Opinion & Analysis
Six Bold Predictions for 2015
There were some memorable, forgettable and downright soap opera-ish events in the golfing world in 2014.
Golf is notoriously difficult to predict, but I will go all out—offering some brazen thoughts for 2015. We’ll see how stupid these statements make me look by season’s end, but for now, here are some unbridled predictions about professional golf in 2015.
Nick Watney and Scott Piercy will be breakout players in 2015
Few talk about Watney anymore even though he is just four years removed from a stellar two-win, 10 top-10 season that netted him fourth place on the PGA Tour’s strokes gained category.
He massively struggled for most of 2014, but he really showed signs of form down the stretch. At 34, he’s also still in the midst of his prime, and that 2011 season was just too good to sleep on Watney. I feel his form returns in a big way in 2015.
Piercy was out five months in 2014 and enters this year on a Major Medical Extension. The 36-year-old, while not recognized among casual fans, is a two-time PGA Tour winner who’s firmly in the long bomber category. He’s not very consistent, but his talent is top-flight, and that makes his potential high-end performances something to salivate over.
The inconsistency will continue, but I’m betting on Piercy channeling his best more often and winning multiple times on the PGA Tour in 2015. His long-driving, high-ball, strong-putting trio is perfect for the Masters, so if he can somehow qualify again for Augusta this season, he’s an excellent darkhorse candidate there.
Michelle Wie wins two majors, Lydia Ko wins zero
I think Wie really lets it loose in 2015. The formerly named Kraft Nabisco will finally fall into her hands, and Wie will capture one of the final four majors to add to her total.
As for Ko, her rookie season was electric with three wins and the Race for the CME Globe crown.
But Ko was only one-for-five when she contended in a major on Sunday in 2014. She’ll also be devoting time with her studies at Korea University, a significant distraction from her golf game.
The 17-year-old will no doubt remain among the game’s elite in 2015, but a major victory just won’t factor in quite yet— partially due to her obligations and inexperience, but also a result of timing and chance.
Joost Luiten becomes a household name in the U.S.
If you’re American and do not pay attention to the golf played in Europe, please educate yourself to this name!
Luiten is a European Tour mainstay whose profile has risen quickly in the last two years. As recently as June 2013, the Dutchman was 137th world golf rankings, before winning twice in Europe as part of an eight top-10 campaign. His new top-50 ranking allowed him into all of golf’s majors and WGCs for the first time, and he produced a stellar one-win, nine top-10 follow-up season to put his world ranking at No. 29 for the moment.
The 28-year-old has the excellent results and the endorsement of Paul McGinley as a future Ryder Cup star and mainstay, but attention in the U.S. still eludes him.
While he’ll remain on the European Tour in 2015—where most American fans hardly notice anything—he’s in good standing to qualify for all majors and WGCs once again, and that is where he will make his splash.
Will he win a major or WGC in 2015? I’m not too confident in that, but I wouldn’t put it past him. At the very least though, he will contend in multiple big events and see his recognition rise on the other side of the pond.
Brooks Koepka Struggles in First Full Year on PGA Tour
This 24-year-old American is the golden boy for those prognosticating a breakout young superstar in 2015, and I don’t necessarily disagree on Koepka’s long-term potential.
The hype is understandable. Koepka was a three-time All-American at Florida State who built his infant pro career with three wins on the European Challenge Tour in 2013 and a one-win, seven top-10 campaign on a PGA Tour/European Tour combo path in 2014.
Now he’s an experienced, successful professional with all of the talent in the world entering into a full PGA Tour membership. The signs are there, but golf usually isn’t too smooth, even for the ultra-skilled.
Just recently, Koepka’s buddy Peter Uihlein, a former World No. 1 amateur, produced a promising one-win, eight top-10 season in 2013, and while he fought injuries at times this past year, he only managed a two top-10 season in 2014 that included a six consecutive missed cuts at one point.
