn’t even put the new driver in play, so it’s obviously not superior to the previous generation, prices are too high, and on and on.

Without digging into the merits of any of these claims, which I believe are mostly red herrings, I’d like to bring into view of our rangefinder what I believe to be the two primary difficulties golf equipment companies face.

One: As Terry Koehler, back when he was the CEO of Ben Hogan, told me at the time of the Ft Worth irons launch, if you can’t regularly hit the golf ball in a coin-sized area in the middle of the face, there’s not a ton that iron technology can do for you. Now, this is less true now with respect to irons than when he said it, and is less and less true by degrees as the clubs get larger (utilities, fairways, hybrids, drivers), but there remains a great deal of golf equipment truth in that statement. Think about it — which is to say, in TL;DR fashion, get lessons from a qualified instructor who will teach you about the fundamentals of repeatable impact and how the golf swing works, not just offer band-aid fixes. If you can’t repeatably deliver the golf club to the golf ball in something resembling the manner it was designed for, how can you expect to be getting the most out of the club — put another way, the maximum value from your investment?

Similarly, game improvement equipment can only improve your game if you game it. In other words, get fit for the clubs you ought to be playing rather than filling the bag with the ones you wish you could hit or used to be able to hit. Of course, don’t do this if you don’t care about performance and just want to hit a forged blade while playing off an 18 handicap. That’s absolutely fine. There were plenty of members in clubs back in the day playing Hogan Apex or Mizuno MP-32 irons who had no business doing so from a ballstriking standpoint, but they enjoyed their look, feel, and complementary qualities to their Gatsby hats and cashmere sweaters. Do what brings you a measure of joy in this maddening game.

Now, the second issue. This is not a plea for non-conforming equipment; rather, it is a statement of fact. USGA/R&A limits on every facet of golf equipment are detrimental to golf equipment manufacturers. Sure, you know this, but do you think about it as it applies to almost every element of equipment? A 500cc driver would be inherently more forgiving than a 460cc, as one with a COR measurement in excess of 0.83. 50-inch shafts. Box grooves. And on and on.

Would fewer regulations be objectively bad for the game? Would this erode its soul? Fortunately, that’s beside the point of this exercise, which is merely to point out the facts. The fact, in this case, is that equipment restrictions and regulations are the slaughterbench of an abundance of innovation in the golf equipment space. Is this for the best? Well, now I’ve asked the question twice and might as well give a partial response, I guess my answer to that would be, “It depends on what type of golf you’re playing and who you’re playing it with.”

For my part, I don’t mind embarrassing myself with vintage blades and persimmons chasing after the quasi-spiritual elevation of a well-struck shot, but that’s just me. Plenty of folks don’t give a damn if their grooves are conforming. Plenty of folks think the folks in Liberty Corner ought to add a prison to the museum for such offences. And those are just a few of the considerations for the amateur game — which doesn’t get inside the gallery ropes of the pro game…

Different strokes in the game of golf, in my humble opinion.

Anyway, I believe equipment company engineers are genuinely trying to build better equipment year over year. The marketing departments are trying to find ways to make this equipment appeal to the broadest segment of the golf market possible. All of this against (1) the backdrop of — at least for now — firm product cycles. And golfers who, with their ~15 average handicap (men), for the most part, are not striping the golf ball like Tiger in his prime and seem to have less and less time year over year to practice and improve. (2) Regulations that massively restrict what they’re able to do…

That’s the landscape as I see it and the real headwinds for golf equipment companies. No doubt, there’s more I haven’t considered, but I think the previous is a better — and better faith — point of departure when formulating any serious commentary on the golf equipment world than some of the more cynical and conspiratorial takes I hear.

Agree? Disagree? Think I’m worthy of an Adam Hadwin-esque security guard tackle? Let me know in the comments.

@golfoncbs The infamous Adam Hadwin tackle ? #golf #fyp #canada #pgatour #adamhadwin ? Ghibli-style nostalgic waltz – MaSssuguMusic

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Podcasts

Fore Love of Golf: Introducing a new club concept

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Episode #16 brings us Cliff McKinney. Cliff is the founder of Old Charlie Golf Club, a new club, and concept, to be built in the Florida panhandle. The model is quite interesting and aims to make great, private golf more affordable. We hope you enjoy the show!

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Opinion & Analysis

On Scottie Scheffler wondering ‘What’s the point of winning?’

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Last week, I came across a reel from BBC Sport on Instagram featuring Scottie Scheffler speaking to the media ahead of The Open at Royal Portrush. In it, he shared that he often wonders what the point is of wanting to win tournaments so badly — especially when he knows, deep down, that it doesn’t lead to a truly fulfilling life.