That’s just one example of the fact that many talent-heavy youngsters do experience regression at certain points in the early parts of their career. Koepka had a good start in the wraparound fall, but with him transitioning full time to the tougher fields on the world’s toughest tour, that short-term drop-off appears primed for 2015.
The Rise of Italy
Matteo Manassero really faltered in 2014, but I mostly chalk that up to the young career regressions I mentioned with Koepka (a huge equipment change and focus on altering his swing for power didn’t help Manassero either).
He’ll be in for a rebound season, and at least one of the Molinari brothers will be in for a career-best campaign.
Three other Italians join them on the European Tour—one of them a 17-year-old—and that trio will produce enough excitement that, along with the strong chorus from Manassero and a Molinari, Italy will make itself a boisterous force in the game in 2015.
Tiger Woods wins major No. 15
OK, not a wild belief.
Going back to his last measurable season in 2013, the 39-year-old won five times, including victories at the Players Championship and two WGCs, was the world’s best golfer and may or may not have been a pin rattling away from winning the Masters.
Still, there is no guarantee he is that man in 2015. Woods has also been major-less for 6.5 years now, and some have pondered whether this drought is leaving him mentally stilted down the stretch of majors.
Woods remains too talented though to be stuck on 14 majors for much longer. The year’s first three courses profile well for his game (and the fourth one does too, the results just haven’t been there), and the American has been close in majors several times since his last triumph in 2008. The winless streak falls in 2015.
Opinion & Analysis
Brandel Chamblee PGA Championship Q&A: Rose’s huge McLaren risk, distracted LIV pros and why Aronimink suits the bombers
PGA Championship week is here, and Brandel Chamblee did not hold back in our latest discussion ahead of the season’s second major.
In our 2026 PGA Championship Q&A, golf’s leading analyst made the case that PIF pulling LIV’s funding has left its players competing in a state of confusion, called Justin Rose’s mid-season equipment switch a huge risk at 45, and explained why Aronimink will be a bombers’ delight this week.
Check out the full Q&A below.
Gianni: With the PIF confirming that they’re pulling funding from LIV at the end of the season, what impact do you expect that to have on the LIV players competing at the PGA Championship?
Brandel: I would imagine that they have all been thrown into a state of confusion, and will be distracted, not knowing where they are going to play next year and not knowing exactly their road back to either the DP World Tour or the PGA Tour. Or in Rahm’s case, being tied to a sinking ship for the next few years, likely playing for pennies on the dollar in events that no one cares about or watches.
I doubt this would put him in the best frame of mind to compete at his highest level. Keeping in mind, however, that majors are the only time that LIV disciples get to play in events that matter, so never disregard the motivation they have to prove to the world they are still relevant.
Gianni: Justin Rose switched to McLaren Golf equipment mid-season while playing some of the best golf of his career. What do you make of the change?
Brandel: I don’t really know what to make of Rose switching equipment. It seems a huge risk on his part, even though it is likely, in my opinion, that the clubs he’s playing are similar, if not the exact grinds, to what he was playing previously, with a McLaren stamp on them.
Having said that, at best, it is a distraction when he seemed to be as dialed in with his game as any 45-year-old could be and trending in the majors to perhaps do something that would definitely put him in the Hall of Fame. At worst, given the possibility that these clubs aren’t just duplicates of his old set stamped with McLaren on them, he’s made an equipment change that would take time, and 45-year-old athletes don’t have the time to do such things.
Gianni: Aronimink has only hosted a handful of professional events since it hosted the 1962 PGA Championship. What kind of test does it present, and does a course with less recent major championship history tend to level the playing field?
Brandel: Even though Aronimink has only hosted a handful of meaningful professional events, it has been fairly discerning in who can win there. When Keegan Bradley won the BMW Championship on the Donald Ross masterpiece in 2018, he was the 2nd best iron player on tour coming into that week. When Nick Watney won the AT&T at Aronimink in 2011, he was 2nd in strokes gained total coming into the week.
In 2020, Aronimink hosted the KPMG Championship, and Sei Young Kim won. On the LPGA that year, she was first in greens in regulation, putts per green in regulation, and scoring average on the way to being the LPGA player of the year. And then there is the 1962 PGA Championship won by Gary Player, who eventually became just one of a few players to win the career grand slam on the way to winning 9 majors. It is a formidable test, and if it’s not softened by rain, it will bring out the best in the upper echelons of the game.
Gianni: Is there a specific hole at Aronimink that you think will do the most to decide the winner?
Brandel: The hardest hole at Aronimink in each of the three tour events that have been played there since 2010 has been the long par-3 8th hole, with the par-4 10th being the second hardest, so most of the carnage will happen around the turn, but with the par-5 16th offering opportunities for bold plays and the tough closing holes at 17 and 18, the finish is likely to be frenetic.
Gianni: The PGA Championship has always sat in the shadow of the other majors. What does the ideal PGA Championship look like in your eyes, and what would it take for it to carve out its own identity?
Brandel: The PGA Championship, to whatever degree it suffers from the comparison to the other three majors, is still counted just as much when adding them up at the end of one’s career. Almost 1/3 of Nicklaus’ major wins were the five PGA Championships he won. Walter Hagen won 11 majors, five of which were PGA Championships.
Tiger Woods twice in his career won back-to-back PGA Championships, and those four majors count just as much as the other 11 he won. The PGA may not have the prestige of the other three, but it carries the same weight. Having said that, I preferred the identity that it had as the last major of the year.
Gianni: You nailed your Masters picks. Rory won, Scottie finished solo second, and Morikawa surged to a tie for seventh. Who are your top 3 picks for the PGA Championship and why?
Brandel: I am not a huge fan of majors played on golf courses that have been shorn of most of the trees, although I understand some of the agronomic reasons for doing so and of course the ease with which it allows members to play after errant drives. However, at the highest level, it all but eliminates any strategy off the tee and turns professional golf into an even bigger slugfest. That means that it will likely be a bomber’s delight this week, but fortunately, Scottie Scheffler is long enough to play that game and straight enough to play it better than anyone else.
The major championships give us very few surprises anymore, going back to the beginning of 2012, so the last 57 majors played, the average world rank of the winners has been better than 15th in the world. So look at the highest ranked and longest drivers who are on form coming into the PGA Championship who also have great short games as the surrounds at Aronimink are very challenging. That’s Scottie Scheffler by a mile and then McIlroy and Cameron Young with a far bigger nod towards DeChambeau than I gave him at the Masters.
Club Junkie
A putter that I love and hate – Club Junkie Podcast
In this episode of the Club Junkie Podcast, we dive into one of the most interesting flatstick releases of the year with a full review of the new TaylorMade SYSTM 2 putters. After spending time on the greens, I break down what makes this design stand out, where it performs, and why it has me completely torn between loving it and fighting it. If you are into feel, alignment, and consistency, this is one you will want to hear about.
We also take a look at some of the putters in play on the PGA Tour last week. From familiar favorites to a few surprising setups, there is always something to learn from what the best players in the world are rolling with under pressure.
To wrap things up, I walk through the process of building a set of JP Golf Prime irons paired with Baddazz Gold Series shafts. From component selection to performance goals, this is a deep dive into what goes into creating a unique custom set and why this combo has been so intriguing.
Opinion & Analysis
From 14 handicap to pro: 4 things I’d tell golfers at 50
This year my 50th birthday. Gosh, where has the time gone?
As a teenager in rural Missouri, some of my junior high and high school years felt interminable. Graduation seemed light years away. But the older I get, the faster life seems to fly by.
I’m also increasingly aware of my mortality. My dad died recently. Earlier this year, a friend and fellow PGA of America professional and I were texting about our next catch-up. The next message I received was news of his unexpected passing at 48. Shortly after, a woman I dated in college succumbed to cancer at 51.