 

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“Is it great to be able to win tournaments and to accomplish the things I have in the game of golf? Yeah, it brings tears to my eyes just to think about it because I’ve literally worked my entire life to be good at this sport,” Scheffler said. “To have that kind of sense of accomplishment, I think, is a pretty cool feeling. To get to live out your dreams is very special, but at the end of the day, I’m not out here to inspire the next generation of golfers. I’m not out here to inspire someone to be the best player in the world, because what’s the point?”

Ironically — or perhaps perfectly — he went on to win the claret jug.

That question — what’s the point of winning? — cuts straight to the heart of the human journey.

As someone who’s spent over two decades in the trenches of professional golf, and in deep study of the mental, emotional, and spiritual dimensions of the game, I see Scottie’s inner conflict as a sign of soul evolution in motion.

I came to golf late. I wasn’t a junior standout or college All-American. At 27, I left a steady corporate job to see if I could be on the PGA Tour starting as a 14-handicap, average-length hitter. Over the years, my journey has been defined less by trophies and more by the relentless effort to navigate the deeply inequitable and gated system of professional golf — an effort that ultimately turned inward and helped me evolve as both a golfer and a person.

One perspective that helped me make sense of this inner dissonance around competition and our culture’s tendency to overvalue winning is the idea of soul evolution.

The University of Virginia’s Division of Perceptual Studies has done extensive research on reincarnation, and Netflix’s Surviving Death (Episode 6) explores the topic, too. Whether you take it literally or metaphorically, the idea that we’re on a long arc of growth — from beginner to sage elder — offers a profound perspective.

If you accept the premise literally, then terms like “young soul” and “old soul” start to hold meaning. However, even if we set the word “soul” aside, it’s easy to see that different levels of life experience produce different worldviews.

Newer souls — or people in earlier stages of their development — may be curious and kind but still lack discernment or depth. There is a naivety, and they don’t yet question as deeply, tending to see things in black and white, partly because certainty feels safer than confronting the unknown.

As we gain more experience, we begin to experiment. We test limits. We chase extreme external goals — sometimes at the expense of health, relationships, or inner peace — still operating from hunger, ambition, and the fragility of the ego.

It’s a necessary stage, but often a turbulent and unfulfilling one.

David Duval fell off the map after reaching World No. 1. Bubba Watson had his own “Is this it?” moment with his caddie, Ted Scott, after winning the Masters.

In Aaron Rodgers: Enigma, reflecting on his 2011 Super Bowl win, Rodgers said:

“Now I’ve accomplished the only thing that I really, really wanted to do in my life. Now what? I was like, ‘Did I aim at the wrong thing? Did I spend too much time thinking about stuff that ultimately doesn’t give you true happiness?’”

Jim Carrey once said, “I think everybody should get rich and famous and do everything they ever dreamed of so they can see that it’s not the answer.”

Eventually, though, something shifts.

We begin to see in shades of gray. Winning, dominating, accumulating—these pursuits lose their shine. The rewards feel more fleeting. Living in a constant state of fight-or-flight makes us feel alive, yes, but not happy and joyful.

Compassion begins to replace ambition. Love, presence, and gratitude become more fulfilling than status, profits, or trophies. We crave balance over burnout. Collaboration over competition. Meaning over metrics.

Interestingly, if we zoom out, we can apply this same model to nations and cultures. Countries, like people, have a collective “soul stage” made up of the individuals within them.

Take the United States, for example. I’d place it as a mid-level soul: highly competitive and deeply driven, but still learning emotional maturity. Still uncomfortable with nuance. Still believing that more is always better. Despite its global wins, the U.S. currently ranks just 23rd in happiness (as of 2025). You might liken it to a gifted teenager—bold, eager, and ambitious, but angsty and still figuring out how to live well and in balance. As much as a parent wants to protect their child, sometimes the child has to make their own mistakes to truly grow.

So when Scottie Scheffler wonders what the point of winning is, I don’t see someone losing strength.

I see someone evolving.

He’s beginning to look beyond the leaderboard. Beyond metrics of success that carry a lower vibration. And yet, in a poetic twist, Scheffler did go on to win The Open. But that only reinforces the point: even at the pinnacle, the question remains. And if more of us in the golf and sports world — and in U.S. culture at large — started asking similar questions, we might discover that the more meaningful trophy isn’t about accumulating or beating others at all costs.

It’s about awakening and evolving to something more than winning could ever promise.

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