Certainly, one can share perspective at any age. Seniors help freshmen, veterans guide rookies. But reaching this milestone feels like as good a time as any to do one of those “what would I tell my younger self?” articles.
I’ve had a uniquely varied career in golf. I started as a 27-year-old, average-length-hitting, 14-handicap computer engineer and somehow managed to turn pro before running out of money, constantly bootstrapping my way forward. I’ve won qualifiers and set venue records in the World Long Drive Championships, finished fifth at the Speedgolf World Championships, coached all skill levels as a PGA of America professional, built industry-leading swing speed training programs for Swing Man Golf, helped advance the single-length iron market with Sterling Irons®, caddied on the PGA TOUR and PGA TOUR Champions, and played about 300 courses across 32 countries.
It’s been a ride, and I’ve gone both deep and wide.
So while I can consult and advise from a lot of angles, let me keep it to a few things I’d tell the average golfer who wants to improve.
1. Think About What You Want
Everyone has their own reason for picking up a golf club.
Oddly, as a professional athlete, I’m not internally driven by competition. That can be challenging, as the industry currently prioritizes and incentivizes competition over the love of the game.
For me, I love walking and being outdoors. Nature helps balance my energy. I prefer courses that are integrated into the natural beauty of their surroundings. I’m comfortable practicing alone. I’m a deep thinker, and I genuinely enjoy investigating the game, using data and intuition to unearth unique, often innovative insights. I’m fortunate to be strong and athletic, so I appreciate the chance to engage with my abilities. Traveling feels adventurous. I could go on.
You don’t have to overthink it like I do. For you, it might be as simple as hitting balls to escape work, hanging out with friends, and playing loosely with the rules and the score.
The point is to give yourself permission to play for your own reasons, and let that be enough.
But if improvement is your goal, thinking about your destination—and when you want to get there—is important, because it dictates the steps you need to take. When I set out to go from a 14-handicap to the PGA TOUR as quickly as possible, the steps I needed were very different from those of a working golfer trying to break 90 in six months. That’s also different from someone who just wants a few peaceful hours outside each week, away from work or family.
None of these goals are better than the others, but each requires a different plan that you can work backward from.
2. There Are Lots of Things That Can Work
One of the challenges of golf is that, although there are rules for playing, there aren’t clear, industry-wide standards for how to best play the game. There’s a lot of gray area.
You might hear a top coach or trainer insist that a certain move is the best way to swing or train. Then you dig a bit deeper and, much to your confusion and frustration, another respected coach or trainer says something completely different. I don’t think anyone is trying to confuse you—at least I hope not. It’s just where the industry is right now.
You have to be careful with advice from tournament pros, too. They might be great at scoring, but they’re also human and sometimes just as susceptible as amateurs to believing things that don’t really move the needle. Tour players might describe what they feel, but that’s not always what they’re actually doing when assessed with technology.
I recently ran a test on my YouTube channel (which connects to my GolfWRX article “How to use your hands in the golf swing for power and accuracy”), and, interestingly, two of the most commonly taught hand actions produced the worst results in the test.
Coaches can certainly help. If you find someone you connect with to help navigate, that’s great. But there are many ways to get the ball in the hole. In the current landscape, you may need to seek multiple opinions, think critically, and use your own intuition to discern what seems true and whose advice resonates with you.
I’d recommend seeking someone who is open-minded and always learning, because things constantly change. Absolutes like “correct” or “proper” should raise a red flag. AI can be useful, but it tends to confidently repeat popular advice, so proceed with caution.
3. Get Custom Fit
If you’re serious about becoming a better player, getting custom fit is hugely important. There’s no sense fighting your equipment if you don’t have to. Most better players get fit these days and, if they don’t, they’re usually skilled enough to work around clubs that aren’t ideal.
If you plan to play for a long time, it’s worth spending a little more upfront to get something that truly fits you and your game, rather than continually buying and discarding equipment.
Equipment rules haven’t really changed significantly since the early 2000s. To stay in business, manufacturers keep pushing those limits. If you pull a bunch of clubs and balls off the rack and test them, you’ll find differences. I’ve tested two new drivers and seen a 30-yard total distance gap. Usually, the issue isn’t bad equipment; it’s that the combination of components simply isn’t the best fit.
It’s like wearing a new pair of floppy clown shoes. Sure, they’re shoes—but you won’t sprint your best in them compared to track shoes that fit perfectly.
Be wary of what’s called custom fitting, too. Sometimes the term is used as a marketing strategy rather than an actual fitting. In some retail settings, fitters may be incentivized to steer you toward higher-priced components. That doesn’t automatically mean it’s not the best fit, but you should be aware of potential biases.
I learned a version of this lesson outside of golf. Years ago, I bought a tennis racquet at a big box store from a seemingly knowledgeable employee who thought it would suit me best. The racquet gave me tennis elbow, and I spent months recovering with rest and acupuncture. The next season, I invested more time and money to find what actually fit me, and I walked away with something amazing that I still play with years later.
So if you’re going to get fit, be smart about it.
Find someone you believe has deep knowledge—possibly with certifications, but not necessarily. Make sure there’s a wide inventory across many brands. Check recent reviews for the individual fitter if possible. Make sure you trust that the fitter has your best interests at heart. If they’re wearing a hat or shirt with a specific brand’s logo, proceed with caution. Unless you specifically want a certain brand or look, be wary of upsells, especially if two options perform nearly the same.
Also, while golf is called a sport of integrity, there’s a thread of manipulation in the industry. I once drafted an equipment article for an industry magazine, structured just like one of their previous popular stories, with matching word count and great photos. The assistant editor loved it; it was useful to readers and required little work on his part. But the editor-in-chief nixed the story. When I asked why, I was told it was because I wasn’t an advertiser. It turned out the article I’d modeled mine after was a paid ad cleverly disguised as editorial content.
I really dislike games, clickbait, and fear-based manipulation. I hope this changes, but golfers deserve to know it exists.
4. Distance and Strategy Matter
There’s a real relationship between how far you hit the ball and your scoring average, even at the PGA TOUR level.
I experienced this early in my pro career. I started as a power hitter, swinging in the high 120s and breaking 200 mph ball speed with a stock driver.
Back then, some instructors advised swinging at 80%, so I tried slowing down for more accuracy. That worked fine on shorter, tighter courses. But on longer setups, I was coming into greens with too much club, and par 5s stopped being
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RG
Feb 1, 2015 at 6:09 pm
Predictions looking great 3 weeks in….
Tiger can’t play, Koepka wins straight off and Manassero can’t make a cut.
Just waiting for Lydia Ko to win the first major of the year….. Could you predict anyone else to fail? I’ll bet on them next week!
Jafar
Jan 5, 2015 at 11:23 am
No way,
Lydia Ko wins two majors, Brooks Koepka wins one as well.
Tiger finally competes in a major…
DEVLIN
Jan 5, 2015 at 10:42 am
nice predictions, however you have obviously left out several players that have a better chance at majors…
Rory will win, despite the distractions of the lawsuit.
Bubba Watson will win again, he knows how to now, and his caddie keeps his distractions in check.
Jimmy Walker, gets no respect but know what needs to be done.
Martin Kaymer will win again, probably another major! he fixed the new swing.
Jason Day, needs to get rid of his thoughts on in the final round but should do it this year.
Finally, the dark horse for me should be Patrick Reed, he wants to win so badly that its getting in his way…maybe after his wife calms him down…once the baby routine settles down. HE needs to find a good caddy!
herman
Jan 5, 2015 at 12:05 am
How about Sergio winning a major? Best player atm without a major win.
Kevin Casey
Jan 8, 2015 at 10:25 am
I definitely agree with Sergio winning a major: http://www.golfwrx.com/237019/why-sergio-garcia-isnt-going-to-end-his-career-without-a-major/
The reason I don’t put him here is because I personally wouldn’t classify it as a bold prediction. As you said, you could easily call him the best active player without a major, to me it’s not going out on too much of a limb to say that a player who should’ve won a major by now and absolutely has the talent to, will finally get the job done this year.
Regardless, making the prediction that Sergio will win his first major in 2015 is not a bad idea at all.
Mccance79
Jan 5, 2015 at 12:01 am
Tiger winning another Major I will be willing to wager that he does not!! My prediction for 2015… Rickie Fowler wins his first Major!!!
brian
Jan 7, 2015 at 1:13 pm
eh I think rickie will in another year but not this year.
JHM
Jan 4, 2015 at 8:51 pm
well, at least his game…..
TigerWho
Jan 4, 2015 at 6:48 pm
No Tiger will win 5 majors this year!!!
Bladrick_Gets_Bageled
Jan 4, 2015 at 2:46 pm
Pfft. Baldrick isnt gonna win squat……..he’ll muddle through much of the season. He might win 2 on some of his favorite tracks—majors—no way. Look at the Jenkins piece—hes going to have to play like someone not 40 yrs old!
Fowler? Gimme a break. All you ever needed to know about Fowler was that even after his HUGE Puma contract was inked—he still layed up in Arizone on that PAR 5 –failing to win when he had the chance. The commercials say -oh the kid has guts! Really? Guts? His career will be a big orange hat stuffed with $$. He’ll be remembered as one of the first huge golf superstars that didnt win squat—the male equivalent of Anna Kornikova. Big name—plenty of $$—no record.
leon
Jan 4, 2015 at 1:48 pm
Predictions never come into reality…
Kyle
Jan 4, 2015 at 10:35 am
And why would tiger retire? Best player to ever play, just got healthy, still makes a ton of money, etc.
Claude
Jan 4, 2015 at 9:50 am
Tiger Woods will come back like life he needs time and he’ll start to play again, and even if he doesn’t play the pga circuit there’s always the senior one but that’s a way to go yet and retire no don’t think so!
Mr Obvious
Jan 4, 2015 at 9:21 pm
Tiger is not eligible for the Champions tour for another decade. Perhaps Tiger will win one of the 5 places he won in his last healthy year. Maybe the guy knows how to win just a bit.
brian
Jan 7, 2015 at 1:15 pm
I dont think tiger will play the senior tour. When he cannot compete on the PGA tour he will retire. This is because it is likely that his retirement will be due to injury rather than not being able to compete
Ponjo
Jan 4, 2015 at 5:11 am
Stenson wins one of the majors
No Major for you
Jan 3, 2015 at 9:49 pm
“Woods remains too talented though to be stuck on 14 majors for much longer.
Nah. You could change that sentence with “_____ remains too talented to not win a single major” and call it a day. So many good players without a major.
No Major for you
Jan 3, 2015 at 9:47 pm
Eldrick gets injured early from trying out a mad shot and cancels rest of year.
Philip
Jan 3, 2015 at 11:27 pm
Actually there is a lot of truth to this in that he doesn’t accept when to lay up, even if it risks hurting himself. I still think he’ll continue on with the season, but unless his driving becomes quite reliable, his chances of stressing his body to make the shot is still quite high.
The dude
Jan 3, 2015 at 8:06 pm
Tigers prediction is the biggest stretch
Kyle
Jan 4, 2015 at 1:00 am
No it isn’t.
Gus
Jan 3, 2015 at 7:03 pm
Furyk wins a major, Fowler doesn’t
Forsbrand
Jan 4, 2015 at 5:51 am
Fowler best record in the majors last year. So what, maybe he had his chance and that’s as close as he’ll ever get. Too many people stating he’ll win a major or multiples. It’s like this ridiculous tag “best player not to win major” well, if he was good enough to win one he would have! As for tiger winning, he might win the state lottery ………
John
Jan 5, 2015 at 2:52 pm
Where? US Open is his best bet, and that dog track Chambers will play like a tricked out Open Championship venue.